Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 7/14/2019
Sunday, July 14, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Jose Berrios vs. Shane Bieber
Jonathan Schoop and the Minnesota Twins (57-33, 1st in AL Central) head to Progressive Field on Sunday where they'll take on the Cleveland Indians (50-39, 2nd in AL Central). The moneyline on this matchup has the Twins coming in at +123 and the Indians are at -133. The O/U has been set at 9.
The Twins have been excellent for MLB bettors, having gone 57-33-0 SU. The Indians are covering 56.2% of the time, going 50-39-0 straight up. The Indians have been hot and cold for Vegas oddsmakers as a favorite, going 39-32-0 SU. Minnesota has went 19-11-0 straight up as an underdog, so they are covering 63.3% of the time.
Valuable Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Twins have been a hot and cold Under choice for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 46-39-5.
The Twins are covering 61.7% of the time as a visitor, having gone 29-18-0 straight up.
Important Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
Cleveland covers 56.8% of the time at Progressive Field, going 25-19-0 SU.
The Indians have been an excellent Under choice for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 38-47-4.
Key Minnesota Twins Injuries
7/12/2019 Eddie Rosario LF Ankle Expected to be out until at least Jul 13
7/8/2019 Willians Astudillo C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
7/8/2019 C.J 1B Thumb Expected to be out until at least Jul 16
7/8/2019 LaMonte Wade RF Thumb Expected to be out until at least Jul 17
7/3/2019 Jake Odorizzi SP Finger Expected to be out until at least Jul 13
Key Cleveland Indians Injuries
7/12/2019 Tyler Naquin RF Back Probable for Jul 13
7/12/2019 Corey Kluber SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 14
7/12/2019 Cody Anderson RP Elbow Out for the season
7/12/2019 Carlos Carrasco SP Illness Expected to be out until at least Aug 20
7/2/2019 Dan Otero RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 15
6/29/2019 Danny Salazar SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/27/2019 Bradley Zimmer CF Side Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
6/27/2019 Jefry Rodriguez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 22
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Twins have a 57-33 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jose Berrios has a 8-5 record with an earned run average of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.11 this season. He has 104 strikeouts over his 117 innings pitched and he's given up 107 hits. He's allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.83. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.23 and they have given up 294 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the bullpen and they've struck out 318 hitters and walked 118 batters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.94. The Twins pitchers collectively have given up 764 base hits and 357 earned runs. They have allowed 110 home runs this season, ranking them 25th in the league. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 257 batters and struck out 792. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.25 and their FIP as a unit is 4.09.
As a team Minnesota is hitting .271, good for 2nd in the league. The Twins hold a .496 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.7 hits per game. Jonathan Schoop is hitting .260 with an on-base percentage of .311. He has 75 hits this season in 288 at bats with 39 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .469 and an OPS+ of 104. Jorge Polanco is hitting .311 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .368. He has totaled 112 hits and he has driven in 44 men in 360 at bats. His OPS+ is 133 while his slugging percentage is at .514. The Twins have 869 hits, including 190 doubles and 168 home runs. Minnesota has walked 274 times so far this season and they have struck out 723 times as a unit. They have left 621 men on base and have a team OPS of .832. They score 5.71 runs per contest and have scored a total of 514 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Cleveland has a 50-39 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.45, Shane Bieber has a 8-3 record and a 1.01 WHIP. He has 141 strikeouts over the 112.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 90 hits. He's allowing 7.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.35. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.50 and they have given up 261 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .241 against the Indians bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 285 batters and walked 89 opposing hitters. As a team, Cleveland allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.91. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 708 base knocks and 341 earned runs this season. They have given up 117 home runs this year, which ranks 20th in Major League Baseball. Cleveland as a staff has walked 249 hitters and struck out 836 batters. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.22 while their FIP as a staff is 4.11.
As a team, they are batting .243, good for 21st in the league. The Indians hold a .416 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 8.1 hits per contest. Francisco Lindor comes into this matchup batting .292 with an OBP of .351. He has 84 hits this year along with 32 RBI in 288 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .503 with an OPS+ of 120. Carlos Santana is hitting .297 this season and he has an OBP of .416. He has collected 94 hits in 317 at bats while driving in 53 runs. He has an OPS+ of 150 and a slugging percentage of .546. The Indians as a unit have 719 base hits, including 140 doubles and 116 homers. Cleveland has walked 321 times this year and they have struck out on 747 occasions. They have had 602 men left on base and have an OPS of .737. They have scored 4.48 runs per game and totaled 399 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Twins/Indians MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Twins +123
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