Miami Marlins at Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Tips 9/5/2019

Thursday, September 5, 2019

PNC Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Elieser Hernandez vs. Dario Agrazal

Starling Marte and the Pittsburgh Pirates (60-78, 5th in NL Central) play the Miami Marlins (49-88, 5th in NL East) at PNC Park on Thursday, September 5, 2019. The Pirates open this game at -155 while the Marlins are coming in at +135. The over/under has been set at 9.5.

The Marlins have been dicey for bettors, having gone 49-88-0 SU. The Pirates are covering 43.5% of the time, going 60-78-0 straight up.

Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Marlins have been a less than ideal Under option for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 64-64-9.

Miami is covering 31.8% of the time as the road team, having gone 21-45-0 straight up.

Important Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

Pittsburgh is covering 43.9% of the time at PNC Park, going 29-37-0 SU.

The Pirates have been a great Over option for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 78-55-5.

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Key Miami Marlins Injuries

9/3/2019 Brian Anderson 3B Finger Out for the season
9/3/2019 Austin Brice RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/3/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 5
9/2/2019 Cesar Puello CF Hip Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
9/1/2019 JT Riddle CF Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 5
8/28/2019 Jordan Yamamoto SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
8/26/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Sep 8
8/8/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries

9/3/2019 Kevin Newman SS Leg Probable for Sep 4
9/3/2019 Jason Martin LF Shoulder Probable for Sep 4
9/3/2019 Mitch Keller SP Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 8
8/29/2019 Chris Stratton RP Side Expected to be out until at least Sep 8
8/29/2019 Yefry Ramirez RP Calf Expected to be out until at least Sep 8
8/29/2019 Nick Burdi RP Biceps Out for the season
8/28/2019 Gregory Polanco RF Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 7
8/27/2019 Chris Archer SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/14/2019 Jameson Taillon SP Elbow Out for the season
8/8/2019 Lonnie Chisenhall RF Calf Out for the season
3/28/2019 Edgar Santana RP Elbow Out for the season
3/1/2019 Chad Kuhl SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 49-88 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Elieser Hernandez has a 3-5 record with an earned run average of 5.06 and a WHIP of 1.23 this season. He has 68 strikeouts over his 69.1 innings pitched and he's given up 62 hits. He's allowed 8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.78. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.01 and they have given up 451 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the bullpen and they've struck out 478 hitters and walked 224 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.76. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 1,112 base hits and 645 earned runs. They have allowed 207 home runs this season, ranking them 8th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 522 batters and struck out 1,175. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.96.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .238, good for 29th in the league. The Marlins hold a .368 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .296, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Starlin Castro is hitting .267 with an on-base percentage of .290. He has 144 hits this season in 540 at bats with 72 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .406 and an OPS+ of 83. Garrett Cooper is hitting .272 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .339. He has totaled 94 hits and he has driven in 45 men in 346 at bats. His OPS+ is 103 while his slugging percentage is at .431. The Marlins have 1,104 hits, including 216 doubles and 120 home runs. Miami has walked 327 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,259 times as a unit. They have left 868 men on base and have a team OPS of .664. They score 3.7 runs per contest and have scored a total of 507 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Pittsburgh has a 60-78 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.50, Dario Agrazal has a 4-3 record and a 1.33 WHIP. He has 27 strikeouts over the 54 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 58 hits. He's allowing 9.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.09. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.81 and they have given up 523 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the Pirates bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 586 batters and walked 244 opposing hitters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 5.04. The Pirates pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,275 base knocks and 686 earned runs this season. They have given up 204 home runs this year, which ranks 11th in Major League Baseball. Pittsburgh as a staff has walked 481 hitters and struck out 1,233 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.71.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .267, good for 6th in the league. The Pirates hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 9.3 hits per contest. Starling Marte comes into this matchup batting .293 with an OBP of .340. He has 155 hits this year along with 79 RBI in 529 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .501 with an OPS+ of 117. Josh Bell is hitting .278 this season and he has an OBP of .364. He has collected 139 hits in 500 at bats while driving in 110 runs. He has an OPS+ of 141 and a slugging percentage of .574. The Pirates as a unit have 1,287 base hits, including 273 doubles and 152 homers. Pittsburgh has walked 373 times this year and they have struck out on 1,040 occasions. They have had 946 men left on base and have an OPS of .753. They have scored 4.77 runs per game and totaled 658 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Pirates MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Pirates (-155)

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