» MLB Picks » Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres MLB Picks & Predictions 6/19/2019

Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres MLB Picks & Predictions 6/19/2019

by Tony Sink - 6/18/2019

Wednesday, June 19, 2019

Petco Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Zach Davies vs. Matt Strahm

Petco Park is the site where Eric Hosmer and the San Diego Padres (36-37, 4th in NL West) will take on the Milwaukee Brewers (40-32, 1st in NL Central) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Brewers coming in at -115 and the Padres are at +105. The total is set at 8.5.

The Brewers have been terrible for Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 40-32-0 SU. San Diego is covering 49.3% of the time, going 36-37-0 straight up. The Brewers have been terrible for Vegas oddsmakers as the favorite, going 23-15-0 SU. San Diego is covering 46.0% of the time as the underdog, having gone 17-20-0 straight up.

Valuable Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Brewers have been a terrible Over play for over/under bettors, having gone 31-38-3.

The Brewers are covering 48.6% of the time as a visitor, having gone 18-19-0 straight up.

Important San Diego Padres Betting Trends

San Diego is covering 48.7% of the time at Petco Park, going 19-20-0 SU.

The Padres have been a solid Over play for over/under bettors, having gone 36-32-5.

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

6/13/2019 Gio Gonzalez SP Arm Expected to be out until at least Jun 27
4/14/2019 Corey Knebel RP Elbow Out for the season
4/4/2019 Bobby Wahl RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
2/19/2019 Brent Suter SP Elbow Out for the season

Key San Diego Padres Injuries

6/17/2019 Franchy Cordero CF Leg Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/8/2019 Adam Warren RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jun 18
6/5/2019 Travis Jankowski CF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
6/2/2019 Brett Kennedy SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/1/2019 Jacob Nix SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 22
5/29/2019 Dinelson Lamet SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
5/28/2019 Jose Castillo RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jun 30
5/27/2019 Aaron Loup RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
2/19/2019 Garrett Richards SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Brewers have a 40-32 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Zach Davies has a 7-1 record with an earned run average of 2.60 and a WHIP of 1.26 this season. He has 50 strikeouts over his 79.2 innings pitched and he's given up 78 hits. He's allowed 8.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.29. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.28 and they have given up 255 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .227 against the bullpen and they've struck out 331 hitters and walked 124 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.52. The Brewers pitchers collectively have given up 630 base hits and 329 earned runs. They have allowed 100 home runs this season, ranking them 13th in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 255 batters and struck out 678. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit is 4.36.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Milwaukee is hitting .252, good for 16th in the league. The Brewers hold a .452 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Lorenzo Cain is hitting .248 with an on-base percentage of .304. He has 70 hits this season in 282 at bats with 27 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .358 and an OPS+ of 72. Christian Yelich is hitting .342 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .441. He has totaled 82 hits and he has driven in 57 men in 240 at bats. His OPS+ is 200 while his slugging percentage is at .742. The Brewers have 631 hits, including 115 doubles and 125 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 276 times so far this season and they have struck out 693 times as a unit. They have left 513 men on base and have a team OPS of .783. They score 5.01 runs per contest and have scored a total of 361 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

San Diego has a 36-37 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.66, Matt Strahm has a 2-6 record and a 1.27 WHIP. He has 60 strikeouts over the 63.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 66 hits. He's allowing 9.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.68. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.83 and they have given up 262 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the Padres bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 304 batters and walked 83 opposing hitters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.56. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 630 base knocks and 328 earned runs this season. They have given up 104 home runs this year, which ranks 9th in Major League Baseball. San Diego as a staff has walked 184 hitters and struck out 645 batters. They give up a walk 2.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 4.27.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .240, good for 23rd in the league. The Padres hold a .423 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .303, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 25th in MLB with 8.0 hits per contest. Eric Hosmer comes into this matchup batting .286 with an OBP of .341. He has 79 hits this year along with 48 RBI in 276 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .446 with an OPS+ of 111. Manny Machado is hitting .264 this season and he has an OBP of .346. He has collected 70 hits in 265 at bats while driving in 40 runs. He has an OPS+ of 117 and a slugging percentage of .464. The Padres as a unit have 582 base hits, including 105 doubles and 107 homers. San Diego has walked 205 times this year and they have struck out on 713 occasions. They have had 425 men left on base and have an OPS of .726. They have scored 4.34 runs per game and totaled 317 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Brewers/Padres MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Brewers -115

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