Los Angeles Dodgers vs Washington Nationals Baseball Game 3 Betting Tips 10/6/2019
Sunday, October 6, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Hyun-Jin Ryu vs. Max Scherzer
Juan Soto and the Washington Nationals (93-69, 2nd in NL East) host the Los Angeles Dodgers (106-56, 1st in NL West) at Nationals Park on Sunday in Game 3 of the NLDS. The series is tied 1-1 after the Nationals won 4-2 in Game 2. Stephen Strasburg pitched 6 innings, giving up only 1 earned run with 10 strikeouts. The top 3 in the Nats batting order (Turner, Eaton, and Rendon) each contributed 2 hits to pace Washington on offense. The odds on this game have the Dodgers priced at +125 and the Nationals are at -135. The O/U opens at 8.
The Dodgers have been a great choice for wagerers, having gone 107-57-0 SU. The Nationals cover 57.6% of the time, going 95-70-0 straight up.
Valuable Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends
The Dodgers have been a decent Over option for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 77-79-8.
Los Angeles covers 58.0% of the time as the away team, having gone 47-34-0 straight up.
Important Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Nationals cover 62.2% of the time at Nationals Park, going 51-31-0 SU.
The Nationals have been a decent Over option for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 75-79-11.
Key Los Angeles Dodgers Injuries
10/3/2019 Alex Verdugo CF Oblique Expected to be out until at least Oct 31
9/12/2019 Scott Alexander RP Hand Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2020
9/3/2019 Tyler White 1B Lat Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2020
8/29/2019 Tom Koehler SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Mar 1, 2020
Key Washington Nationals Injuries
10/5/2019 Victor Robles CF Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Oct 6
9/18/2019 Koda Glover RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2020
9/4/2019 Austen Williams RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2020
8/30/2019 Jonny Venters RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2020
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Dodgers have a 106-56 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Hyun-Jin Ryu has a 14-5 record with an earned run average of 2.32 and a WHIP of 1.01 this season. He has 163 strikeouts over his 182.2 innings pitched and he's given up 160 hits. He's allowed 7.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.1. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.85 and they have given up 453 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .218 against the bullpen and they've struck out 581 hitters and walked 186 batters. As a team, Los Angeles allows 7.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.37. The Dodgers pitchers collectively have given up 1,201 base hits and 541 earned runs. They have allowed 185 home runs this season, ranking them 29th in the league. Los Angeles as a pitching staff has walked 392 batters and struck out 1,519. They have walked 2.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.10 and their FIP as a unit is 3.73.
As a team Los Angeles is hitting .257, good for 11th in the league. The Dodgers hold a .472 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 13th in MLB with 8.7 hits per game. Max Muncy is hitting .251 with an on-base percentage of .374. He has 122 hits this season in 487 at bats with 98 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .515 and an OPS+ of 133. Cody Bellinger is hitting .305 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .406. He has totaled 170 hits and he has driven in 115 men in 558 at bats. His OPS+ is 169 while his slugging percentage is at .629. The Dodgers have 1,414 hits, including 302 doubles and 279 home runs. Los Angeles has walked 607 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,356 times as a unit. They have left 1,124 men on base and have a team OPS of .810. They score 5.47 runs per contest and have scored a total of 886 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Washington has a 93-69 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.92, Max Scherzer has a 11-7 record and a 1.03 WHIP. He has 243 strikeouts over the 172.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 144 hits. He's allowing 7.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.45. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.68 and they have given up 520 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .262 against the Nationals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 501 batters and walked 219 opposing hitters. As a team, Washington allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.27. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,340 base knocks and 683 earned runs this season. They have given up 202 home runs this year, which ranks 24th in Major League Baseball. Washington as a staff has walked 517 hitters and struck out 1,511 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.29 while their FIP as a staff is 4.14.
As a team, they are batting .265, good for 5th in the league. The Nationals hold a .454 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .342, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Juan Soto comes into this matchup batting .282 with an OBP of .401. He has 153 hits this year along with 110 RBI in 542 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .548 with an OPS+ of 138. Anthony Rendon is hitting .319 this season and he has an OBP of .412. He has collected 174 hits in 545 at bats while driving in 126 runs. He has an OPS+ of 153 and a slugging percentage of .598. The Nationals as a unit have 1,460 base hits, including 298 doubles and 231 homers. Washington has walked 584 times this year and they have struck out on 1,308 occasions. They have had 1,114 men left on base and have an OPS of .796. They have scored 5.39 runs per game and totaled 873 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Dodgers/Nationals MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Nationals (-135)
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's Free MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Expert MLB Picks