Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds Baseball Betting Tips and Predictions 9/25/2019

Wednesday, September 25, 2019

Great American Ball Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jordan Lyles vs. Tyler Mahle

Joey Votto and the Cincinnati Reds (73-83, 4th in NL Central) host the Milwaukee Brewers (86-70, 2nd in NL Central) at Great American Ball Park on Wednesday, September 25, 2019. The line on this game has the Brewers coming in at -154 and the Reds are at +144. The over/under opens at 9.

The Brewers have been bad for Las Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 86-70-0 SU. The Reds cover 46.8% of the time, going 73-83-0 straight up.

Valuable Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Brewers have been a dicey Over play for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 67-84-5.

The Brewers cover 49.3% of the time as the away team, having gone 37-38-0 straight up.

Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

Cincinnati is covering 52.6% of the time at Great American Ball Park, going 40-36-0 SU.

The Reds have been a dicey Over play for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 59-90-7.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

9/17/2019 Corey Knebel RP Elbow Out for the season
9/12/2019 Bobby Wahl RP Knee Out for the season
9/10/2019 Christian Yelich RF Kneecap Out for the season

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

9/23/2019 Michael Lorenzen RP Illness Probable for Sep 24
9/22/2019 Freddy Galvis 2B Knee Probable for Sep 24
9/21/2019 Robert Stephenson RP Illness Probable for Sep 24
9/21/2019 Josh VanMeter LF Illness Probable for Sep 24
9/21/2019 Nick Senzel CF Shoulder Out for the season
9/16/2019 Alex Wood SP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/16/2019 Jesse Winker LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Sep 25

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Brewers have a 86-70 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jordan Lyles has a 11-8 record with an earned run average of 4.17 and a WHIP of 1.33 this season. He has 140 strikeouts over his 136 innings pitched and he's given up 128 hits. He's allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.65. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.36 and they have given up 557 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the bullpen and they've struck out 727 hitters and walked 272 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.43. The Brewers pitchers collectively have given up 1,313 base hits and 690 earned runs. They have allowed 216 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 547 batters and struck out 1,440. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.33 and their FIP as a unit is 4.46.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Milwaukee is hitting .247, good for 18th in the league. The Brewers hold a .439 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Mike Moustakas is hitting .256 with an on-base percentage of .329. He has 131 hits this season in 511 at bats with 87 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .521 and an OPS+ of 115. Yasmani Grandal is hitting .249 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .382. He has totaled 123 hits and he has driven in 73 men in 494 at bats. His OPS+ is 120 while his slugging percentage is at .470. The Brewers have 1,314 hits, including 262 doubles and 242 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 601 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,498 times as a unit. They have left 1,134 men on base and have a team OPS of .768. They score 4.74 runs per contest and have scored a total of 739 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 73-83 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.93, Tyler Mahle has a 2-11 record and a 1.28 WHIP. He has 123 strikeouts over the 122.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 126 hits. He's allowing 9.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.43. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.48 and they have given up 471 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .236 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 573 batters and walked 226 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.2. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,225 base knocks and 644 earned runs this season. They have given up 208 home runs this year, which ranks 18th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 515 hitters and struck out 1,499 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 4.24.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .244, good for 24th in the league. The Reds hold a .423 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this matchup batting .267 with an OBP of .364. He has 135 hits this year along with 47 RBI in 506 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .421 with an OPS+ of 103. Jose Iglesias is hitting .287 this season and he has an OBP of .314. He has collected 139 hits in 485 at bats while driving in 55 runs. He has an OPS+ of 84 and a slugging percentage of .406. The Reds as a unit have 1,278 base hits, including 217 doubles and 221 homers. Cincinnati has walked 464 times this year and they have struck out on 1,380 occasions. They have had 1,016 men left on base and have an OPS of .737. They have scored 4.37 runs per game and totaled 682 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Brewers/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Reds (+144)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn