Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 8/28/2019
Wednesday, August 28, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Aaron Civale vs. Jordan Zimmermann
Carlos Santana and the Cleveland Indians (76-55, 2nd in AL Central) travel to Comerica Park on Wednesday where they'll meet the Detroit Tigers (39-89, 5th in AL Central). The Tigers open this contest at +178 while the Indians are coming in at -190. The over/under is set at 9.5.
The Indians have been an excellent option for baseball wagerers, having gone 76-55-0 SU. The Tigers cover 30.5% of the time, going 39-89-0 straight up.
Valuable Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Indians have been an awful Over bet for over/under wagerers, having gone 56-70-5.
Cleveland is covering 55.6% of the time as the road team, having gone 35-28-0 straight up.
Important Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Tigers cover 28.3% of the time at Comerica Park, going 17-43-0 SU.
The Tigers have been a solid Under bet for over/under wagerers, having gone 58-61-9.
Key Cleveland Indians Injuries
8/26/2019 Carlos Carrasco SP Illness Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/26/2019 Jefry Rodriguez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/26/2019 Bradley Zimmer CF Side Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/26/2019 Jordan Luplow RF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/25/2019 Jose Ramirez 3B Hand Out for the season
8/24/2019 Dan Otero RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/22/2019 Tyler Olson RP Infection Expected to be out until at least Sep 2
8/20/2019 A.J RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/20/2019 Corey Kluber SP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
8/18/2019 Danny Salazar SP Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/12/2019 Christian Arroyo 3B Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/12/2019 Cody Anderson RP Elbow Out for the season
Key Detroit Tigers Injuries
8/24/2019 Niko Goodrum SS Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 2
8/14/2019 Blaine Hardy RP Elbow Out for the season
8/14/2019 JaCoby Jones CF Wrist Out for the season
8/11/2019 Tyson Ross SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
4/30/2019 Matt Moore SP Knee Out for the season
3/23/2019 Michael Fulmer SP Elbow Out for the season
10/25/2019 Artie Lewicki RP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Indians have a 76-55 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Aaron Civale has a 1-3 record with an earned run average of 1.82 and a WHIP of 0.91 this season. He has 25 strikeouts over his 29.2 innings pitched and he's given up 21 hits. He's allowed 6.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.23. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.50 and they have given up 382 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .241 against the bullpen and they've struck out 413 hitters and walked 136 batters. As a team, Cleveland allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.68. The Indians pitchers collectively have given up 1,046 base hits and 476 earned runs. They have allowed 165 home runs this season, ranking them 22nd in the league. Cleveland as a pitching staff has walked 364 batters and struck out 1,219. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.21 and their FIP as a unit is 4.04.
As a team Cleveland is hitting .250, good for 17th in the league. The Indians hold a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Carlos Santana is hitting .288 with an on-base percentage of .412. He has 132 hits this season in 458 at bats with 79 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .541 and an OPS+ of 147. Francisco Lindor is hitting .296 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .350. He has totaled 138 hits and he has driven in 56 men in 466 at bats. His OPS+ is 123 while his slugging percentage is at .519. The Indians have 1,099 hits, including 230 doubles and 182 home runs. Cleveland has walked 451 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,057 times as a unit. They have left 870 men on base and have a team OPS of .757. They score 4.7 runs per contest and have scored a total of 616 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Detroit has a 39-89 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.48, Jordan Zimmermann has a 1-9 record and a 1.46 WHIP. He has 61 strikeouts over the 82 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 98 hits. He's allowing 10.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.58. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.03 and they have given up 502 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .259 against the Tigers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 448 batters and walked 226 opposing hitters. As a team, Detroit allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.16. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,211 base knocks and 656 earned runs this season. They have given up 199 home runs this year, which ranks 7th in Major League Baseball. Detroit as a staff has walked 432 hitters and struck out 1,073 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.44 while their FIP as a staff is 4.87.
As a team, they are batting .238, good for 29th in the league. The Tigers hold a .388 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .294, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Miguel Cabrera comes into this matchup batting .280 with an OBP of .343. He has 118 hits this year along with 50 RBI in 421 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .390 with an OPS+ of 93. Brandon Dixon is hitting .248 this season and he has an OBP of .287. He has collected 81 hits in 326 at bats while driving in 44 runs. He has an OPS+ of 88 and a slugging percentage of .445. The Tigers as a unit have 1,055 base hits, including 238 doubles and 121 homers. Detroit has walked 330 times this year and they have struck out on 1,283 occasions. They have had 868 men left on base and have an OPS of .682. They have scored 3.64 runs per game and totaled 470 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Indians/Tigers MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Indians (-190)
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