Kansas City Royals at Toronto Blue Jays Expert MLB Picks 7/1/2019
Monday, July 1, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Glenn Sparkman vs. Clayton Richard
Whit Merrifield and the Kansas City Royals (28-55, 5th in AL Central) head to Rogers Centre on Monday where they'll take on the Toronto Blue Jays (31-52, 4th in AL East). The Royals open this game at +115 while the Blue Jays are priced at -125. The over/under has been set at 10.5.
The Royals have been a lousy option for baseball wagerers, having gone 28-55-0 SU. The Blue Jays cover 37.4% of the time, going 31-52-0 straight up. The Blue Jays have been a hot and cold bet for baseball bettors as the favorite, going 10-11-0 SU. The Royals cover 31.9% of the time as an underdog, having gone 23-49-0 straight up.
Valuable Kansas City Royals Betting Trends
The Royals have been a good Over pick for over/under wagerers, having gone 40-38-5.
Kansas City covers 28.6% of the time as the visitor, having gone 12-30-0 straight up.
Important Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Blue Jays cover 37.5% of the time at Rogers Centre, going 15-25-0 SU.
The Blue Jays have been a good Over pick for over/under wagerers, having gone 41-39-3.
Key Kansas City Royals Injuries
6/29/2019 Adalberto Mondesi SS Groin Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
6/10/2019 Jesse Hahn SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 25
3/28/2019 Trevor Oaks SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
3/11/2019 Salvador Perez C Elbow Out for the season
Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries
6/29/2019 Devon Travis 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
6/29/2019 Marcus Stroman SP Pectoral Expected to be out until at least Jul 4
6/29/2019 Edwin Jackson SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
6/29/2019 Clay Buchholz SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
6/28/2019 Jacob Waguespack RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 3
6/26/2019 Ryan Borucki RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
6/17/2019 Elvis Luciano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
6/13/2019 Ryan Tepera RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
6/4/2019 Dalton Pompey CF Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
5/15/2019 Matt Shoemaker SP Knee Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Royals have a 28-55 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Glenn Sparkman has a 2-3 record with an earned run average of 4.07 and a WHIP of 1.28 this season. He has 30 strikeouts over his 55.1 innings pitched and he's given up 57 hits. He's allowed 9.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.37. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.81 and they have given up 286 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .262 against the bullpen and they've struck out 277 hitters and walked 123 batters. As a team, Kansas City allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.98. The Royals pitchers collectively have given up 745 base hits and 402 earned runs. They have allowed 108 home runs this season, ranking them 18th in the league. Kansas City as a pitching staff has walked 298 batters and struck out 646. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.44 and their FIP as a unit is 4.76.
As a team Kansas City is hitting .244, good for 19th in the league. The Royals hold a .404 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Whit Merrifield is hitting .299 with an on-base percentage of .347. He has 104 hits this season in 348 at bats with 42 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .497 and an OPS+ of 121. Alex Gordon is hitting .267 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .347. He has totaled 77 hits and he has driven in 50 men in 288 at bats. His OPS+ is 111 while his slugging percentage is at .451. The Royals have 687 hits, including 146 doubles and 83 home runs. Kansas City has walked 235 times so far this season and they have struck out 726 times as a unit. They have left 543 men on base and have a team OPS of .712. They score 4.25 runs per contest and have scored a total of 353 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Toronto has a 31-52 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.89, Clayton Richard has a 0-4 record and a 1.69 WHIP. He has 15 strikeouts over the 31.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 37 hits. He's allowing 10.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 7.36. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.41 and they have given up 321 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the Blue Jays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 360 batters and walked 146 opposing hitters. As a team, Toronto allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.88. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 753 base knocks and 398 earned runs this season. They have given up 122 home runs this year, which ranks 7th in Major League Baseball. Toronto as a staff has walked 317 hitters and struck out 685 batters. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 4.91.
As a team, they are batting .229, good for 29th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .401 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .296, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 7.7 hits per contest. Randal Grichuk comes into this matchup batting .227 with an OBP of .287. He has 71 hits this year along with 34 RBI in 313 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .419 with an OPS+ of 89. Freddy Galvis is hitting .260 this season and he has an OBP of .297. He has collected 78 hits in 300 at bats while driving in 38 runs. He has an OPS+ of 95 and a slugging percentage of .430. The Blue Jays as a unit have 638 base hits, including 123 doubles and 114 homers. Toronto has walked 255 times this year and they have struck out on 769 occasions. They have had 501 men left on base and have an OPS of .697. They have scored 4.2 runs per game and totaled 349 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Royals/Blue Jays MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Blue Jays -125
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