Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians Expert MLB Picks 9/19/2019

Thursday, September 19, 2019

Progressive Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jordan Zimmermann vs. Mike Clevinger

Brandon Dixon and the Detroit Tigers (45-105, 5th in AL Central) travel to Progressive Field on Thursday where they'll take on the Cleveland Indians (88-63, 2nd in AL Central). The Tigers open this contest at +290 while the Indians are coming in at -330. The over/under opens at 9.

The Tigers have been a hot and cold pick for bettors, having gone 45-105-0 SU. The Indians cover 58.3% of the time, going 88-63-0 straight up.

Valuable Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Tigers have been a decent Over pick for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 68-72-10.

Detroit is covering 32.4% of the time as the road team, having gone 24-50-0 straight up.

Important Cleveland Indians Betting Trends

Cleveland is covering 59.2% of the time at Progressive Field, going 45-31-0 SU.

The Indians have been a decent Under pick for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 64-82-5.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Detroit Tigers Injuries

9/18/2019 Buck Farmer RP Undisclosed
9/17/2019 Jeimer Candelario 3B Triceps
9/17/2019 Matthew Boyd SP Personal Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/16/2019 Daniel Stumpf RP Elbow Out for the season
9/14/2019 Niko Goodrum SS Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 28
9/11/2019 Tyson Ross SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/1/2019 JaCoby Jones CF Wrist Out for the season
8/14/2019 Blaine Hardy RP Elbow Out for the season
4/30/2019 Matt Moore SP Knee Out for the season
3/23/2019 Michael Fulmer SP Elbow Out for the season
10/25/2019 Artie Lewicki RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Cleveland Indians Injuries

9/17/2019 Brad Hand RP Arm Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/17/2019 Jason Kipnis 2B Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/17/2019 Franmil Reyes DH Personal
9/13/2019 Tyler Naquin RF Knee Out for the season
9/11/2019 Christian Arroyo 3B Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/7/2019 Corey Kluber SP Oblique Out for the season
9/6/2019 Danny Salazar SP Groin Out for the season
9/1/2019 Tyler Olson RP Infection Out for the season
9/1/2019 A.J RP Shoulder Out for the season
8/25/2019 Jose Ramirez 3B Hand Out for the season
7/12/2019 Cody Anderson RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Tigers have a 45-105 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jordan Zimmermann has a 1-11 record with an earned run average of 6.32 and a WHIP of 1.44 this season. He has 74 strikeouts over his 104 innings pitched and he's given up 127 hits. He's allowed 11 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.76. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.98 and they have given up 606 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .260 against the bullpen and they've struck out 565 hitters and walked 277 batters. As a team, Detroit allows 9.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.26. The Tigers pitchers collectively have given up 1,435 base hits and 781 earned runs. They have allowed 237 home runs this season, ranking them 6th in the league. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 509 batters and struck out 1,268. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 4.91.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Detroit is hitting .241, good for 25th in the league. The Tigers hold a .390 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .296, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Brandon Dixon is hitting .247 with an on-base percentage of .293. He has 90 hits this season in 364 at bats with 51 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .442 and an OPS+ of 89. Miguel Cabrera is hitting .283 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .349. He has totaled 133 hits and he has driven in 55 men in 470 at bats. His OPS+ is 95 while his slugging percentage is at .391. The Tigers have 1,249 hits, including 276 doubles and 141 home runs. Detroit has walked 377 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,497 times as a unit. They have left 1,006 men on base and have a team OPS of .687. They score 3.71 runs per contest and have scored a total of 556 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cleveland has a 88-63 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.68, Mike Clevinger has a 11-3 record and a 1.03 WHIP. He has 149 strikeouts over the 107.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 77 hits. He's allowing 6.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.51. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.66 and they have given up 436 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .241 against the Indians bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 488 batters and walked 164 opposing hitters. As a team, Cleveland allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.69. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,206 base knocks and 550 earned runs this season. They have given up 194 home runs this year, which ranks 21st in Major League Baseball. Cleveland as a staff has walked 423 hitters and struck out 1,413 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.21 while their FIP as a staff is 4.07.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .251, good for 15th in the league. The Indians hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Francisco Lindor comes into this matchup batting .290 with an OBP of .340. He has 161 hits this year along with 70 RBI in 556 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .531 with an OPS+ of 121. Carlos Santana is hitting .280 this season and he has an OBP of .398. He has collected 151 hits in 539 at bats while driving in 89 runs. He has an OPS+ of 138 and a slugging percentage of .527. The Indians as a unit have 1,272 base hits, including 270 doubles and 209 homers. Cleveland has walked 528 times this year and they have struck out on 1,234 occasions. They have had 1,011 men left on base and have an OPS of .761. They have scored 4.74 runs per game and totaled 716 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Tigers/Indians MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Indians (-330)

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