Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Tips 9/26/2019

Thursday, September 26, 2019

Great American Ball Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Chase Anderson vs. Luis Castillo

Yasmani Grandal and the Milwaukee Brewers (87-70, 2nd in NL Central) are headed to Great American Ball Park on Thursday where they'll meet the Cincinnati Reds (73-84, 4th in NL Central). The Brewers open this contest at -142 while the Reds are priced at +132. The total opens at 9.

The Brewers have been a strong play for baseball bettors, having gone 87-70-0 SU. Cincinnati is covering 46.5% of the time, going 73-84-0 straight up.

Valuable Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Brewers have been an inconsistent Over play for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 67-85-5.

The Brewers cover 50.0% of the time as the away team, having gone 38-38-0 straight up.

Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

Cincinnati is covering 51.9% of the time at Great American Ball Park, going 40-37-0 SU.

The Reds have been an inconsistent Over play for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 59-91-7.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

9/17/2019 Corey Knebel RP Elbow Out for the season
9/12/2019 Bobby Wahl RP Knee Out for the season
9/10/2019 Christian Yelich RF Kneecap Out for the season

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

9/25/2019 Robert Stephenson RP Illness Probable for Sep 25
9/24/2019 Josh VanMeter LF Illness Probable for Sep 25
9/24/2019 Michael Lorenzen RP Illness Probable for Sep 25
9/24/2019 Jesse Winker LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/24/2019 Joel Kuhnel RP Illness Probable for Sep 25
9/24/2019 Freddy Galvis 2B Knee Probable for Sep 25
9/21/2019 Nick Senzel CF Shoulder Out for the season
9/16/2019 Alex Wood SP Back Probable for Sep 25

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Brewers have a 87-70 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Chase Anderson has a 7-4 record with an earned run average of 4.30 and a WHIP of 1.26 this season. He has 122 strikeouts over his 134 innings pitched and he's given up 121 hits. He's allowed 8.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.79. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.32 and they have given up 562 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the bullpen and they've struck out 733 hitters and walked 273 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.41. The Brewers pitchers collectively have given up 1,321 base hits and 692 earned runs. They have allowed 216 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 548 batters and struck out 1,449. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.45.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Milwaukee is hitting .247, good for 21st in the league. The Brewers hold a .438 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Yasmani Grandal is hitting .249 with an on-base percentage of .382. He has 124 hits this season in 497 at bats with 74 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .471 and an OPS+ of 120. Mike Moustakas is hitting .257 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .330. He has totaled 132 hits and he has driven in 87 men in 514 at bats. His OPS+ is 116 while his slugging percentage is at .521. The Brewers have 1,321 hits, including 264 doubles and 243 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 605 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,510 times as a unit. They have left 1,140 men on base and have a team OPS of .767. They score 4.73 runs per contest and have scored a total of 743 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 73-84 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.25, Luis Castillo has a 15-7 record and a 1.13 WHIP. He has 218 strikeouts over the 185.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 134 hits. He's allowing 6.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.74. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.45 and they have given up 475 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .236 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 579 batters and walked 228 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.19. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,232 base knocks and 647 earned runs this season. They have given up 209 home runs this year, which ranks 18th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 519 hitters and struck out 1,511 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 4.24.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .244, good for 24th in the league. The Reds hold a .422 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Jose Iglesias comes into this matchup batting .284 with an OBP of .311. He has 139 hits this year along with 55 RBI in 489 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .403 with an OPS+ of 83. Joey Votto is hitting .269 this season and he has an OBP of .365. He has collected 137 hits in 510 at bats while driving in 47 runs. He has an OPS+ of 104 and a slugging percentage of .424. The Reds as a unit have 1,286 base hits, including 220 doubles and 221 homers. Cincinnati has walked 465 times this year and they have struck out on 1,389 occasions. They have had 1,023 men left on base and have an OPS of .736. They have scored 4.36 runs per game and totaled 684 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Brewers/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers (-142)

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