Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 7/25/2019
Thursday, July 25, 2019
Guaranteed Rate Field
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Jose Berrios vs. Lucas Giolito
Jose Abreu and the Chicago White Sox (45-53, 3rd in AL Central) host the Minnesota Twins (61-39, 1st in AL Central) at Guaranteed Rate Field on Thursday, July 25, 2019. The White Sox open this game at +115 while the Twins are priced at -125. The O/U is set at 9.
The Twins have been a very good play for baseball wagerers, having gone 61-39-0 SU. The White Sox are covering 45.9% of the time, going 45-53-0 straight up. The Twins have been awful for Las Vegas oddsmakers as the favorite, going 40-26-0 SU. The White Sox are covering 38.6% of the time as an underdog, having gone 27-43-0 straight up.
Valuable Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Twins have been a decent Over pick for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 50-45-5.
Minnesota covers 61.2% of the time as the visitor, having gone 30-19-0 straight up.
Important Chicago White Sox Betting Trends
The White Sox are covering 55.3% of the time at Guaranteed Rate Field, going 26-21-0 SU.
The White Sox have been a decent Under pick for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 47-48-3.
Key Minnesota Twins Injuries
7/23/2019 LaMonte Wade RF Thumb Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/23/2019 Byron Buxton CF Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
7/22/2019 C.J 1B Thumb Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/8/2019 Willians Astudillo C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
Key Chicago White Sox Injuries
7/23/2019 Eloy Jimenez LF Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
7/20/2019 Kelvin Herrera RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
7/13/2019 Manny Banuelos SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
7/8/2019 Ryan Burr RP Elbow Out for the season
6/28/2019 Tim Anderson SS Ankle Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/7/2019 Carlos Rodon SP Elbow Out for the season
5/13/2019 Nate Jones RP Forearm Out for the season
3/11/2019 Michael Kopech SP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Twins have a 61-39 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jose Berrios has a 8-5 record with an earned run average of 2.96 and a WHIP of 1.15 this season. He has 114 strikeouts over his 127.2 innings pitched and he's given up 118 hits. He's allowed 8.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.84. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.50 and they have given up 346 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the bullpen and they've struck out 357 hitters and walked 130 batters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 4.06. The Twins pitchers collectively have given up 871 base hits and 409 earned runs. They have allowed 126 home runs this season, ranking them 23rd in the league. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 292 batters and struck out 875. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit is 4.21.
Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games
Hitting Statistics
As a team Minnesota is hitting .272, good for 2nd in the league. The Twins hold a .499 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.6 hits per game. Jonathan Schoop is hitting .255 with an on-base percentage of .304. He has 78 hits this season in 306 at bats with 41 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .464 and an OPS+ of 100. Jorge Polanco is hitting .312 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .369. He has totaled 124 hits and he has driven in 49 men in 398 at bats. His OPS+ is 133 while his slugging percentage is at .520. The Twins have 964 hits, including 207 doubles and 191 home runs. Minnesota has walked 315 times so far this season and they have struck out 800 times as a unit. They have left 702 men on base and have a team OPS of .837. They score 5.69 runs per contest and have scored a total of 569 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Chicago has a 45-53 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.12, Lucas Giolito has a 11-4 record and a 1.09 WHIP. He has 134 strikeouts over the 112.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 83 hits. He's allowing 6.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.15. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.46 and they have given up 315 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the White Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 303 batters and walked 157 opposing hitters. As a team, Chicago allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 5.04. The White Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 876 base knocks and 475 earned runs this season. They have given up 140 home runs this year, which ranks 13th in Major League Baseball. Chicago as a staff has walked 353 hitters and struck out 762 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.45 while their FIP as a staff is 4.94.
Hitting Statistics
As a team, they are batting .255, good for 12th in the league. The White Sox hold a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 14th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Jose Abreu comes into this matchup batting .271 with an OBP of .308. He has 107 hits this year along with 72 RBI in 395 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .494 with an OPS+ of 109. Yoan Moncada is hitting .300 this season and he has an OBP of .358. He has collected 106 hits in 353 at bats while driving in 56 runs. He has an OPS+ of 131 and a slugging percentage of .524. The White Sox as a unit have 844 base hits, including 146 doubles and 114 homers. Chicago has walked 236 times this year and they have struck out on 930 occasions. They have had 638 men left on base and have an OPS of .717. They have scored 4.27 runs per game and totaled 418 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Twins/White Sox MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Twins -125
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