Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves MLB Point Spread Picks 8/22/2019

Thursday, August 22, 2019

SunTrust Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Sandy Alcantara vs. Mike Soroka

Ronald Acuna Jr and the Atlanta Braves (75-52, 1st in NL East) host the Miami Marlins (45-79, 5th in NL East) at SunTrust Park on Thursday, August 22, 2019. The line on this contest has the Marlins priced at +263 and the Braves are at -295. The total is set at 9.

The Marlins have been strong for oddsmakers, having gone 45-79-0 SU. Atlanta covers 59.1% of the time, going 75-52-0 straight up.

Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Marlins have been a decent Under choice for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 58-58-8.

Miami covers 33.3% of the time on the road, having gone 20-40-0 straight up.

Important Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Braves are covering 57.8% of the time at SunTrust Park, going 37-27-0 SU.

The Braves have been a hot and cold Under choice for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 63-57-7.

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

8/20/2019 Tayron Guerrero RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/20/2019 Elieser Hernandez SP Finger Expected to be out until at least Aug 25
8/17/2019 Pablo Lopez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 28
8/17/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/15/2019 JT Riddle CF Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/15/2019 Miguel Rojas SS Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
8/15/2019 Cesar Puello CF Hip Expected to be out until at least Aug 22
8/8/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Out for the season
8/5/2019 Jose Urena SP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/1/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 3

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

8/20/2019 Austin Riley LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/20/2019 Dansby Swanson SS Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 7
8/20/2019 Brian McCann C Knee Probable for Aug 21
8/19/2019 Jacob Webb RP Elbow Out for the season
8/17/2019 Ender Inciarte CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
8/14/2019 Grant Dayton RP Toe Expected to be out until at least Aug 27
7/27/2019 Nick Markakis RF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
7/23/2019 Darren O'Day RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 45-79 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Sandy Alcantara has a 4-11 record with an earned run average of 4.35 and a WHIP of 1.42 this season. He has 101 strikeouts over his 142.2 innings pitched and he's given up 133 hits. He's allowed 8.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.92. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.13 and they have given up 412 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the bullpen and they've struck out 432 hitters and walked 195 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.66. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 1,011 base hits and 571 earned runs. They have allowed 184 home runs this season, ranking them 11th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 467 batters and struck out 1,066. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.90.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .241, good for 28th in the league. The Marlins hold a .367 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .297, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Starlin Castro is hitting .262 with an on-base percentage of .286. He has 129 hits this season in 492 at bats with 58 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .380 and an OPS+ of 75. Brian Anderson is hitting .264 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .343. He has totaled 119 hits and he has driven in 65 men in 451 at bats. His OPS+ is 114 while his slugging percentage is at .475. The Marlins have 1,009 hits, including 199 doubles and 103 home runs. Miami has walked 290 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,119 times as a unit. They have left 794 men on base and have a team OPS of .664. They score 3.66 runs per contest and have scored a total of 454 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Atlanta has a 75-52 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.41, Mike Soroka has a 10-2 record and a 1.10 WHIP. He has 107 strikeouts over the 134.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 115 hits. He's allowing 7.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.29. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.42 and they have given up 453 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 469 batters and walked 211 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.39. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,147 base knocks and 555 earned runs this season. They have given up 165 home runs this year, which ranks 21st in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 461 hitters and struck out 1,091 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.42 while their FIP as a staff is 4.54.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .263, good for 6th in the league. The Braves hold a .461 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.1 hits per contest. Ronald Acuna Jr comes into this matchup batting .296 with an OBP of .376. He has 152 hits this year along with 85 RBI in 514 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .537 with an OPS+ of 129. Freddie Freeman is hitting .307 this season and he has an OBP of .399. He has collected 149 hits in 486 at bats while driving in 102 runs. He has an OPS+ of 144 and a slugging percentage of .576. The Braves as a unit have 1,157 base hits, including 220 doubles and 202 homers. Atlanta has walked 461 times this year and they have struck out on 1,115 occasions. They have had 892 men left on base and have an OPS of .799. They have scored 5.38 runs per game and totaled 683 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Braves MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Marlins (+263)

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