Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers MLB Picks 9/21/2019

Saturday, September 21, 2019

Comerica Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Ivan Nova vs. Tyler Alexander

Jose Abreu and the Chicago White Sox (66-86, 3rd in AL Central) are headed to Comerica Park on Saturday where they'll take on the Detroit Tigers (45-107, 5th in AL Central). The line on this matchup has the White Sox priced at -125 and the Tigers are at +115. The O/U is set at 9.5.

The White Sox have been hot and cold for wagerers, having gone 66-86-0 SU. The Tigers are covering 29.6% of the time, going 45-107-0 straight up.

Valuable Chicago White Sox Betting Trends

The White Sox have been a solid Over choice for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 72-75-5.

The White Sox are covering 39.7% of the time as the away team, having gone 31-47-0 straight up.

Important Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Tigers are covering 28.0% of the time at Comerica Park, going 21-54-0 SU.

The Tigers have been a solid Over choice for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 68-74-10.

Key Chicago White Sox Injuries

9/18/2019 Dylan Covey SP Shoulder Out for the season
9/18/2019 Manny Banuelos SP Foot Probable for Sep 20
9/16/2019 Lucas Giolito SP Lat Out for the season
9/3/2019 Jon Jay RF Hip Out for the season
7/8/2019 Ryan Burr RP Elbow Out for the season
6/7/2019 Carlos Rodon SP Elbow Out for the season
3/11/2019 Michael Kopech SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Detroit Tigers Injuries

9/16/2019 Daniel Stumpf RP Elbow Out for the season
9/14/2019 Niko Goodrum SS Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 28
9/11/2019 Tyson Ross SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/1/2019 JaCoby Jones CF Wrist Out for the season
8/14/2019 Blaine Hardy RP Elbow Out for the season
4/30/2019 Matt Moore SP Knee Out for the season
3/23/2019 Michael Fulmer SP Elbow Out for the season
10/25/2019 Artie Lewicki RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The White Sox have a 66-86 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Ivan Nova has a 10-12 record with an earned run average of 4.83 and a WHIP of 1.46 this season. He has 107 strikeouts over his 177 innings pitched and he's given up 214 hits. He's allowed 10.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.11. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.46 and they have given up 506 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the bullpen and they've struck out 492 hitters and walked 259 batters. As a team, Chicago allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.99. The White Sox pitchers collectively have given up 1,366 base hits and 739 earned runs. They have allowed 225 home runs this season, ranking them 9th in the league. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 561 batters and struck out 1,230. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.45 and their FIP as a unit is 4.94.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Chicago is hitting .258, good for 8th in the league. The White Sox hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Jose Abreu is hitting .280 with an on-base percentage of .327. He has 167 hits this season in 596 at bats with 119 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .505 and an OPS+ of 118. Tim Anderson is hitting .335 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .355. He has totaled 157 hits and he has driven in 55 men in 468 at bats. His OPS+ is 128 while his slugging percentage is at .511. The White Sox have 1,342 hits, including 241 doubles and 169 home runs. Chicago has walked 357 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,458 times as a unit. They have left 1,001 men on base and have a team OPS of .719. They score 4.34 runs per contest and have scored a total of 659 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Detroit has a 45-107 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.87, Tyler Alexander has a 1-3 record and a 1.26 WHIP. He has 39 strikeouts over the 44.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 51 hits. He's allowing 10.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.21. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.99 and they have given up 618 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .260 against the Tigers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 569 batters and walked 283 opposing hitters. As a team, Detroit allows 9.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.24. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,456 base knocks and 789 earned runs this season. They have given up 238 home runs this year, which ranks 6th in Major League Baseball. Detroit as a staff has walked 515 hitters and struck out 1,281 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 4.89.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .240, good for 27th in the league. The Tigers hold a .389 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .295, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Brandon Dixon comes into this matchup batting .247 with an OBP of .292. He has 91 hits this year along with 51 RBI in 368 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .440 with an OPS+ of 88. Miguel Cabrera is hitting .284 this season and he has an OBP of .350. He has collected 135 hits in 476 at bats while driving in 55 runs. He has an OPS+ of 95 and a slugging percentage of .391. The Tigers as a unit have 1,262 base hits, including 278 doubles and 141 homers. Detroit has walked 379 times this year and they have struck out on 1,513 occasions. They have had 1,019 men left on base and have an OPS of .684. They have scored 3.66 runs per game and totaled 557 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's White Sox/Tigers MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the White Sox (-125)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn