Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres MLB Tips 9/12/2019

Thursday, September 12, 2019

Petco Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Yu Darvish vs. Dinelson Lamet

Petco Park is the venue where Manny Machado and the San Diego Padres (67-77, 4th in NL West) will take on the Chicago Cubs (77-67, 2nd in NL Central) on Thursday. The odds on this contest have the Cubs coming in at -138 and the Padres are at +128. The O/U opens at 8.5.

The Cubs have been a pretty good pick for bettors, having gone 77-67-0 SU. San Diego is covering 46.5% of the time, going 67-77-0 straight up.

Valuable Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Cubs have been a less than ideal Under option for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 65-72-7.

The Cubs cover 40.3% of the time as the road team, having gone 29-43-0 straight up.

Important San Diego Padres Betting Trends

San Diego is covering 46.6% of the time at Petco Park, going 34-39-0 SU.

The Padres have been a less than ideal Under option for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 66-67-11.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Chicago Cubs Injuries

9/10/2019 Addison Russell 2B Head Probable for Sep 11
9/10/2019 Xavier Cedeno RP Arm Expected to be out until at least Sep 19
9/10/2019 Craig Kimbrel RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 13
9/9/2019 Javier Baez SS Thumb Out for the season
9/5/2019 Allen Webster RP Arm Expected to be out until at least Sep 13
8/22/2019 Brandon Morrow RP Elbow Out for the season
2/19/2019 Kendall Graveman SP Elbow Out for the season

Key San Diego Padres Injuries

9/10/2019 Jacob Nix SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/10/2019 Francisco Mejia C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/10/2019 Hunter Renfroe RF Ankle Probable for Sep 11
9/10/2019 Garrett Richards SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/6/2019 Carl Edwards RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/6/2019 Franchy Cordero CF Quadriceps Out for the season
9/4/2019 Ian Kinsler 2B Neck Expected to be out until at least Sep 12
9/3/2019 Fernando Tatis SS Back Out for the season
9/2/2019 Jose Castillo RP Finger Out for the season
9/1/2019 Adam Warren RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/1/2019 Miguel Diaz RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/1/2019 Robert Stock RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
8/20/2019 Aaron Loup RP Elbow Out for the season
8/16/2019 Brett Kennedy SP Lat Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Cubs have a 77-67 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Yu Darvish has a 5-6 record with an earned run average of 4.12 and a WHIP of 1.13 this season. He has 190 strikeouts over his 157.1 innings pitched and he's given up 125 hits. He's allowed 7.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.58. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.02 and they have given up 425 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the bullpen and they've struck out 479 hitters and walked 225 batters. As a team, Chicago allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 4.06. The Cubs pitchers collectively have given up 1,214 base hits and 579 earned runs. They have allowed 180 home runs this season, ranking them 26th in the league. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 463 batters and struck out 1,259. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 4.31.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Chicago is hitting .251, good for 15th in the league. The Cubs hold a .450 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331, which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Kyle Schwarber is hitting .235 with an on-base percentage of .326. He has 110 hits this season in 469 at bats with 82 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .514 and an OPS+ of 112. Anthony Rizzo is hitting .286 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .400. He has totaled 136 hits and he has driven in 87 men in 476 at bats. His OPS+ is 134 while his slugging percentage is at .511. The Cubs have 1,215 hits, including 237 doubles and 228 home runs. Chicago has walked 521 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,304 times as a unit. They have left 955 men on base and have a team OPS of .781. They score 4.94 runs per contest and have scored a total of 711 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

San Diego has a 67-77 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.95, Dinelson Lamet has a 2-4 record and a 1.26 WHIP. He has 74 strikeouts over the 57 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 49 hits. He's allowing 7.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.86. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.55 and they have given up 538 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the Padres bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 595 batters and walked 178 opposing hitters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.56. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,260 base knocks and 647 earned runs this season. They have given up 192 home runs this year, which ranks 19th in Major League Baseball. San Diego as a staff has walked 401 hitters and struck out 1,289 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.23.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .242, good for 25th in the league. The Padres hold a .419 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 8.1 hits per contest. Manny Machado comes into this matchup batting .260 with an OBP of .332. He has 140 hits this year along with 78 RBI in 538 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .467 with an OPS+ of 108. Eric Hosmer is hitting .280 this season and he has an OBP of .327. He has collected 156 hits in 558 at bats while driving in 92 runs. He has an OPS+ of 101 and a slugging percentage of .443. The Padres as a unit have 1,165 base hits, including 199 doubles and 203 homers. San Diego has walked 437 times this year and they have struck out on 1,377 occasions. They have had 887 men left on base and have an OPS of .728. They have scored 4.35 runs per game and totaled 626 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Cubs/Padres MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Padres (+128)

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