Kansas City Royals at Seattle Mariners Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 6/17/2019

Monday, June 17, 2019

T-Mobile Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Danny Duffy vs. Gerson Bautista

Edwin Encarnacion and the Seattle Mariners (30-44, 5th in AL West) play the Kansas City Royals (22-48, 5th in AL Central) at T-Mobile Park on Monday, June 17, 2019. The Royals open this game at +100 while the Mariners are coming in at -120. The total opens at 9.

The Royals have been a lousy pick for wagerers, having gone 22-48-0 SU. The Mariners cover 40.5% of the time, going 30-44-0 straight up. The Mariners have been excellent for baseball wagerers as a favorite, going 10-8-0 SU. Kansas City has gone 17-43-0 straight up as an underdog, so they cover 28.3% of the time.

Valuable Kansas City Royals Betting Trends

The Royals have been a good Over pick for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 33-32-5.

The Royals cover 24.2% of the time as the road team, having gone 8-25-0 straight up.

Important Seattle Mariners Betting Trends

The Mariners cover 37.1% of the time at T-Mobile Park, going 13-22-0 SU.

The Mariners have been a rough Under pick for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 49-22-3.

Related: MLB Baseball First Five Innings Betting Strategy

Key Kansas City Royals Injuries

6/12/2019 Hunter Dozier 3B Side Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/10/2019 Jesse Hahn SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 25
3/28/2019 Trevor Oaks SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
3/11/2019 Salvador Perez C Elbow Out for the season

Key Seattle Mariners Injuries

6/15/2019 Dee Gordon 2B Wrist Probable for Jun 16
6/15/2019 Felix Hernandez SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
6/15/2019 Sam Tuivailala RP Achilles Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/14/2019 Brandon Brennan RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/12/2019 Connor Sadzeck RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/11/2019 Ryon Healy 3B Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/11/2019 Hunter Strickland RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
6/11/2019 Braden Bishop CF Chest Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/7/2019 Mitch Haniger RF Groin Expected to be out until at least Jun 21
6/5/2019 Chasen Bradford RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
4/28/2019 Arodys Vizcaino RP Shoulder Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Royals have a 22-48 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Danny Duffy has a 3-3 record with an earned run average of 4.38 and a WHIP of 1.34 this season. He has 42 strikeouts over his 49.1 innings pitched and he's given up 48 hits. He's allowed 8.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.06. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.85 and they have given up 242 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .261 against the bullpen and they've struck out 232 hitters and walked 109 batters. As a team, Kansas City allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.9 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 5.06. The Royals pitchers collectively have given up 622 base hits and 344 earned runs. They have allowed 81 home runs this season, ranking them 27th in the league. Kansas City as a pitching staff has walked 260 batters and struck out 536. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.44 and their FIP as a unit is 4.60.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Kansas City is hitting .242, good for 22nd in the league. The Royals hold a .401 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Whit Merrifield is hitting .302 with an on-base percentage of .350. He has 88 hits this season in 291 at bats with 32 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .495 and an OPS+ of 123. Adalberto Mondesi is hitting .277 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .311. He has totaled 77 hits and he has driven in 44 men in 278 at bats. His OPS+ is 102 while his slugging percentage is at .457. The Royals have 571 hits, including 114 doubles and 70 home runs. Kansas City has walked 204 times so far this season and they have struck out 617 times as a unit. They have left 460 men on base and have a team OPS of .708. They score 4.11 runs per contest and have scored a total of 288 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Seattle has a 30-44 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 11.25, Gerson Bautista has a 0-1 record and a 3.25 WHIP. He has 2 strikeouts over the 4 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 6 hits. He's allowing 13.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 7.42. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.49 and they have given up 290 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the Mariners bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 280 batters and walked 152 opposing hitters. As a team, Seattle allows 9.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.7 batters per nine innings. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.39. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 723 base knocks and 394 earned runs this season. They have given up 127 home runs this year, which ranks 2nd in Major League Baseball. Seattle as a staff has walked 248 hitters and struck out 561 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.48 while their FIP as a staff is 5.23.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .243, good for 21st in the league. The Mariners hold a .452 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Edwin Encarnacion comes into this matchup batting .241 with an OBP of .356. He has 58 hits this year along with 49 RBI in 241 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .531 with an OPS+ of 140. Domingo Santana is hitting .278 this season and he has an OBP of .341. He has collected 78 hits in 281 at bats while driving in 49 runs. He has an OPS+ of 122 and a slugging percentage of .473. The Mariners as a unit have 621 base hits, including 130 doubles and 131 homers. Seattle has walked 279 times this year and they have struck out on 725 occasions. They have had 506 men left on base and have an OPS of .773. They have scored 5.2 runs per game and totaled 385 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Royals/Mariners MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Royals +100

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