Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 6/9/2019

Sunday, June 9, 2019

Comerica Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jake Odorizzi vs. Ryan Carpenter

Comerica Park is the venue where Nicholas Castellanos and the Detroit Tigers (23-37, 4th in AL Central) will take on the Minnesota Twins (42-20, 1st in AL Central) on Sunday. The Tigers open this game at +212 while the Twins are priced at -230. The total opens at 9.

The Twins have been terrible for Las Vegas oddsmakers oddsmakers, having gone 42-20-0 SU. The Tigers cover 38.3% of the time, going 23-37-0 straight up. The Twins have been a strong option for wagerers as favorites, going 26-10-0 SU. Detroit has gone 16-31-0 straight up as the underdog, so they cover 34.0% of the time.

Valuable Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Twins have been an inconsistent Under bet for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 32-27-3.

Minnesota covers 67.7% of the time as a visitor, having gone 23-11-0 straight up.

Important Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

Detroit covers 33.3% of the time at Comerica Park, going 10-20-0 SU.

The Tigers have been a rough Over bet for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 25-32-3.

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

6/1/2019 Adalberto Mejia RP Calf Expected to be out until at least Jun 20

Key Detroit Tigers Injuries

6/5/2019 Jordan Zimmermann SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/5/2019 Tyson Ross SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 30
6/4/2019 Jeimer Candelario 3B Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 14
6/4/2019 Josh Harrison 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 16
5/29/2019 Jordy Mercer SS Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jun 11
4/30/2019 Matt Moore SP Knee Out for the season
3/23/2019 Michael Fulmer SP Elbow Out for the season
10/25/2019 Artie Lewicki RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Twins have a 42-20 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jake Odorizzi has a 8-2 record with an earned run average of 1.96 and a WHIP of 0.96 this season. He has 70 strikeouts over his 64.1 innings pitched and he's given up 41 hits. He's allowed 5.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.8. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.59 and they have given up 190 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the bullpen and they've struck out 208 hitters and walked 79 batters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.92. The Twins pitchers collectively have given up 510 base hits and 238 earned runs. They have allowed 77 home runs this season, ranking them 22nd in the league. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 170 batters and struck out 532. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit is 4.08.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Minnesota is hitting .272, good for 1st in the league. The Twins hold a .513 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.4 hits per game. Jonathan Schoop is hitting .251 with an on-base percentage of .306. He has 51 hits this season in 203 at bats with 31 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .483 and an OPS+ of 107. Jorge Polanco is hitting .338 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .400. He has totaled 80 hits and he has driven in 32 men in 237 at bats. His OPS+ is 159 while his slugging percentage is at .578. The Twins have 583 hits, including 135 doubles and 120 home runs. Minnesota has walked 193 times so far this season and they have struck out 481 times as a unit. They have left 406 men on base and have a team OPS of .852. They score 5.92 runs per contest and have scored a total of 367 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Detroit has a 23-37 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.23, Ryan Carpenter has a 1-2 record and a 1.35 WHIP. He has 18 strikeouts over the 26 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 29 hits. He's allowing 10 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.18. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.28 and they have given up 222 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .262 against the Tigers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 186 batters and walked 102 opposing hitters. As a team, Detroit allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.76. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 549 base knocks and 287 earned runs this season. They have given up 94 home runs this year, which ranks 5th in Major League Baseball. Detroit as a staff has walked 200 hitters and struck out 487 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.86.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .230, good for 27th in the league. The Tigers hold a .376 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .291, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 7.8 hits per contest. Nicholas Castellanos comes into this matchup batting .263 with an OBP of .315. He has 62 hits this year along with 23 RBI in 236 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .449 with an OPS+ of 101. Niko Goodrum is hitting .238 this season and he has an OBP of .316. He has collected 50 hits in 210 at bats while driving in 18 runs. He has an OPS+ of 90 and a slugging percentage of .400. The Tigers as a unit have 474 base hits, including 116 doubles and 52 homers. Detroit has walked 168 times this year and they have struck out on 594 occasions. They have had 410 men left on base and have an OPS of .667. They have scored 3.51 runs per game and totaled 214 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Twins/Tigers MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Twins -230

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