Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins MLB Picks 9/19/2019

Thursday, September 19, 2019

Target Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Mike Montgomery vs. Kyle Gibson

Target Field is the venue where Max Kepler and the Minnesota Twins (93-58, 1st in AL Central) will play the Kansas City Royals (56-96, 4th in AL Central) on Thursday. The Royals open this contest at +250 while the Twins are coming in at -275. The over/under has been set at 10.5.

The Royals have been dicey for MLB wagerers, having gone 56-96-0 SU. Minnesota covers 61.6% of the time, going 93-58-0 straight up.

Valuable Kansas City Royals Betting Trends

The Royals have been a pretty good Over choice for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 77-69-6.

The Royals are covering 35.5% of the time as the away team, having gone 27-49-0 straight up.

Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Twins are covering 56.6% of the time at Target Field, going 43-33-0 SU.

The Twins have been a pretty good Over choice for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 76-68-7.

Key Kansas City Royals Injuries

9/12/2019 Kelvin Gutierrez 3B Toe Out for the season
8/31/2019 Trevor Oaks SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
8/29/2019 Brad Keller SP Rest Out for the season
3/11/2019 Salvador Perez C Elbow Out for the season

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

9/14/2019 Sam Dyson RP Biceps Out for the season
9/12/2019 Ehire Adrianza SS Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/10/2019 Byron Buxton CF Shoulder Out for the season
9/1/2019 Sean Poppen RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Royals have a 56-96 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Mike Montgomery has a 3-9 record with an earned run average of 4.70 and a WHIP of 1.59 this season. He has 62 strikeouts over his 82.1 innings pitched and he's given up 101 hits. He's allowed 11 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.32. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.07 and they have given up 563 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .271 against the bullpen and they've struck out 503 hitters and walked 246 batters. As a team, Kansas City allows 9.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 5.15. The Royals pitchers collectively have given up 1,432 base hits and 766 earned runs. They have allowed 205 home runs this season, ranking them 16th in the league. Kansas City as a pitching staff has walked 545 batters and struck out 1,159. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.48 and their FIP as a unit is 4.88.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Kansas City is hitting .245, good for 23rd in the league. The Royals hold a .400 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Hunter Dozier is hitting .286 with an on-base percentage of .357. He has 138 hits this season in 483 at bats with 82 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .542 and an OPS+ of 132. Whit Merrifield is hitting .305 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .352. He has totaled 195 hits and he has driven in 74 men in 639 at bats. His OPS+ is 114 while his slugging percentage is at .469. The Royals have 1,265 hits, including 257 doubles and 156 home runs. Kansas City has walked 425 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,293 times as a unit. They have left 983 men on base and have a team OPS of .707. They score 4.22 runs per contest and have scored a total of 642 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Minnesota has a 93-58 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.76, Kyle Gibson has a 13-7 record and a 1.40 WHIP. He has 151 strikeouts over the 155 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 167 hits. He's allowing 9.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.3. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.21 and they have given up 529 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 556 batters and walked 170 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 4.18. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,358 base knocks and 636 earned runs this season. They have given up 191 home runs this year, which ranks 23rd in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 423 hitters and struck out 1,345 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.11.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .271, good for 2nd in the league. The Twins hold a .495 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.6 hits per contest. Max Kepler comes into this matchup batting .252 with an OBP of .336. He has 132 hits this year along with 90 RBI in 524 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .519 with an OPS+ of 122. Jorge Polanco is hitting .300 this season and he has an OBP of .360. He has collected 179 hits in 597 at bats while driving in 78 runs. He has an OPS+ of 124 and a slugging percentage of .492. The Twins as a unit have 1,451 base hits, including 297 doubles and 289 homers. Minnesota has walked 488 times this year and they have struck out on 1,260 occasions. They have had 1,047 men left on base and have an OPS of .833. They have scored 5.8 runs per game and totaled 876 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Royals/Twins MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Royals (+250)

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