Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates Baseball Betting Tips and Predictions 7/6/2019
Saturday, July 6, 2019
PNC Park
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Adrian Houser vs. Trevor Williams
Josh Bell and the Pittsburgh Pirates (42-44, 4th in NL Central) play the Milwaukee Brewers (46-42, 2nd in NL Central) at PNC Park on Saturday, July 6, 2019. The Pirates open this game at -109 while the Brewers are priced at -101. The total is set at 10.5.
The Brewers have been inconsistent for oddsmakers, having gone 46-42-0 SU. The Pirates cover 48.8% of the time, going 42-44-0 straight up. The Pirates have been a great pick for MLB bettors as favorites, going 14-10-0 SU. Milwaukee has gone 18-19-0 straight up as an underdog, so they cover 48.6% of the time.
Valuable Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Brewers have been an awful Over pick for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 37-48-3.
Milwaukee is covering 44.2% of the time away from home, having gone 19-24-0 straight up.
Important Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends
Pittsburgh is covering 50.0% of the time at PNC Park, going 20-20-0 SU.
The Pirates have been a great Over pick for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 50-33-3.
Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries
7/4/2019 Ryan Braun LF Knee Probable for Jul 5
6/28/2019 Jimmy Nelson SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/27/2019 Gio Gonzalez SP Arm Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
4/14/2019 Corey Knebel RP Elbow Out for the season
4/4/2019 Bobby Wahl RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
2/19/2019 Brent Suter SP Elbow Out for the season
Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries
7/3/2019 Jameson Taillon SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
6/30/2019 Francisco Cervelli C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/26/2019 Rookie Davis RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
6/25/2019 Nick Burdi RP Collarbone Out for the season
6/24/2019 Gregory Polanco RF Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/19/2019 Lonnie Chisenhall RF Calf Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
6/15/2019 Keone Kela RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/13/2019 Erik Gonzalez SS Collarbone Expected to be out until at least Jul 10
3/28/2019 Edgar Santana RP Elbow Out for the season
3/1/2019 Chad Kuhl SP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Brewers have a 46-42 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Adrian Houser has a 2-2 record with an earned run average of 3.26 and a WHIP of 1.35 this season. He has 42 strikeouts over his 38.2 innings pitched and he's given up 36 hits. He's allowed 8.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.04. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.15 and they have given up 298 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the bullpen and they've struck out 391 hitters and walked 146 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.51. The Brewers pitchers collectively have given up 770 base hits and 399 earned runs. They have allowed 118 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 300 batters and struck out 819. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.33.
Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games
Hitting Statistics
As a team Milwaukee is hitting .245, good for 19th in the league. The Brewers hold a .441 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Lorenzo Cain is hitting .245 with an on-base percentage of .310. He has 80 hits this season in 326 at bats with 29 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .353 and an OPS+ of 71. Christian Yelich is hitting .328 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .425. He has totaled 98 hits and he has driven in 67 men in 299 at bats. His OPS+ is 186 while his slugging percentage is at .712. The Brewers have 737 hits, including 139 doubles and 147 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 334 times so far this season and they have struck out 842 times as a unit. They have left 618 men on base and have a team OPS of .767. They score 4.75 runs per contest and have scored a total of 418 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Pittsburgh has a 42-44 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.54, Trevor Williams has a 3-2 record and a 1.26 WHIP. He has 57 strikeouts over the 71.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 77 hits. He's allowing 9.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.01. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.89 and they have given up 326 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the Pirates bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 360 batters and walked 158 opposing hitters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.93. The Pirates pitchers as a team have surrendered 787 base knocks and 420 earned runs this season. They have given up 116 home runs this year, which ranks 18th in Major League Baseball. Pittsburgh as a staff has walked 312 hitters and struck out 769 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.54.
Hitting Statistics
As a team, they are batting .268, good for 4th in the league. The Pirates hold a .432 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 9.4 hits per contest. Josh Bell comes into this matchup batting .306 with an OBP of .377. He has 100 hits this year along with 81 RBI in 327 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .654 with an OPS+ of 164. Melky Cabrera is hitting .313 this season and he has an OBP of .345. He has collected 70 hits in 224 at bats while driving in 29 runs. He has an OPS+ of 108 and a slugging percentage of .451. The Pirates as a unit have 808 base hits, including 180 doubles and 93 homers. Pittsburgh has walked 230 times this year and they have struck out on 675 occasions. They have had 598 men left on base and have an OPS of .756. They have scored 4.74 runs per game and totaled 408 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Brewers/Pirates MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Pirates -109
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