Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals MLB Picks 6/13/2019

Thursday, June 13, 2019
Kauffman Stadium
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Matthew Boyd vs. Homer Bailey
Niko Goodrum and the Detroit Tigers (24-39, 4th in AL Central) travel to Kauffman Stadium on Thursday where they'll take on the Kansas City Royals (21-45, 5th in AL Central). The line on this contest has the Tigers priced at -115 and the Royals are at -105. The over/under is set at 9.
The Tigers have been a bad choice for MLB wagerers, having gone 24-39-0 SU. The Royals cover 31.8% of the time, going 21-45-0 straight up. The Tigers have been hot and cold for Las Vegas oddsmakers oddsmakers as a favorite, going 7-6-0 SU. The Royals cover 28.1% of the time as an underdog, having gone 16-41-0 straight up.
Valuable Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Tigers have been a terrible Over bet for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 27-33-3.
The Tigers cover 41.9% of the time as the road team, having gone 13-18-0 straight up.
Important Kansas City Royals Betting Trends
The Royals cover 37.1% of the time at Kauffman Stadium, going 13-22-0 SU.
The Royals have been a dicey Under bet for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 32-30-4.
Key Detroit Tigers Injuries
6/11/2019 Tyson Ross SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/11/2019 Niko Goodrum LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 13
6/10/2019 Jordan Zimmermann SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 21
6/10/2019 Jordy Mercer SS Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/9/2019 Josh Harrison 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
6/4/2019 Jeimer Candelario 3B Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 14
4/30/2019 Matt Moore SP Knee Out for the season
3/23/2019 Michael Fulmer SP Elbow Out for the season
10/25/2019 Artie Lewicki RP Elbow Out for the season
Key Kansas City Royals Injuries
6/11/2019 Lucas Duda DH Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 12
6/10/2019 Jesse Hahn SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 25
6/10/2019 Hunter Dozier 3B Side Expected to be out until at least Jun 12
3/28/2019 Trevor Oaks SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
3/11/2019 Salvador Perez C Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Tigers have a 24-39 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Matthew Boyd has a 5-4 record with an earned run average of 3.08 and a WHIP of 1.04 this season. He has 105 strikeouts over his 84.2 innings pitched and he's given up 73 hits. He's allowed 7.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.91. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.30 and they have given up 238 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .263 against the bullpen and they've struck out 197 hitters and walked 108 batters. As a team, Detroit allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8 batters per nine innings. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.83. The Tigers pitchers collectively have given up 581 base hits and 305 earned runs. They have allowed 100 home runs this season, ranking them 5th in the league. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 210 batters and struck out 508. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.90.
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Hitting Statistics
As a team Detroit is hitting .232, good for 25th in the league. The Tigers hold a .382 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .294, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 25th in MLB with 7.9 hits per game. Niko Goodrum is hitting .235 with an on-base percentage of .317. He has 51 hits this season in 217 at bats with 18 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .396 and an OPS+ of 88. Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .262 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .313. He has totaled 64 hits and he has driven in 23 men in 244 at bats. His OPS+ is 98 while his slugging percentage is at .443. The Tigers have 503 hits, including 122 doubles and 57 home runs. Detroit has walked 176 times so far this season and they have struck out 625 times as a unit. They have left 432 men on base and have a team OPS of .676. They score 3.55 runs per contest and have scored a total of 227 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Kansas City has a 21-45 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.90, Homer Bailey has a 4-6 record and a 1.51 WHIP. He has 55 strikeouts over the 61 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 66 hits. He's allowing 9.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.37. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.81 and they have given up 233 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .262 against the Royals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 225 batters and walked 103 opposing hitters. As a team, Kansas City allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.9 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 5.17. The Royals pitchers as a team have surrendered 599 base knocks and 332 earned runs this season. They have given up 78 home runs this year, which ranks 26th in Major League Baseball. Kansas City as a staff has walked 244 hitters and struck out 508 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 4.60.
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As a team, they are batting .244, good for 21st in the league. The Royals hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Whit Merrifield comes into this matchup batting .294 with an OBP of .344. He has 79 hits this year along with 29 RBI in 269 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .480 with an OPS+ of 118. Adalberto Mondesi is hitting .273 this season and he has an OBP of .307. He has collected 71 hits in 260 at bats while driving in 44 runs. He has an OPS+ of 102 and a slugging percentage of .462. The Royals as a unit have 543 base hits, including 107 doubles and 67 homers. Kansas City has walked 193 times this year and they have struck out on 579 occasions. They have had 431 men left on base and have an OPS of .715. They have scored 4.17 runs per game and totaled 275 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Tigers/Royals MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Tigers -115
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