Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners Expert MLB Picks 6/3/2019

Monday, June 3, 2019

T-Mobile Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Corbin Martin vs. Wade LeBlanc

Michael Brantley and the Houston Astros (39-20, 1st in AL West) go to T-Mobile Park on Monday where they'll take on the Seattle Mariners (25-36, 5th in AL West). The moneyline on this game has the Astros coming in at -133 and the Mariners are at +123. The over/under is set at 9.5.

The Astros have been a great play for wagerers, having gone 39-20-0 SU. Seattle is covering 41.0% of the time, going 25-36-0 straight up. The Astros have been a great play for wagerers as the favorite, going 38-19-0 SU. The Mariners are covering 34.1% of the time as the underdog, having gone 15-29-0 straight up.

Valuable Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Astros have been an excellent Under bet for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 23-34-2.

Houston is covering 55.6% of the time away from home, having gone 15-12-0 straight up.

Important Seattle Mariners Betting Trends

The Mariners are covering 40.0% of the time at T-Mobile Park, going 12-18-0 SU.

The Mariners have been a very good Over bet for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 38-20-3.

Key Houston Astros Injuries

5/29/2019 Carlos Correa SS Ribs Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
5/28/2019 Collin McHugh SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
5/28/2019 Jose Altuve 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 11
5/27/2019 Aledmys Diaz 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 6
5/26/2019 Max Stassi C Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 5
5/25/2019 George Springer RF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 22
5/15/2019 Joe Smith RP Achilles Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
3/28/2019 Lance McCullers SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Seattle Mariners Injuries

5/31/2019 Gerson Bautista RP Pectoral Expected to be out until at least Jun 6
5/30/2019 J.P SS Ankle Expected to be out until at least Jun 24
5/30/2019 Ryon Healy 3B Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 14
5/28/2019 Sam Tuivailala RP Achilles Expected to be out until at least Jun 19
5/28/2019 Dee Gordon 2B Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jun 8
5/28/2019 Felix Hernandez SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jun 20
5/9/2019 Hunter Strickland RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jun 5
4/28/2019 Arodys Vizcaino RP Shoulder Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Astros have a 39-20 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Corbin Martin has a 1-1 record with an earned run average of 5.51 and a WHIP of 1.71 this season. He has 16 strikeouts over his 16.1 innings pitched and he's given up 19 hits. He's allowed 10.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 7.62. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.87 and they have given up 134 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .203 against the bullpen and they've struck out 195 hitters and walked 59 batters. As a team, Houston allows 6.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.38. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 399 base hits and 195 earned runs. They have allowed 76 home runs this season, ranking them 13th in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 151 batters and struck out 576. They have walked 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 10 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.06 and their FIP as a unit is 3.80.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Houston is hitting .274, good for 1st in the league. The Astros hold a .486 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .348, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 9.0 hits per game. Michael Brantley is hitting .329 with an on-base percentage of .384. He has 71 hits this season in 216 at bats with 36 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .542 and an OPS+ of 146. Alex Bregman is hitting .265 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .386. He has totaled 53 hits and he has driven in 38 men in 200 at bats. His OPS+ is 151 while his slugging percentage is at .560. The Astros have 532 hits, including 108 doubles and 95 home runs. Houston has walked 213 times so far this season and they have struck out 403 times as a unit. They have left 411 men on base and have a team OPS of .833. They score 5.05 runs per contest and have scored a total of 298 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Seattle has a 25-36 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.99, Wade LeBlanc has a 2-2 record and a 1.66 WHIP. He has 23 strikeouts over the 28.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 39 hits. He's allowing 12.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.04. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.30 and they have given up 216 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the Mariners bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 235 batters and walked 124 opposing hitters. As a team, Seattle allows 9.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.19. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 589 base knocks and 311 earned runs this season. They have given up 105 home runs this year, which ranks 2nd in Major League Baseball. Seattle as a staff has walked 197 hitters and struck out 484 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 5.09.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .243, good for 22nd in the league. The Mariners hold a .452 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319, which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Domingo Santana comes into this matchup batting .269 with an OBP of .333. He has 60 hits this year along with 42 RBI in 223 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .471 with an OPS+ of 118. Mitch Haniger is hitting .230 this season and he has an OBP of .320. He has collected 52 hits in 226 at bats while driving in 31 runs. He has an OPS+ of 117 and a slugging percentage of .482. The Mariners as a unit have 499 base hits, including 107 doubles and 103 homers. Seattle has walked 216 times this year and they have struck out on 586 occasions. They have had 403 men left on base and have an OPS of .771. They have scored 4.97 runs per game and totaled 303 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Astros/Mariners MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Mariners +123

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