Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 8/4/2019
Sunday, August 4, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Brad Keller vs. Jake Odorizzi
Jonathan Schoop and the Minnesota Twins (67-42, 1st in AL Central) play the Kansas City Royals (40-71, 4th in AL Central) at Target Field on Sunday, August 4, 2019.
The Royals have been a terrible option for baseball wagerers, having gone 40-71-0 SU. Minnesota is covering 61.5% of the time, going 67-42-0 straight up.
Valuable Kansas City Royals Betting Trends
The Royals have been a pretty good Over play for O/U bettors, having gone 56-49-6.
Kansas City is covering 32.1% of the time away from home, having gone 17-36-0 straight up.
Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
Minnesota is covering 60.4% of the time at Target Field, going 32-21-0 SU.
The Twins have been a pretty good Over play for O/U bettors, having gone 56-48-5.
Key Kansas City Royals Injuries
8/2/2019 Trevor Oaks SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Aug 3
7/26/2019 Adalberto Mondesi SS Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
7/25/2019 Jesse Hahn SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 8
3/11/2019 Salvador Perez C Elbow Out for the season
Key Minnesota Twins Injuries
8/2/2019 Byron Buxton CF Shoulder Probable for Aug 3
8/2/2019 C.J 1B Thumb Expected to be out until at least Aug 3
7/28/2019 Willians Astudillo C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 19
7/24/2019 LaMonte Wade RF Thumb Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Royals have a 40-71 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Brad Keller has a 7-10 record with an earned run average of 4.01 and a WHIP of 1.35 this season. He has 99 strikeouts over his 139 innings pitched and he's given up 130 hits. He's allowed 8.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.45. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.75 and they have given up 397 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .267 against the bullpen and they've struck out 357 hitters and walked 176 batters. As a team, Kansas City allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 5.03. The Royals pitchers collectively have given up 1,037 base hits and 547 earned runs. They have allowed 145 home runs this season, ranking them 17th in the league. Kansas City as a pitching staff has walked 398 batters and struck out 850. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.47 and their FIP as a unit is 4.81.
As a team Kansas City is hitting .249, good for 18th in the league. The Royals hold a .402 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Alex Gordon is hitting .278 with an on-base percentage of .351. He has 110 hits this season in 396 at bats with 60 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .434 and an OPS+ of 108. Whit Merrifield is hitting .303 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .358. He has totaled 141 hits and he has driven in 55 men in 465 at bats. His OPS+ is 121 while his slugging percentage is at .484. The Royals have 940 hits, including 199 doubles and 106 home runs. Kansas City has walked 317 times so far this season and they have struck out 947 times as a unit. They have left 731 men on base and have a team OPS of .714. They score 4.32 runs per contest and have scored a total of 480 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Minnesota has a 67-42 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.73, Jake Odorizzi has a 12-5 record and a 1.19 WHIP. He has 113 strikeouts over the 108.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 92 hits. He's allowing 7.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.92. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.50 and they have given up 373 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 387 batters and walked 136 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 4.07. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 954 base knocks and 447 earned runs this season. They have given up 137 home runs this year, which ranks 23rd in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 306 hitters and struck out 960 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.28 while their FIP as a staff is 4.14.
As a team, they are batting .270, good for 3rd in the league. The Twins hold a .500 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .337, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.6 hits per contest. Jonathan Schoop comes into this matchup batting .254 with an OBP of .302. He has 83 hits this year along with 44 RBI in 327 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .459 with an OPS+ of 98. Jorge Polanco is hitting .300 this season and he has an OBP of .359. He has collected 131 hits in 437 at bats while driving in 52 runs. He has an OPS+ of 125 and a slugging percentage of .501. The Twins as a unit have 1,043 base hits, including 227 doubles and 211 homers. Minnesota has walked 347 times this year and they have struck out on 880 occasions. They have had 749 men left on base and have an OPS of .837. They have scored 5.76 runs per game and totaled 628 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Royals/Twins MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Royals
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