Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers Baseball Betting Tips and Predictions 5/22/2019

Wednesday, May 22, 2019

Miller Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Luis Castillo vs. Zach Davies

Jose Iglesias and the Cincinnati Reds (21-26, 5th in NL Central) travel to Miller Park on Wednesday where they'll take on the Milwaukee Brewers (28-21, 2nd in NL Central). The Reds open this matchup at -101 while the Brewers are coming in at -109. The over/under opens at 8.

The Reds have been an awful play for baseball bettors, having gone 21-26-0 SU. Milwaukee is covering 57.1% of the time, going 28-21-0 straight up. The Brewers have been a great option for wagerers as favorites, going 14-8-0 SU. The Reds cover 28.6% of the time as the underdog, having gone 8-20-0 straight up.

Valuable Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Reds have been an awful Over option for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 16-30-1.

The Reds cover 37.5% of the time as the road team, having gone 9-15-0 straight up.

Important Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Brewers cover 66.7% of the time at Miller Park, going 16-8-0 SU.

The Brewers have been an awful Over option for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 19-29-1.

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

05/20/19 RF Yasiel Puig Shoulder left last game, is questionable Tuesday vs Milwaukee Brewers
03/30/19 3B Alex Blandino Knee 10-day IL (03/25)
03/27/19 P Alex Wood Back 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 2B Scooter Gennett Groin 60-day IL (03/25)

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

05/16/19 C Manny Pina Hamstring 10-day IL (05/16)
05/14/19 3B Travis Shaw Wrist 10-day IL (05/14)
04/11/19 P Corey Knebel Elbow 60-day IL (04/11); is out for season
03/27/19 P Jimmy Nelson Shoulder 10-day IL (03/27)
03/25/19 P Bobby Wahl ACL 60-day IL (04/05); is out for season
03/25/19 P Brent Suter Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Reds have a 21-26 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Luis Castillo has a 5-1 record with an earned run average of 1.90 and a WHIP of 0.96 this season. He has 76 strikeouts over his 61.2 innings pitched and he's given up 34 hits. He's allowed 5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.62. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.35 and they have given up 143 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .230 against the bullpen and they've struck out 180 hitters and walked 64 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 7.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.41. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 354 base hits and 159 earned runs. They have allowed 43 home runs this season, ranking them 29th in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 153 batters and struck out 458. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.21 and their FIP as a unit is 3.43.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cincinnati is hitting .218, good for 29th in the league. The Reds hold a .388 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .290, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 7.2 hits per game. Jose Iglesias is hitting .295 with an on-base percentage of .327. He has 43 hits this season in 146 at bats with 15 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .425 and an OPS+ of 96. Eugenio Suarez is hitting .259 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .339. He has totaled 44 hits and he has driven in 31 men in 170 at bats. His OPS+ is 128 while his slugging percentage is at .547. The Reds have 340 hits, including 56 doubles and 66 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 141 times so far this season and they have struck out 415 times as a unit. They have left 277 men on base and have a team OPS of .678. They score 4.02 runs per contest and have scored a total of 189 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Milwaukee has a 28-21 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 1.54, Zach Davies has a 5-0 record and a 1.18 WHIP. He has 36 strikeouts over the 52.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 46 hits. He's allowing 7.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.73. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.40 and they have given up 166 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .219 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 219 batters and walked 86 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.24. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 412 base knocks and 210 earned runs this season. They have given up 72 home runs this year, which ranks 3rd in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 178 hitters and struck out 447 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 4.48.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .247, good for 14th in the league. The Brewers hold a .431 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Christian Yelich comes into this matchup batting .325 with an OBP of .440. He has 51 hits this year along with 41 RBI in 157 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .732 with an OPS+ of 204. Lorenzo Cain is hitting .267 this season and he has an OBP of .326. He has collected 52 hits in 195 at bats while driving in 19 runs. He has an OPS+ of 93 and a slugging percentage of .405. The Brewers as a unit have 417 base hits, including 72 doubles and 78 homers. Milwaukee has walked 195 times this year and they have struck out on 469 occasions. They have had 351 men left on base and have an OPS of .763. They have scored 4.88 runs per game and totaled 239 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Reds/Brewers MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers -109

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