Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers Baseball Betting Tips 6/20/2019

Thursday, June 20, 2019

Miller Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Tanner Roark vs. Jimmy Nelson

Jose Iglesias and the Cincinnati Reds (33-38, 4th in NL Central) travel to Miller Park on Thursday where they'll take on the Milwaukee Brewers (40-33, 1st in NL Central). The Brewers open this game at -143 while the Reds are priced at +133. The O/U has been set at 9.

The Reds have been dicey for wagerers, having gone 33-38-0 SU. Milwaukee covers 54.8% of the time, going 40-33-0 straight up. The Brewers have been excellent for MLB wagerers as the favorite, going 23-16-0 SU. Cincinnati covers 36.6% of the time as the underdog, having gone 15-26-0 straight up.

Valuable Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Reds have been a bad Over option for over/under bettors, having gone 24-45-2.

Cincinnati covers 41.7% of the time away from home, having gone 15-21-0 straight up.

Important Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Brewers cover 62.9% of the time at Miller Park, going 22-13-0 SU.

The Brewers have been a bad Over option for over/under bettors, having gone 31-39-3.

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

6/17/2019 Scooter Gennett 2B Groin Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/15/2019 Wandy Peralta RP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
5/31/2019 Alex Wood SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 7

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

6/19/2019 Mike Moustakas 2B Hand Probable for Jun 19
6/18/2019 Gio Gonzalez SP Arm Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
4/14/2019 Corey Knebel RP Elbow Out for the season
4/4/2019 Bobby Wahl RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
2/19/2019 Brent Suter SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Reds have a 33-38 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Tanner Roark has a 4-6 record with an earned run average of 3.63 and a WHIP of 1.39 this season. He has 74 strikeouts over his 74.1 innings pitched and he's given up 76 hits. He's allowed 9.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.3. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.47 and they have given up 208 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the bullpen and they've struck out 278 hitters and walked 95 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.55. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 545 base hits and 249 earned runs. They have allowed 73 home runs this season, ranking them 29th in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 233 batters and struck out 684. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.23 and their FIP as a unit is 3.72.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cincinnati is hitting .232, good for 27th in the league. The Reds hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .304, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 7.7 hits per game. Jose Iglesias is hitting .289 with an on-base percentage of .332. He has 63 hits this season in 218 at bats with 24 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .413 and an OPS+ of 90. Eugenio Suarez is hitting .250 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .330. He has totaled 65 hits and he has driven in 43 men in 260 at bats. His OPS+ is 103 while his slugging percentage is at .473. The Reds have 550 hits, including 101 doubles and 98 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 219 times so far this season and they have struck out 619 times as a unit. They have left 443 men on base and have a team OPS of .710. They score 4.27 runs per contest and have scored a total of 303 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Milwaukee has a 40-33 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 10.29, Jimmy Nelson has a 0-1 record and a 2.14 WHIP. He has 8 strikeouts over the 7 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 9 hits. He's allowing 11.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.31. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.25 and they have given up 256 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .226 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 336 batters and walked 126 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.52. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 638 base knocks and 333 earned runs this season. They have given up 101 home runs this year, which ranks 13th in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 258 hitters and struck out 689 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.34.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .251, good for 17th in the league. The Brewers hold a .449 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 14th in MLB with 8.7 hits per contest. Christian Yelich comes into this matchup batting .340 with an OBP of .438. He has 83 hits this year along with 57 RBI in 244 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .734 with an OPS+ of 196. Lorenzo Cain is hitting .249 this season and he has an OBP of .307. He has collected 71 hits in 285 at bats while driving in 27 runs. He has an OPS+ of 72 and a slugging percentage of .358. The Brewers as a unit have 635 base hits, including 116 doubles and 125 homers. Milwaukee has walked 279 times this year and they have struck out on 700 occasions. They have had 517 men left on base and have an OPS of .780. They have scored 4.96 runs per game and totaled 362 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Reds/Brewers MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Brewers -143

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