Kansas City Royals at Washington Nationals Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 7/6/2019
Saturday, July 6, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Glenn Sparkman vs. Max Scherzer
Anthony Rendon and the Washington Nationals (45-41, 2nd in NL East) play the Kansas City Royals (29-59, 5th in AL Central) at Nationals Park on Saturday, July 6, 2019. The Nationals open this game at -350 while the Royals are priced at +305. The total has been set at 8.5.
The Royals have been an awful option for wagerers, having gone 29-59-0 SU. The Nationals are covering 52.3% of the time, going 45-41-0 straight up. The Nationals have been an excellent pick for MLB bettors as the favorite, going 34-24-0 SU. Kansas City covers 31.2% of the time as an underdog, having gone 24-53-0 straight up.
Valuable Kansas City Royals Betting Trends
The Royals have been a pretty good Over bet for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 44-39-5.
Kansas City covers 29.5% of the time on the road, having gone 13-31-0 straight up.
Important Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Nationals are covering 55.8% of the time at Nationals Park, going 24-19-0 SU.
The Nationals have been a pretty good Over bet for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 42-38-6.
Key Kansas City Royals Injuries
6/10/2019 Jesse Hahn SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 25
3/28/2019 Trevor Oaks SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
3/11/2019 Salvador Perez C Elbow Out for the season
Key Washington Nationals Injuries
7/3/2019 Justin Miller RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
7/2/2019 Kyle Barraclough RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/27/2019 Rafael Bautista RF Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/25/2019 Jeremy Hellickson SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
6/13/2019 Koda Glover RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 7
6/13/2019 Austen Williams RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 17
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Royals have a 29-59 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Glenn Sparkman has a 2-4 record with an earned run average of 5.09 and a WHIP of 1.39 this season. He has 31 strikeouts over his 58.1 innings pitched and he's given up 66 hits. He's allowed 10.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.97. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.83 and they have given up 311 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .266 against the bullpen and they've struck out 285 hitters and walked 133 batters. As a team, Kansas City allows 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 5.1. The Royals pitchers collectively have given up 804 base hits and 437 earned runs. They have allowed 117 home runs this season, ranking them 16th in the league. Kansas City as a pitching staff has walked 320 batters and struck out 668. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 4.89.
As a team Kansas City is hitting .245, good for 18th in the league. The Royals hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Whit Merrifield is hitting .308 with an on-base percentage of .355. He has 114 hits this season in 370 at bats with 44 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .500 and an OPS+ of 125. Alex Gordon is hitting .266 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .344. He has totaled 82 hits and he has driven in 53 men in 308 at bats. His OPS+ is 107 while his slugging percentage is at .438. The Royals have 731 hits, including 154 doubles and 87 home runs. Kansas City has walked 247 times so far this season and they have struck out 768 times as a unit. They have left 572 men on base and have a team OPS of .710. They score 4.24 runs per contest and have scored a total of 373 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Washington has a 45-41 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.43, Max Scherzer has a 8-5 record and a 1.00 WHIP. He has 170 strikeouts over the 122.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 100 hits. He's allowing 7.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.1. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.20 and they have given up 273 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .272 against the Nationals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 259 batters and walked 114 opposing hitters. As a team, Washington allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.46. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 721 base knocks and 376 earned runs this season. They have given up 101 home runs this year, which ranks 27th in Major League Baseball. Washington as a staff has walked 269 hitters and struck out 817 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.02.
As a team, they are batting .252, good for 16th in the league. The Nationals hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Anthony Rendon comes into this matchup batting .310 with an OBP of .395. He has 83 hits this year along with 60 RBI in 268 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .627 with an OPS+ of 157. Adam Eaton is hitting .275 this season and he has an OBP of .359. He has collected 86 hits in 313 at bats while driving in 21 runs. He has an OPS+ of 90 and a slugging percentage of .377. The Nationals as a unit have 731 base hits, including 139 doubles and 121 homers. Washington has walked 279 times this year and they have struck out on 732 occasions. They have had 573 men left on base and have an OPS of .760. They have scored 4.94 runs per game and totaled 425 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Royals/Nationals MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Royals +305
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