Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers Baseball Betting Tips and Predictions 6/21/2019

Friday, June 21, 2019

Miller Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Sonny Gray vs. Chase Anderson

Miller Park is the venue where Lorenzo Cain and the Milwaukee Brewers (40-34, 2nd in NL Central) will play the Cincinnati Reds (34-38, 4th in NL Central) on Friday. The Brewers open this contest at -120 while the Reds are priced at +110. The total opens at 9.

The Reds have been good for Las Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 34-38-0 SU. The Brewers are covering 54.0% of the time, going 40-34-0 straight up. The Brewers have been awful for Vegas oddsmakers as favorites, going 23-17-0 SU. Cincinnati covers 38.1% of the time as the underdog, having gone 16-26-0 straight up.

Valuable Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Reds have been an excellent Under play for O/U wagerers, having gone 24-46-2.

Cincinnati covers 41.7% of the time as the visitor, having gone 15-21-0 straight up.

Important Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

Milwaukee covers 62.9% of the time at Miller Park, going 22-13-0 SU.

The Brewers have been a solid Under play for O/U wagerers, having gone 32-39-3.

Related: MLB Baseball First Five Innings Betting Strategy

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

6/17/2019 Scooter Gennett 2B Groin Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/15/2019 Wandy Peralta RP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
5/31/2019 Alex Wood SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 7

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

6/19/2019 Mike Moustakas 2B Hand Probable for Jun 20
6/18/2019 Gio Gonzalez SP Arm Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
4/14/2019 Corey Knebel RP Elbow Out for the season
4/4/2019 Bobby Wahl RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
2/19/2019 Brent Suter SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Reds have a 34-38 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Sonny Gray has a 3-5 record with an earned run average of 3.77 and a WHIP of 1.21 this season. He has 79 strikeouts over his 71.2 innings pitched and he's given up 60 hits. He's allowed 7.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.23. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.44 and they have given up 211 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the bullpen and they've struck out 278 hitters and walked 95 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.53. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 552 base hits and 251 earned runs. They have allowed 74 home runs this season, ranking them 29th in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 234 batters and struck out 691. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.23 and their FIP as a unit is 3.72.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cincinnati is hitting .234, good for 27th in the league. The Reds hold a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .305, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 7.8 hits per game. Eugenio Suarez is hitting .250 with an on-base percentage of .329. He has 66 hits this season in 264 at bats with 43 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .470 and an OPS+ of 102. Jose Iglesias is hitting .288 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .331. He has totaled 64 hits and he has driven in 24 men in 222 at bats. His OPS+ is 89 while his slugging percentage is at .410. The Reds have 561 hits, including 103 doubles and 99 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 222 times so far this season and they have struck out 629 times as a unit. They have left 452 men on base and have a team OPS of .712. They score 4.25 runs per contest and have scored a total of 306 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Milwaukee has a 40-34 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.05, Chase Anderson has a 3-1 record and a 1.39 WHIP. He has 49 strikeouts over the 46.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 46 hits. He's allowing 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.58. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.26 and they have given up 260 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .226 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 340 batters and walked 127 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.57. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 651 base knocks and 341 earned runs this season. They have given up 103 home runs this year, which ranks 13th in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 262 hitters and struck out 696 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.36.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .251, good for 17th in the league. The Brewers hold a .450 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 14th in MLB with 8.7 hits per contest. Lorenzo Cain comes into this matchup batting .252 with an OBP of .308. He has 73 hits this year along with 27 RBI in 290 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .359 with an OPS+ of 73. Christian Yelich is hitting .345 this season and he has an OBP of .441. He has collected 86 hits in 249 at bats while driving in 58 runs. He has an OPS+ of 200 and a slugging percentage of .743. The Brewers as a unit have 644 base hits, including 117 doubles and 128 homers. Milwaukee has walked 284 times this year and they have struck out on 705 occasions. They have had 524 men left on base and have an OPS of .781. They have scored 4.99 runs per game and totaled 369 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Reds/Brewers MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers -120

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