Los Angeles Dodgers at Baltimore Orioles MLB Picks Against the Spread 9/12/2019

Thursday, September 12, 2019

Oriole Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Rich Hill vs. Dylan Bundy

Justin Turner and the Los Angeles Dodgers (94-52, 1st in NL West) go to Oriole Park on Thursday where they'll take on the Baltimore Orioles (46-98, 5th in AL East). The Orioles open this matchup at +194 while the Dodgers are priced at -210. The over/under has been set at 10.5.

The Dodgers have been bad for Las Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 94-52-0 SU. The Orioles cover 31.9% of the time, going 46-98-0 straight up.

Valuable Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends

The Dodgers have been a dicey Under option for O/U wagerers, having gone 69-71-6.

The Dodgers cover 54.3% of the time as the away team, having gone 38-32-0 straight up.

Important Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

Baltimore covers 30.1% of the time at Oriole Park, going 22-51-0 SU.

The Orioles have been a dicey Under option for O/U wagerers, having gone 72-62-10.

Key Los Angeles Dodgers Injuries

9/11/2019 Joe Kelly RP Leg Probable for Sep 11
9/10/2019 Justin Turner 3B Ankle Probable for Sep 11
9/7/2019 Max Muncy 2B Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 13
9/6/2019 Rich Hill SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 12
9/4/2019 Alex Verdugo CF Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/3/2019 Tyler White 1B Lat Out for the season
9/1/2019 Scott Alexander RP Forearm Out for the season
8/29/2019 Tom Koehler SP Shoulder Out for the season

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

9/11/2019 Hunter Harvey RP Undisclosed Probable for Sep 11
7/1/2019 Josh Rogers RP Elbow Out for the season
6/11/2019 Alex Cobb SP Hip Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Dodgers have a 94-52 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Rich Hill has a 4-1 record with an earned run average of 2.55 and a WHIP of 1.11 this season. He has 61 strikeouts over his 53 innings pitched and he's given up 47 hits. He's allowed 8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.16. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.96 and they have given up 401 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .222 against the bullpen and they've struck out 494 hitters and walked 160 batters. As a team, Los Angeles allows 7.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.4. The Dodgers pitchers collectively have given up 1,101 base hits and 492 earned runs. They have allowed 170 home runs this season, ranking them 28th in the league. Los Angeles as a pitching staff has walked 343 batters and struck out 1,358. They have walked 2.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.11 and their FIP as a unit is 3.74.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Los Angeles is hitting .259, good for 9th in the league. The Dodgers hold a .478 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .340, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Justin Turner is hitting .291 with an on-base percentage of .370. He has 137 hits this season in 471 at bats with 67 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .514 and an OPS+ of 131. Cody Bellinger is hitting .306 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .410. He has totaled 154 hits and he has driven in 106 men in 504 at bats. His OPS+ is 172 while his slugging percentage is at .639. The Dodgers have 1,281 hits, including 273 doubles and 258 home runs. Los Angeles has walked 561 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,203 times as a unit. They have left 1,031 men on base and have a team OPS of .818. They score 5.47 runs per contest and have scored a total of 799 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Baltimore has a 46-98 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.06, Dylan Bundy has a 6-13 record and a 1.36 WHIP. He has 142 strikeouts over the 144 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 147 hits. He's allowing 9.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.91. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.98 and they have given up 627 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .274 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 546 batters and walked 260 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.77. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,380 base knocks and 815 earned runs this season. They have given up 279 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 499 hitters and struck out 1,099 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.48 while their FIP as a staff is 5.68.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .246, good for 23rd in the league. The Orioles hold a .411 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Trey Mancini comes into this matchup batting .277 with an OBP of .350. He has 147 hits this year along with 77 RBI in 530 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .513 with an OPS+ of 126. Jonathan Villar is hitting .277 this season and he has an OBP of .344. He has collected 155 hits in 559 at bats while driving in 62 runs. He has an OPS+ of 110 and a slugging percentage of .453. The Orioles as a unit have 1,214 base hits, including 221 doubles and 183 homers. Baltimore has walked 393 times this year and they have struck out on 1,276 occasions. They have had 928 men left on base and have an OPS of .718. They have scored 4.36 runs per game and totaled 628 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Dodgers/Orioles MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Orioles (+194)

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