Houston Astros at Baltimore Orioles Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 8/10/2019
Saturday, August 10, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Aaron Sanchez vs. Aaron Brooks
Oriole Park is the venue where Jonathan Villar and the Baltimore Orioles (38-76, 5th in AL East) will take on the Houston Astros (75-40, 1st in AL West) on Saturday.
The Astros have been a strong choice for baseball bettors, having gone 75-40-0 SU. Baltimore is covering 33.3% of the time, going 38-76-0 straight up.
Valuable Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Astros have been a solid Under play for over/under wagerers, having gone 50-61-4.
The Astros cover 54.5% of the time as the away team, having gone 30-25-0 straight up.
Important Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Orioles cover 29.3% of the time at Oriole Park, going 17-41-0 SU.
The Orioles have been an inconsistent Under play for over/under wagerers, having gone 56-48-10.
Key Houston Astros Injuries
8/7/2019 Brad Peacock SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 12
8/6/2019 Ryan Pressly RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 9
8/6/2019 Josh James RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 20
6/9/2019 Lance McCullers SP Elbow Out for the season
Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries
8/7/2019 DJ Stewart RF Concussion Expected to be out until at least Aug 14
8/5/2019 Dwight Smith LF Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
8/1/2019 Mark Trumbo LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/1/2019 Josh Rogers RP Elbow Out for the season
6/11/2019 Alex Cobb SP Hip Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Astros have a 75-40 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Aaron Sanchez has a 4-14 record with an earned run average of 5.76 and a WHIP of 1.62 this season. He has 105 strikeouts over his 118.2 innings pitched and he's given up 131 hits. He's allowed 9.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.91. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.74 and they have given up 324 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .222 against the bullpen and they've struck out 412 hitters and walked 140 batters. As a team, Houston allows 7.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.71. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 836 base hits and 426 earned runs. They have allowed 168 home runs this season, ranking them 9th in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 326 batters and struck out 1,159. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.12 and their FIP as a unit is 4.12.
As a team Houston is hitting .272, good for 3rd in the league. The Astros hold a .484 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .348, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 9.4 hits per game. George Springer is hitting .293 with an on-base percentage of .381. He has 94 hits this season in 321 at bats with 63 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .589 and an OPS+ of 152. Michael Brantley is hitting .322 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .381. He has totaled 136 hits and he has driven in 70 men in 422 at bats. His OPS+ is 136 while his slugging percentage is at .514. The Astros have 1,076 hits, including 222 doubles and 192 home runs. Houston has walked 441 times so far this season and they have struck out 825 times as a unit. They have left 821 men on base and have a team OPS of .832. They score 5.39 runs per contest and have scored a total of 620 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Baltimore has a 38-76 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.45, Aaron Brooks has a 2-5 record and a 1.34 WHIP. He has 56 strikeouts over the 69.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 72 hits. He's allowing 9.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.58. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.09 and they have given up 506 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .271 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 446 batters and walked 217 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.9 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.68. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,083 base knocks and 639 earned runs this season. They have given up 234 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 408 hitters and struck out 885 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.47 while their FIP as a staff is 5.84.
As a team, they are batting .244, good for 24th in the league. The Orioles hold a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .306, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Jonathan Villar comes into this matchup batting .268 with an OBP of .333. He has 120 hits this year along with 52 RBI in 447 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .441 with an OPS+ of 104. Trey Mancini is hitting .278 this season and he has an OBP of .338. He has collected 119 hits in 428 at bats while driving in 65 runs. He has an OPS+ of 127 and a slugging percentage of .537. The Orioles as a unit have 960 base hits, including 173 doubles and 143 homers. Baltimore has walked 312 times this year and they have struck out on 1,035 occasions. They have had 743 men left on base and have an OPS of .713. They have scored 4.37 runs per game and totaled 498 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Astros/Orioles MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Astros
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