Kansas City Royals at Chicago White Sox Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 9/11/2019

Wednesday, September 11, 2019

Guaranteed Rate Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Glenn Sparkman vs. Reynaldo Lopez

Whit Merrifield and the Kansas City Royals (53-91, 4th in AL Central) head to Guaranteed Rate Field on Wednesday where they'll meet the Chicago White Sox (63-80, 3rd in AL Central). The Royals open this matchup at +150 while the White Sox are priced at -160. The total has been set at 10.5.

The Royals have been a dicey play for baseball bettors, having gone 53-91-0 SU. Chicago covers 44.1% of the time, going 63-80-0 straight up.

Valuable Kansas City Royals Betting Trends

The Royals have been a dicey Under option for O/U bettors, having gone 72-66-6.

The Royals are covering 33.8% of the time as the visitor, having gone 24-47-0 straight up.

Important Chicago White Sox Betting Trends

Chicago covers 47.9% of the time at Guaranteed Rate Field, going 34-37-0 SU.

The White Sox have been a dicey Under option for O/U bettors, having gone 66-72-5.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Kansas City Royals Injuries

9/8/2019 Jake Newberry RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/29/2019 Brad Keller SP Rest Out for the season
8/16/2019 Trevor Oaks SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
3/11/2019 Salvador Perez C Elbow Out for the season

Key Chicago White Sox Injuries

9/9/2019 Manny Banuelos SP Foot Probable for Sep 10
9/6/2019 Leury Garcia CF Personal Probable for Sep 10
9/3/2019 Jon Jay RF Hip Out for the season
7/8/2019 Ryan Burr RP Elbow Out for the season
6/7/2019 Carlos Rodon SP Elbow Out for the season
3/11/2019 Michael Kopech SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Royals have a 53-91 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Glenn Sparkman has a 3-11 record with an earned run average of 5.97 and a WHIP of 1.50 this season. He has 68 strikeouts over his 117.2 innings pitched and he's given up 142 hits. He's allowed 10.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.06. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.02 and they have given up 532 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .272 against the bullpen and they've struck out 467 hitters and walked 227 batters. As a team, Kansas City allows 9.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 5.12. The Royals pitchers collectively have given up 1,357 base hits and 722 earned runs. They have allowed 191 home runs this season, ranking them 17th in the league. Kansas City as a pitching staff has walked 507 batters and struck out 1,096. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.47 and their FIP as a unit is 4.82.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Kansas City is hitting .245, good for 24th in the league. The Royals hold a .397 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Whit Merrifield is hitting .306 with an on-base percentage of .354. He has 185 hits this season in 605 at bats with 72 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .473 and an OPS+ of 116. Hunter Dozier is hitting .291 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .365. He has totaled 132 hits and he has driven in 79 men in 454 at bats. His OPS+ is 137 while his slugging percentage is at .551. The Royals have 1,195 hits, including 242 doubles and 144 home runs. Kansas City has walked 412 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,210 times as a unit. They have left 933 men on base and have a team OPS of .706. They score 4.26 runs per contest and have scored a total of 613 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Chicago has a 63-80 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.17, Reynaldo Lopez has a 9-12 record and a 1.43 WHIP. He has 149 strikeouts over the 162 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 171 hits. He's allowing 9.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.8. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.55 and they have given up 471 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the White Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 455 batters and walked 233 opposing hitters. As a team, Chicago allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.95. The White Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,275 base knocks and 688 earned runs this season. They have given up 210 home runs this year, which ranks 10th in Major League Baseball. Chicago as a staff has walked 518 hitters and struck out 1,155 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.91.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .256, good for 11th in the league. The White Sox hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 13th in MLB with 8.7 hits per contest. Tim Anderson comes into this matchup batting .334 with an OBP of .354. He has 144 hits this year along with 52 RBI in 431 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .515 with an OPS+ of 129. Jose Abreu is hitting .283 this season and he has an OBP of .331. He has collected 158 hits in 558 at bats while driving in 112 runs. He has an OPS+ of 121 and a slugging percentage of .509. The White Sox as a unit have 1,245 base hits, including 228 doubles and 152 homers. Chicago has walked 336 times this year and they have struck out on 1,360 occasions. They have had 939 men left on base and have an OPS of .713. They have scored 4.26 runs per game and totaled 609 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Royals/White Sox MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Royals (+150)

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