Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals Expert MLB Picks 6/12/2019

Wednesday, June 12, 2019

Kauffman Stadium

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Daniel Norris vs. Danny Duffy

Nicholas Castellanos and the Detroit Tigers (24-38, 4th in AL Central) go to Kauffman Stadium on Wednesday where they'll take on the Kansas City Royals (20-45, 5th in AL Central). The Royals open this game at -145 while the Tigers are priced at +135. The O/U has been set at 9.

The Tigers have been a bad option for wagerers, having gone 24-38-0 SU. Kansas City is covering 30.8% of the time, going 20-45-0 straight up. The Royals have been a hot and cold pick for MLB bettors as favorites, going 4-4-0 SU. Detroit has went 17-32-0 straight up as the underdog, so they cover 34.7% of the time.

Valuable Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Tigers have been a good Under option for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 27-32-3.

The Tigers cover 43.3% of the time as the road team, having gone 13-17-0 straight up.

Important Kansas City Royals Betting Trends

The Royals cover 35.3% of the time at Kauffman Stadium, going 12-22-0 SU.

The Royals have been a pretty good Over option for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 32-29-4.

Related: Launch Angle Stat: Advice for MLB Handicapping and Betting

Key Detroit Tigers Injuries

6/10/2019 Jordy Mercer SS Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/10/2019 Jordan Zimmermann SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 21
6/9/2019 Josh Harrison 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
6/5/2019 Tyson Ross SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 30
6/4/2019 Jeimer Candelario 3B Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 14
4/30/2019 Matt Moore SP Knee Out for the season
3/23/2019 Michael Fulmer SP Elbow Out for the season
10/25/2019 Artie Lewicki RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Kansas City Royals Injuries

6/10/2019 Lucas Duda DH Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 11
6/10/2019 Jesse Hahn SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 25
6/10/2019 Hunter Dozier 3B Side Expected to be out until at least Jun 12
3/28/2019 Trevor Oaks SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
3/11/2019 Salvador Perez C Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Tigers have a 24-38 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Daniel Norris has a 2-5 record with an earned run average of 4.60 and a WHIP of 1.45 this season. He has 48 strikeouts over his 62.2 innings pitched and he's given up 75 hits. He's allowed 10.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.86. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.23 and they have given up 233 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .260 against the bullpen and they've struck out 197 hitters and walked 108 batters. As a team, Detroit allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.85. The Tigers pitchers collectively have given up 572 base hits and 302 earned runs. They have allowed 99 home runs this season, ranking them 5th in the league. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 208 batters and struck out 503. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.90.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Detroit is hitting .233, good for 25th in the league. The Tigers hold a .382 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .295, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 25th in MLB with 7.9 hits per game. Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .262 with an on-base percentage of .313. He has 64 hits this season in 244 at bats with 23 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .443 and an OPS+ of 98. Niko Goodrum is hitting .235 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .317. He has totaled 51 hits and he has driven in 18 men in 217 at bats. His OPS+ is 88 while his slugging percentage is at .396. The Tigers have 498 hits, including 121 doubles and 55 home runs. Detroit has walked 175 times so far this season and they have struck out 618 times as a unit. They have left 428 men on base and have a team OPS of .678. They score 3.57 runs per contest and have scored a total of 225 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Kansas City has a 20-45 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.68, Danny Duffy has a 3-3 record and a 1.42 WHIP. He has 35 strikeouts over the 42.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 44 hits. He's allowing 9.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.37. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.85 and they have given up 233 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .264 against the Royals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 223 batters and walked 102 opposing hitters. As a team, Kansas City allows 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.9 batters per nine innings. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.22. The Royals pitchers as a team have surrendered 594 base knocks and 330 earned runs this season. They have given up 76 home runs this year, which ranks 26th in Major League Baseball. Kansas City as a staff has walked 243 hitters and struck out 501 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.47 while their FIP as a staff is 4.59.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .244, good for 20th in the league. The Royals hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Adalberto Mondesi comes into this matchup batting .273 with an OBP of .307. He has 71 hits this year along with 44 RBI in 260 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .462 with an OPS+ of 102. Whit Merrifield is hitting .294 this season and he has an OBP of .344. He has collected 79 hits in 269 at bats while driving in 29 runs. He has an OPS+ of 118 and a slugging percentage of .480. The Royals as a unit have 534 base hits, including 105 doubles and 66 homers. Kansas City has walked 191 times this year and they have struck out on 574 occasions. They have had 423 men left on base and have an OPS of .714. They have scored 4.18 runs per game and totaled 272 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Tigers/Royals MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Royals -145

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