Minnesota Twins at Baltimore Orioles Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 4/20/2019

Saturday, April 20, 2019

Oriole Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Martin Perez vs. Dan Straily

The Minnesota Twins visit Oriole Park on Saturday, April 20, 2019 to play the Baltimore Orioles. The probable starters are Martin Perez for the Twins and Dan Straily for the Orioles.

The opening line for this matchup has Minnesota at -142 and Baltimore at +132. The Twins have a 8-7-0 over/under record and a 7-8-0 run line mark. The Orioles are 7-12-0 against the run line and have a 12-7-0 over/under record.

Valuable Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 8-7-0 against the over/under

The Minnesota Twins are 7-8-0 against the run line

Important Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Baltimore Orioles are 12-7-0 against the over/under

The Baltimore Orioles are 7-12-0 against the run line

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

03/28/19 P Addison Reed Thumb 10-day IL (03/25)
03/28/19 P Gabriel Moya Heel 10-day IL (03/28)
03/28/19 P Matt Magill Shoulder 10-day IL (03/28)
03/25/19 3B Miguel Sano Heel 10-day IL (03/25)

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

04/12/19 P Richard Bleier Shoulder 10-day IL (04/10)
04/10/19 P Nate Karns Forearm 10-day IL (04/09)
04/09/19 P Alex Cobb Back 10-day IL (04/09)
03/28/19 C Austin Wynns Oblique 10-day IL (03/25)
03/28/19 DH Mark Trumbo Groin 60-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Twins have a 9-6 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Martin Perez has a 1-0 record with an earned run average of 5.02 and a WHIP of 2.02 this season. He has 17 strikeouts over his 14.1 innings pitched and he's given up 18 hits. He's allowed 11.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.03. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.75 and they have given up 52 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the bullpen and they've struck out 57 hitters and walked 34 batters. As a team, Minnesota allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.2. The Twins pitchers collectively have given up 115 base hits and 62 earned runs. They have allowed 13 home runs this season, ranking them 30th in the league. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 61 batters and struck out 138. They have walked 4.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 3.72.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Minnesota is hitting .267, good for 7th in the league. The Twins hold a .469 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .342, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Jorge Polanco is hitting .429 with an on-base percentage of .484. He has 24 hits this season in 56 at bats with 5 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .768 and an OPS+ of 236. Max Kepler is hitting .259 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .328. He has totaled 15 hits and he has driven in 8 men in 58 at bats. His OPS+ is 115 while his slugging percentage is at .466. The Twins have 134 hits, including 33 doubles and 20 home runs. Minnesota has walked 49 times so far this season and they have struck out 109 times as a unit. They have left 94 men on base and have a team OPS of .811. They score 5.13 runs per contest and have scored a total of 77 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Baltimore has a 7-12 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 10.24, Dan Straily has a 1-1 record and a 1.86 WHIP. He has 2 strikeouts over the 9.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 15 hits. He's allowing 14 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 9. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.67 and they have given up 98 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .296 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 75 batters and walked 42 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 10 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.3 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 6.05. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 184 base knocks and 111 earned runs this season. They have given up 44 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 72 hitters and struck out 134 batters. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.55 while their FIP as a staff is 6.44.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .223, good for 22nd in the league. The Orioles hold a .364 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .293, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 7.5 hits per contest. Jonathan Villar comes into this matchup batting .273 with an OBP of .333. He has 21 hits this year along with 9 RBI in 77 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .442 with an OPS+ of 114. Trey Mancini is hitting .320 this season and he has an OBP of .373. He has collected 24 hits in 75 at bats while driving in 12 runs. He has an OPS+ of 175 and a slugging percentage of .640. The Orioles as a unit have 142 base hits, including 28 doubles and 18 homers. Baltimore has walked 58 times this year and they have struck out on 164 occasions. They have had 114 men left on base and have an OPS of .657. They have scored 4.32 runs per game and totaled 82 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Twins/Orioles MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Twins -142

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