Los Angeles Dodgers at Boston Red Sox MLB Picks Against the Spread 7/12/2019

Friday, July 12, 2019

Fenway Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Kenta Maeda vs. Eduardo Rodriguez

Fenway Park is the venue where J.D. Martinez and the Boston Red Sox (49-41, 3rd in AL East) will play the Los Angeles Dodgers (60-32, 1st in NL West) on Friday. The line on this contest has the Dodgers priced at -107 and the Red Sox are at -103. The over/under is set at 10.5.

The Dodgers have been strong for MLB wagerers, having gone 60-32-0 SU. The Red Sox cover 54.4% of the time, going 49-41-0 straight up. The Dodgers have been a great choice for MLB bettors as a favorite, going 60-30-0 SU. Boston has went 6-9-0 straight up as an underdog, so they cover 40.0% of the time.

Valuable Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends

The Dodgers have been a less than ideal Under pick for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 44-43-5.

Los Angeles covers 53.5% of the time as the road team, having gone 23-20-0 straight up.

Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Red Sox cover 50.0% of the time at Fenway Park, going 20-20-0 SU.

The Red Sox have been a great Over pick for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 51-36-3.

Key Los Angeles Dodgers Injuries

7/3/2019 Rich Hill SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/1/2019 Tom Koehler SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
6/30/2019 A.J CF Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/28/2019 Scott Alexander RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
6/26/2019 Tony Cingrani RP Shoulder Out for the season

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

7/2/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/29/2019 Brian Johnson RP Infection Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/28/2019 Blake Swihart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/25/2019 Nathan Eovaldi SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 15
6/8/2019 Mitch Moreland 1B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
5/28/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Dodgers have a 60-32 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Kenta Maeda has a 7-5 record with an earned run average of 3.76 and a WHIP of 1.07 this season. He has 94 strikeouts over his 95.2 innings pitched and he's given up 71 hits. He's allowed 6.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.21. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.05 and they have given up 234 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .218 against the bullpen and they've struck out 287 hitters and walked 95 batters. As a team, Los Angeles allows 7.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.37. The Dodgers pitchers collectively have given up 687 base hits and 306 earned runs. They have allowed 109 home runs this season, ranking them 25th in the league. Los Angeles as a pitching staff has walked 200 batters and struck out 823. They have walked 2.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.08 and their FIP as a unit is 3.77.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Los Angeles is hitting .263, good for 8th in the league. The Dodgers hold a .466 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .342, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Max Muncy is hitting .266 with an on-base percentage of .366. He has 81 hits this season in 305 at bats with 60 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .531 and an OPS+ of 134. Cody Bellinger is hitting .336 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .432. He has totaled 107 hits and he has driven in 71 men in 318 at bats. His OPS+ is 191 while his slugging percentage is at .692. The Dodgers have 818 hits, including 165 doubles and 146 home runs. Los Angeles has walked 347 times so far this season and they have struck out 726 times as a unit. They have left 681 men on base and have a team OPS of .808. They score 5.22 runs per contest and have scored a total of 480 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Boston has a 49-41 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.65, Eduardo Rodriguez has a 9-4 record and a 1.34 WHIP. He has 106 strikeouts over the 102.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 106 hits. He's allowing 9.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.09. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.44 and they have given up 324 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .239 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 421 batters and walked 161 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.59. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 786 base knocks and 416 earned runs this season. They have given up 116 home runs this year, which ranks 19th in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 307 hitters and struck out 914 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 4.10.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .272, good for 1st in the league. The Red Sox hold a .461 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .345, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.7 hits per contest. J.D. Martinez comes into this matchup batting .304 with an OBP of .376. He has 96 hits this year along with 48 RBI in 316 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .541 with an OPS+ of 136. Rafael Devers is hitting .324 this season and he has an OBP of .377. He has collected 112 hits in 346 at bats while driving in 62 runs. He has an OPS+ of 137 and a slugging percentage of .546. The Red Sox as a unit have 874 base hits, including 184 doubles and 131 homers. Boston has walked 344 times this year and they have struck out on 751 occasions. They have had 664 men left on base and have an OPS of .807. They have scored 5.66 runs per game and totaled 509 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Dodgers/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox -103

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