Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 9/22/2019
Sunday, September 22, 2019
Minute Maid Park
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Jose Rodriguez vs. Justin Verlander
Alex Bregman and the Houston Astros (101-53, 1st in AL West) host the Los Angeles Angels (69-85, 4th in AL West) at Minute Maid Park on Sunday, September 22, 2019. The Astros open this matchup at -200 while the Angels are coming in at +185. The total is set at 9.5.
The Angels have been dicey for bettors, having gone 69-85-0 SU. Houston covers 65.6% of the time, going 101-53-0 straight up.
Valuable Los Angeles Angels Betting Trends
The Angels have been an inconsistent Under pick for O/U wagerers, having gone 75-72-7.
The Angels cover 41.8% of the time as the away team, having gone 33-46-0 straight up.
Important Houston Astros Betting Trends
Houston covers 74.7% of the time at Minute Maid Park, going 59-20-0 SU.
The Astros have been an inconsistent Under pick for O/U wagerers, having gone 68-80-6.
Key Los Angeles Angels Injuries
9/18/2019 Stella Tommy La Stella 2B Lower Leg Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/18/2019 Luis Rengifo 2B Hand Out for the season
9/16/2019 Max Stassi C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/15/2019 Mike Trout CF Foot Out for the season
9/14/2019 Justin Upton LF Knee Out for the season
9/12/2019 Shohei Ohtani DH Knee Out for the season
9/11/2019 Cam Bedrosian RP Forearm Out for the season
8/22/2019 Griffin Canning SP Elbow Out for the season
8/5/2019 Felix Pena RP Knee Out for the season
7/12/2019 Zack Cozart 3B Shoulder Out for the season
Key Houston Astros Injuries
9/20/2019 Yuli Gurriel 1B Illness Probable for Sep 21
9/20/2019 Brad Peacock SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/18/2019 Aaron Sanchez SP Shoulder Out for the season
9/17/2019 Collin McHugh RP Elbow Out for the season
6/9/2019 Lance McCullers SP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Angels have a 69-85 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jose Rodriguez has a 0-0 record with an earned run average of 1.84 and a WHIP of 1.02 this season. He has 10 strikeouts over his 14.2 innings pitched and he's given up 8 hits. He's allowed 4.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.94. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.68 and they have given up 685 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the bullpen and they've struck out 727 hitters and walked 298 batters. As a team, Los Angeles allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 5.12. The Angels pitchers collectively have given up 1,343 base hits and 779 earned runs. They have allowed 249 home runs this season, ranking them 4th in the league. Los Angeles as a pitching staff has walked 540 batters and struck out 1,340. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.97.
As a team Los Angeles is hitting .249, good for 16th in the league. The Angels hold a .425 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 15th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Kole Calhoun is hitting .235 with an on-base percentage of .328. He has 123 hits this season in 523 at bats with 72 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .476 and an OPS+ of 111. David Fletcher is hitting .288 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .348. He has totaled 162 hits and he has driven in 46 men in 562 at bats. His OPS+ is 96 while his slugging percentage is at .383. The Angels have 1,309 hits, including 253 doubles and 213 home runs. Los Angeles has walked 562 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,196 times as a unit. They have left 1,071 men on base and have a team OPS of .751. They score 4.8 runs per contest and have scored a total of 739 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Houston has a 101-53 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.50, Justin Verlander has a 19-6 record and a 0.79 WHIP. He has 283 strikeouts over the 212 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 127 hits. He's allowing 5.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.28. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.81 and they have given up 451 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .227 against the Astros bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 572 batters and walked 184 opposing hitters. As a team, Houston allows 7.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.3 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.71. The Astros pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,156 base knocks and 572 earned runs this season. They have given up 224 home runs this year, which ranks 12th in Major League Baseball. Houston as a staff has walked 426 hitters and struck out 1,581 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.14 while their FIP as a staff is 4.04.
As a team, they are batting .276, good for 1st in the league. The Astros hold a .496 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .353, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.5 hits per contest. Alex Bregman comes into this matchup batting .295 with an OBP of .420. He has 156 hits this year along with 106 RBI in 528 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .585 with an OPS+ of 160. Michael Brantley is hitting .315 this season and he has an OBP of .377. He has collected 175 hits in 555 at bats while driving in 86 runs. He has an OPS+ of 129 and a slugging percentage of .506. The Astros as a unit have 1,470 base hits, including 306 doubles and 271 homers. Houston has walked 608 times this year and they have struck out on 1,109 occasions. They have had 1,109 men left on base and have an OPS of .849. They have scored 5.69 runs per game and totaled 876 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Angels/Astros MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Angels (+185)
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