Detroit Tigers at Philadelphia Phillies MLB Game Picks 5/1/2019

Wednesday, May 1, 2019

Citizens Bank Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Spencer Turnbull vs. Aaron Nola

The Detroit Tigers visit Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday, May 1, 2019 to play the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable starters are Spencer Turnbull for the Tigers and Aaron Nola for the Phillies.

The opening line for this matchup has Detroit at +178 and Philadelphia at -190. The Tigers have a 11-15-0 over/under record and a 14-12-0 run line mark. The Phillies are 14-14-0 against the run line and have a 13-14-1 over/under record.

Valuable Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Detroit Tigers are 11-15-0 against the over/under

The Detroit Tigers are 14-12-0 against the run line

Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 13-14-1 against the over/under

The Philadelphia Phillies are 14-14-0 against the run line

Key Detroit Tigers Injuries

04/29/19 2B Josh Harrison Shoulder is questionable Tuesday vs Philadelphia Phillies
04/26/19 P Jordan Zimmermann Elbow 10-day IL (04/26)
04/24/19 P Blaine Hardy Forearm 10-day IL (04/23)
04/18/19 LF Christin Stewart Quad 10-day IL (04/18)
04/17/19 P Matt Moore Knee is out for season
04/14/19 SS Jordy Mercer Quad 10-day IL (04/14)
03/28/19 P Michael Fulmer Elbow 60-day IL (03/23)

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

04/25/19 CF Roman Quinn Groin 10-day IL (04/25)
04/20/19 2B Scott Kingery Hamstring 10-day IL (04/20)
04/20/19 P Victor Arano Elbow 10-day IL (04/19)
04/18/19 CF Odubel Herrera Hamstring 10-day IL (04/18)
04/17/19 P Tommy Hunter Forearm 60-day IL (03/25)
04/15/19 P David Robertson Elbow 10-day IL (04/15)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Tigers have a 12-14 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Spencer Turnbull has a 1-2 record with an earned run average of 2.77 and a WHIP of 1.31 this season. He has 26 strikeouts over his 26 innings pitched and he's given up 23 hits. He's allowed 8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.74. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.81 and they have given up 86 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the bullpen and they've struck out 86 hitters and walked 42 batters. As a team, Detroit allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.1. The Tigers pitchers collectively have given up 210 base hits and 105 earned runs. They have allowed 29 home runs this season, ranking them 25th in the league. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 90 batters and struck out 223. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.12.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Detroit is hitting .229, good for 24th in the league. The Tigers hold a .372 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .305, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 24th in MLB with 7.7 hits per game. Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .266 with an on-base percentage of .327. He has 25 hits this season in 94 at bats with 8 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .447 and an OPS+ of 105. Miguel Cabrera is hitting .283 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .363. He has totaled 28 hits and he has driven in 10 men in 99 at bats. His OPS+ is 96 while his slugging percentage is at .364. The Tigers have 199 hits, including 61 doubles and 19 home runs. Detroit has walked 86 times so far this season and they have struck out 264 times as a unit. They have left 185 men on base and have a team OPS of .676. They score 3.5 runs per contest and have scored a total of 91 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 16-12 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.68, Aaron Nola has a 2-0 record and a 1.58 WHIP. He has 32 strikeouts over the 31.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 37 hits. He's allowing 10.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.4. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.27 and they have given up 104 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .267 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 103 batters and walked 36 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.23. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 269 base knocks and 121 earned runs this season. They have given up 38 home runs this year, which ranks 12th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 89 hitters and struck out 241 batters. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.35.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .246, good for 16th in the league. The Phillies hold a .431 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 14th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Rhys Hoskins comes into this matchup batting .277 with an OBP of .411. He has 28 hits this year along with 23 RBI in 101 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .594 with an OPS+ of 159. Maikel Franco is hitting .263 this season and he has an OBP of .351. He has collected 26 hits in 99 at bats while driving in 22 runs. He has an OPS+ of 125 and a slugging percentage of .525. The Phillies as a unit have 239 base hits, including 55 doubles and 38 homers. Philadelphia has walked 126 times this year and they have struck out on 254 occasions. They have had 215 men left on base and have an OPS of .770. They have scored 5.18 runs per game and totaled 145 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Tigers/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Phillies -190

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