Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies Baseball Betting Tips 9/27/2019

Friday, September 27, 2019

Citizens Bank Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Pablo Lopez vs. Vince Velasquez

Citizens Bank Park is the site where Rhys Hoskins and the Philadelphia Phillies (79-79, 4th in NL East) will play the Miami Marlins (55-103, 5th in NL East) on Friday. The Marlins open this game at +170 while the Phillies are coming in at -180. The over/under is set at 9.

The Marlins have been inconsistent for MLB bettors, having gone 55-103-0 SU. The Phillies are covering 50.0% of the time, going 79-79-0 straight up.

Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Marlins have been a good Over option for O/U bettors, having gone 78-71-9.

The Marlins are covering 32.5% of the time on the road, having gone 25-52-0 straight up.

Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Phillies are covering 55.1% of the time at Citizens Bank Park, going 43-35-0 SU.

The Phillies have been a good Over option for O/U bettors, having gone 72-81-5.

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

9/26/2019 Cesar Puello CF Hip Expected to be out until at least Sep 26
9/23/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Out for the season
9/22/2019 Magneuris Sierra CF Hamstring Out for the season
9/21/2019 Garrett Cooper 1B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/21/2019 Austin Brice RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 26
9/20/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Out for the season
9/14/2019 JT Riddle CF Forearm Out for the season
9/3/2019 Brian Anderson 3B Finger Out for the season
8/8/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

9/25/2019 J.T C Knee Out for the season
9/22/2019 Roman Quinn CF Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/18/2019 Victor Arano RP Elbow Out for the season
9/17/2019 Corey Dickerson LF Foot Out for the season
9/10/2019 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/1/2019 Adam Morgan RP Elbow Out for the season
9/1/2019 Jerad Eickhoff SP Finger Out for the season
8/31/2019 Pat Neshek RP Hamstring Out for the season
8/20/2019 Jake Arrieta SP Elbow Out for the season
8/17/2019 David Robertson RP Elbow Out for the season
7/23/2019 Tommy Hunter RP Forearm Out for the season
6/24/2019 Andrew McCutchen LF Knee Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 55-103 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Pablo Lopez has a 5-8 record with an earned run average of 4.96 and a WHIP of 1.22 this season. He has 92 strikeouts over his 107 innings pitched and he's given up 103 hits. He's allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.39. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.09 and they have given up 520 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the bullpen and they've struck out 550 hitters and walked 260 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.78. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 1,301 base hits and 746 earned runs. They have allowed 231 home runs this season, ranking them 11th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 597 batters and struck out 1,339. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit is 4.91.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .241, good for 25th in the league. The Marlins hold a .373 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .299, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Starlin Castro is hitting .267 with an on-base percentage of .296. He has 166 hits this season in 621 at bats with 83 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .428 and an OPS+ of 91. Miguel Rojas is hitting .281 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .329. He has totaled 132 hits and he has driven in 46 men in 469 at bats. His OPS+ is 90 while his slugging percentage is at .380. The Marlins have 1,289 hits, including 259 doubles and 138 home runs. Miami has walked 392 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,428 times as a unit. They have left 1,012 men on base and have a team OPS of .672. They score 3.8 runs per contest and have scored a total of 600 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 79-79 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.76, Vince Velasquez has a 7-8 record and a 1.38 WHIP. He has 127 strikeouts over the 113.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 113 hits. He's allowing 9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.17. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.53 and they have given up 556 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 557 batters and walked 233 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.56. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,412 base knocks and 715 earned runs this season. They have given up 251 home runs this year, which ranks 5th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 536 hitters and struck out 1,351 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.90.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .245, good for 22nd in the league. The Phillies hold a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319, which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Rhys Hoskins comes into this matchup batting .229 with an OBP of .366. He has 127 hits this year along with 84 RBI in 555 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .463 with an OPS+ of 113. Bryce Harper is hitting .260 this season and he has an OBP of .375. He has collected 144 hits in 554 at bats while driving in 109 runs. He has an OPS+ of 125 and a slugging percentage of .507. The Phillies as a unit have 1,328 base hits, including 304 doubles and 208 homers. Philadelphia has walked 546 times this year and they have struck out on 1,411 occasions. They have had 1,093 men left on base and have an OPS of .744. They have scored 4.77 runs per game and totaled 754 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Phillies (-180)

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