Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 7/15/2019
Monday, July 15, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Brad Peacock vs. Griffin Canning
Mike Trout and the Los Angeles Angels (47-46, 4th in AL West) host the Houston Astros (58-35, 1st in AL West) at Angel Stadium on Monday, July 15, 2019. The Astros open this contest at -161 while the Angels are coming in at +151. The O/U is set at 9.
The Astros have been a very good choice for bettors, having gone 58-35-0 SU. Los Angeles is covering 50.5% of the time, going 47-46-0 straight up. The Astros have been awful for Las Vegas oddsmakers as a favorite, going 56-30-0 SU. Los Angeles is covering 42.2% of the time as an underdog, having gone 19-26-0 straight up.
Valuable Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Astros have been a good Under bet for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 41-48-4.
The Astros cover 52.3% of the time on the road, having gone 23-21-0 straight up.
Important Los Angeles Angels Betting Trends
The Angels cover 55.8% of the time at Angel Stadium, going 24-19-0 SU.
The Angels have been a good Under bet for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 43-43-7.
Key Houston Astros Injuries
7/12/2019 Carlos Correa SS Ribs Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
7/11/2019 Aledmys Diaz 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
7/1/2019 Brad Peacock SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 15
6/9/2019 Lance McCullers SP Elbow Out for the season
Key Los Angeles Angels Injuries
7/13/2019 Brian Goodwin LF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jul 15
7/12/2019 Zack Cozart 3B Shoulder Out for the season
7/12/2019 Jonathan Lucroy C Head Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
7/12/2019 JC Ramirez SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 21
7/3/2019 Stella Tommy La Stella 2B Lower Leg Expected to be out until at least Sep 3
6/26/2019 Keynan Middleton RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Astros have a 58-35 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Brad Peacock has a 6-6 record with an earned run average of 4.13 and a WHIP of 1.15 this season. He has 89 strikeouts over his 85 innings pitched and he's given up 73 hits. He's allowed 7.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.16. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.87 and they have given up 266 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the bullpen and they've struck out 339 hitters and walked 112 batters. As a team, Houston allows 7.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.92. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 696 base hits and 365 earned runs. They have allowed 146 home runs this season, ranking them 5th in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 264 batters and struck out 937. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.15 and their FIP as a unit is 4.27.
As a team Houston is hitting .269, good for 4th in the league. The Astros hold a .471 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .343, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 9.2 hits per game. George Springer is hitting .300 with an on-base percentage of .385. He has 73 hits this season in 243 at bats with 47 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .576 and an OPS+ of 152. Michael Brantley is hitting .323 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .380. He has totaled 111 hits and he has driven in 48 men in 344 at bats. His OPS+ is 134 while his slugging percentage is at .503. The Astros have 856 hits, including 175 doubles and 147 home runs. Houston has walked 352 times so far this season and they have struck out 653 times as a unit. They have left 661 men on base and have a team OPS of .815. They score 5.09 runs per contest and have scored a total of 473 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Los Angeles has a 47-46 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.43, Griffin Canning has a 3-5 record and a 1.09 WHIP. He has 69 strikeouts over the 65 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 54 hits. He's allowing 7.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.7. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.50 and they have given up 401 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .243 against the Angels bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 448 batters and walked 182 opposing hitters. As a team, Los Angeles allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.85. The Angels pitchers as a team have surrendered 774 base knocks and 443 earned runs this season. They have given up 149 home runs this year, which ranks 4th in Major League Baseball. Los Angeles as a staff has walked 328 hitters and struck out 824 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 4.90.
As a team, they are batting .262, good for 9th in the league. The Angels hold a .444 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Mike Trout comes into this matchup batting .306 with an OBP of .456. He has 95 hits this year along with 75 RBI in 310 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .668 with an OPS+ of 196. David Fletcher is hitting .302 this season and he has an OBP of .365. He has collected 93 hits in 308 at bats while driving in 32 runs. He has an OPS+ of 111 and a slugging percentage of .422. The Angels as a unit have 835 base hits, including 153 doubles and 137 homers. Los Angeles has walked 339 times this year and they have struck out on 644 occasions. They have had 664 men left on base and have an OPS of .782. They have scored 5.15 runs per game and totaled 479 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Astros/Angels MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Astros -161
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