Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves MLB Point Spread Picks 4/5/2019

Friday, April 5, 2019

SunTrust Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Pablo Lopez vs. Kevin Gausman

The Miami Marlins visit SunTrust Park on Friday, April 5, 2019 to play the Atlanta Braves. The probable starters are Pablo Lopez for the Marlins and Kevin Gausman for the Braves.

The opening line for this matchup has Miami at +174 and Atlanta at -185. The Marlins have a 5-1-1 over/under record and a 3-4-0 run line mark. The Braves are 2-3-0 against the run line and have a 3-2-0 over/under record.

Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 5-1-1 against the over/under

The Miami Marlins are 3-4-0 against the run line

Important Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 3-2-0 against the over/under

The Atlanta Braves are 2-3-0 against the run line

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

04/01/19 LF Garrett Cooper Calf 10-day IL (03/31)
03/28/19 P Riley Ferrell Biceps 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Julian Fernandez Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

03/28/19 P A.J. Minter Shoulder 10-day IL (03/25)
03/27/19 P Kevin Gausman Shoulder 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Darren O'Day Arm 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Mike Foltynewicz Elbow 10-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 2-5 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Pablo Lopez has a 1-0 record with an earned run average of 5.06 and a WHIP of 0.94 this season. He has 7 strikeouts over his 5.1 innings pitched and he's given up 5 hits. He's allowed 8.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 0.87. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.50 and they have given up 24 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the bullpen and they've struck out 28 hitters and walked 10 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.43. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 62 base hits and 31 earned runs. They have allowed 4 home runs this season, ranking them 26th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 18 batters and struck out 66. They have walked 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit is 2.71.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .251, good for 10th in the league. The Marlins hold a .387 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .303, which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Miguel Rojas is hitting .286 with an on-base percentage of .318. He has 6 hits this season in 21 at bats with 4 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .381 and an OPS+ of 92. Curtis Granderson is hitting .231 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .421. He has totaled 3 hits and he has driven in 3 men in 13 at bats. His OPS+ is 163 while his slugging percentage is at .538. The Marlins have 59 hits, including 11 doubles and 7 home runs. Miami has walked 13 times so far this season and they have struck out 57 times as a unit. They have left 46 men on base and have a team OPS of .690. They score 3.71 runs per contest and have scored a total of 26 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Atlanta has a 2-3 overall mark this year. The bullpen has an earned run average of 7.08 and they have given up 19 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 20 batters and walked 12 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 5.79. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 42 base knocks and 27 earned runs this season. They have given up 9 home runs this year, which ranks 9th in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 30 hitters and struck out 44 batters. They give up a walk 6.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.71 while their FIP as a staff is 5.91.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .255, good for 9th in the league. The Braves hold a .441 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .376, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Freddie Freeman comes into this matchup batting .412 with an OBP of .565. He has 7 hits this year along with 2 RBI in 17 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .588 with an OPS+ of 205. Dansby Swanson is hitting .286 this season and he has an OBP of .421. He has collected 4 hits in 14 at bats while driving in 5 runs. He has an OPS+ of 208 and a slugging percentage of .786. The Braves as a unit have 41 base hits, including 7 doubles and 7 homers. Atlanta has walked 31 times this year and they have struck out on 43 occasions. They have had 40 men left on base and have an OPS of .817. They have scored 5 runs per game and totaled 25 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Braves MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Marlins +174

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