Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates Baseball Betting Tips and Predictions 9/28/2019

Saturday, September 28, 2019

PNC Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Trevor Bauer vs. James Marvel

PNC Park is the venue where Kevin Newman and the Pittsburgh Pirates (68-91, 5th in NL Central) will take on the Cincinnati Reds (73-86, 4th in NL Central) on Saturday. The Pirates open this contest at +130 while the Reds are coming in at -150. The O/U opens at 10.5.

The Reds have been a good play for MLB wagerers, having gone 73-86-0 SU. Pittsburgh is covering 42.8% of the time, going 68-91-0 straight up.

Valuable Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Reds have been a hot and cold Over bet for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 60-91-8.

Cincinnati is covering 41.0% of the time as the road team, having gone 32-46-0 straight up.

Important Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

The Pirates cover 44.2% of the time at PNC Park, going 34-43-0 SU.

The Pirates have been an awful Under bet for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 92-61-6.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

9/26/2019 Alex Wood SP Back Probable for Sep 27
9/26/2019 Michael Lorenzen RP Illness Probable for Sep 27
9/26/2019 Trevor Bauer SP Illness Expected to be out until at least Sep 29
9/26/2019 Robert Stephenson RP Illness Probable for Sep 27
9/26/2019 Joel Kuhnel RP Illness Probable for Sep 27
9/26/2019 Freddy Galvis 2B Knee Probable for Sep 27
9/25/2019 Sonny Gray SP Elbow Out for the season
9/25/2019 Derek Dietrich 2B Shoulder Probable for Sep 27
9/24/2019 Jesse Winker LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/21/2019 Nick Senzel CF Shoulder Out for the season

Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries

9/26/2019 Bryan Reynolds LF Hamstring Probable for Sep 27
9/25/2019 Josh Bell 1B Groin Out for the season
9/25/2019 Elias Diaz C Knee Out for the season
9/25/2019 Cole Tucker SS Knee Out for the season
9/25/2019 Starling Marte CF Wrist Out for the season
9/17/2019 Chris Archer SP Shoulder Out for the season
9/13/2019 Kyle Crick RP Finger Out for the season
9/8/2019 Jason Martin LF Shoulder Out for the season
9/4/2019 Gregory Polanco RF Shoulder Out for the season
8/29/2019 Nick Burdi RP Biceps Out for the season
8/14/2019 Jameson Taillon SP Elbow Out for the season
8/8/2019 Lonnie Chisenhall RF Calf Out for the season
3/28/2019 Edgar Santana RP Elbow Out for the season
3/1/2019 Chad Kuhl SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Reds have a 73-86 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Trevor Bauer has a 11-13 record with an earned run average of 4.48 and a WHIP of 1.25 this season. He has 253 strikeouts over his 213 innings pitched and he's given up 184 hits. He's allowed 7.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.35. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.37 and they have given up 479 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the bullpen and they've struck out 592 hitters and walked 231 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.22. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 1,248 base hits and 660 earned runs. They have allowed 212 home runs this season, ranking them 18th in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 529 batters and struck out 1,533. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 4.25.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cincinnati is hitting .244, good for 24th in the league. The Reds hold a .421 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Jose Iglesias is hitting .284 with an on-base percentage of .311. He has 141 hits this season in 496 at bats with 56 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .403 and an OPS+ of 83. Joey Votto is hitting .264 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .360. He has totaled 137 hits and he has driven in 47 men in 518 at bats. His OPS+ is 101 while his slugging percentage is at .417. The Reds have 1,300 hits, including 225 doubles and 223 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 473 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,406 times as a unit. They have left 1,041 men on base and have a team OPS of .735. They score 4.33 runs per contest and have scored a total of 689 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Pittsburgh has a 68-91 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 10.22, James Marvel has a 0-3 record and a 1.87 WHIP. He has 7 strikeouts over the 12.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 19 hits. He's allowing 13.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.71. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.96 and they have given up 606 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the Pirates bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 674 batters and walked 293 opposing hitters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 5.21. The Pirates pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,483 base knocks and 817 earned runs this season. They have given up 237 home runs this year, which ranks 8th in Major League Baseball. Pittsburgh as a staff has walked 565 hitters and struck out 1,413 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.45 while their FIP as a staff is 4.78.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .266, good for 5th in the league. The Pirates hold a .423 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322, which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 9.3 hits per contest. Kevin Newman comes into this matchup batting .308 with an OBP of .353. He has 148 hits this year along with 59 RBI in 480 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .438 with an OPS+ of 109. Adam Frazier is hitting .282 this season and he has an OBP of .338. He has collected 153 hits in 543 at bats while driving in 50 runs. He has an OPS+ of 100 and a slugging percentage of .422. The Pirates as a unit have 1,475 base hits, including 313 doubles and 161 homers. Pittsburgh has walked 418 times this year and they have struck out on 1,194 occasions. They have had 1,085 men left on base and have an OPS of .745. They have scored 4.71 runs per game and totaled 749 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Reds/Pirates MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Pirates (+130)

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