Houston Astros at Baltimore Orioles Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 8/9/2019
Friday, August 9, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Wade Miley vs. Dylan Bundy
Michael Brantley and the Houston Astros (75-40, 1st in AL West) are headed to Oriole Park on Friday where they'll take on the Baltimore Orioles (38-76, 5th in AL East).
The Astros have been very good for bettors, having gone 75-40-0 SU. The Orioles cover 33.3% of the time, going 38-76-0 straight up.
Valuable Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Astros have been a less than ideal Over play for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 50-61-4.
The Astros cover 54.5% of the time as the away team, having gone 30-25-0 straight up.
Important Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
Baltimore covers 29.3% of the time at Oriole Park, going 17-41-0 SU.
The Orioles have been a good Over play for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 56-48-10.
Key Houston Astros Injuries
8/7/2019 Brad Peacock SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 12
8/6/2019 Ryan Pressly RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 9
8/6/2019 Josh James RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 20
6/9/2019 Lance McCullers SP Elbow Out for the season
Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries
8/7/2019 DJ Stewart RF Concussion Expected to be out until at least Aug 14
8/5/2019 Dwight Smith LF Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
8/1/2019 Mark Trumbo LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/1/2019 Josh Rogers RP Elbow Out for the season
6/11/2019 Alex Cobb SP Hip Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Astros have a 75-40 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Wade Miley has a 10-4 record with an earned run average of 3.05 and a WHIP of 1.13 this season. He has 112 strikeouts over his 132.2 innings pitched and he's given up 105 hits. He's allowed 7.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.4. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.74 and they have given up 324 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .222 against the bullpen and they've struck out 412 hitters and walked 140 batters. As a team, Houston allows 7.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.71. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 828 base hits and 423 earned runs. They have allowed 166 home runs this season, ranking them 8th in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 326 batters and struck out 1,147. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.13 and their FIP as a unit is 4.12.
As a team Houston is hitting .272, good for 2nd in the league. The Astros hold a .483 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .347, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 9.3 hits per game. Michael Brantley is hitting .321 with an on-base percentage of .379. He has 134 hits this season in 418 at bats with 69 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .514 and an OPS+ of 135. George Springer is hitting .293 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .381. He has totaled 94 hits and he has driven in 63 men in 321 at bats. His OPS+ is 152 while his slugging percentage is at .589. The Astros have 1,064 hits, including 220 doubles and 190 home runs. Houston has walked 432 times so far this season and they have struck out 816 times as a unit. They have left 814 men on base and have a team OPS of .830. They score 5.32 runs per contest and have scored a total of 606 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Baltimore has a 38-76 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.15, Dylan Bundy has a 5-11 record and a 1.37 WHIP. He has 112 strikeouts over the 108.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 110 hits. He's allowing 9.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.25. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.09 and they have given up 506 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .271 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 446 batters and walked 217 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.9 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.62. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,068 base knocks and 627 earned runs this season. They have given up 229 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 404 hitters and struck out 877 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.47 while their FIP as a staff is 5.80.
As a team, they are batting .245, good for 23rd in the league. The Orioles hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .306, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Trey Mancini comes into this matchup batting .278 with an OBP of .338. He has 118 hits this year along with 64 RBI in 424 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .533 with an OPS+ of 127. Jonathan Villar is hitting .268 this season and he has an OBP of .331. He has collected 119 hits in 444 at bats while driving in 52 runs. He has an OPS+ of 104 and a slugging percentage of .441. The Orioles as a unit have 954 base hits, including 172 doubles and 142 homers. Baltimore has walked 310 times this year and they have struck out on 1,027 occasions. They have had 737 men left on base and have an OPS of .715. They have scored 4.39 runs per game and totaled 496 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Astros/Orioles MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Astros
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