Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals MLB Game Picks 6/21/2019

Friday, June 21, 2019
Kauffman Stadium
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Martin Perez vs. Jakob Junis
Kauffman Stadium is the venue where Whit Merrifield and the Kansas City Royals (25-49, 5th in AL Central) will play the Minnesota Twins (48-25, 1st in AL Central) on Friday. The Twins open this contest at -164 while the Royals are priced at +154. The O/U is set at 10.
The Twins have been an excellent pick for MLB wagerers, having gone 48-25-0 SU. The Royals cover 33.8% of the time, going 25-49-0 straight up. The Twins have been an excellent pick for MLB wagerers as a favorite, going 31-15-0 SU. Kansas City has gone 20-44-0 straight up as the underdog, so they cover 31.2% of the time.
Valuable Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Twins have been a strong Over play for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 39-30-4.
Minnesota covers 66.7% of the time as the away team, having gone 24-12-0 straight up.
Important Kansas City Royals Betting Trends
Kansas City covers 36.1% of the time at Kauffman Stadium, going 13-23-0 SU.
The Royals have been a decent Over play for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 37-32-5.
Related: Launch Angle Stat: Advice for MLB Handicapping and Betting
Key Minnesota Twins Injuries
6/19/2019 Marwin Gonzalez 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 30
6/19/2019 Adalberto Mejia RP Calf Expected to be out until at least Jun 30
6/18/2019 Byron Buxton CF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/18/2019 Ehire Adrianza 3B Abdomen Expected to be out until at least Jun 27
Key Kansas City Royals Injuries
6/19/2019 Adalberto Mondesi SS Groin Probable for Jun 20
6/16/2019 Hunter Dozier 3B Side Expected to be out until at least Jun 24
6/10/2019 Jesse Hahn SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 25
3/28/2019 Trevor Oaks SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
3/11/2019 Salvador Perez C Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Twins have a 48-25 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Martin Perez has a 7-3 record with an earned run average of 4.09 and a WHIP of 1.42 this season. He has 74 strikeouts over his 77 innings pitched and he's given up 75 hits. He's allowed 8.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.62. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.58 and they have given up 239 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .258 against the bullpen and they've struck out 245 hitters and walked 100 batters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.94. The Twins pitchers collectively have given up 619 base hits and 286 earned runs. They have allowed 87 home runs this season, ranking them 23rd in the league. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 210 batters and struck out 640. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit is 4.02.
Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games
Hitting Statistics
As a team Minnesota is hitting .272, good for 2nd in the league. The Twins hold a .507 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .340, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.5 hits per game. Jorge Polanco is hitting .326 with an on-base percentage of .387. He has 92 hits this season in 282 at bats with 37 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .543 and an OPS+ of 147. Eddie Rosario is hitting .269 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .301. He has totaled 76 hits and he has driven in 53 men in 283 at bats. His OPS+ is 115 while his slugging percentage is at .519. The Twins have 695 hits, including 159 doubles and 140 home runs. Minnesota has walked 232 times so far this season and they have struck out 577 times as a unit. They have left 500 men on base and have a team OPS of .846. They score 5.82 runs per contest and have scored a total of 425 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Kansas City has a 25-49 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.33, Jakob Junis has a 4-6 record and a 1.46 WHIP. He has 76 strikeouts over the 82.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 90 hits. He's allowing 9.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.96. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.75 and they have given up 257 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .261 against the Royals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 251 batters and walked 113 opposing hitters. As a team, Kansas City allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 5.03. The Royals pitchers as a team have surrendered 663 base knocks and 362 earned runs this season. They have given up 87 home runs this year, which ranks 24th in Major League Baseball. Kansas City as a staff has walked 274 hitters and struck out 575 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.45 while their FIP as a staff is 4.61.
Hitting Statistics
As a team, they are batting .244, good for 19th in the league. The Royals hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Whit Merrifield comes into this matchup batting .301 with an OBP of .347. He has 93 hits this year along with 39 RBI in 309 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .502 with an OPS+ of 123. Adalberto Mondesi is hitting .269 this season and he has an OBP of .302. He has collected 78 hits in 290 at bats while driving in 44 runs. He has an OPS+ of 95 and a slugging percentage of .441. The Royals as a unit have 610 base hits, including 123 doubles and 75 homers. Kansas City has walked 213 times this year and they have struck out on 650 occasions. They have had 485 men left on base and have an OPS of .710. They have scored 4.23 runs per game and totaled 313 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Twins/Royals MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Royals +154
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's Free MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Expert MLB Picks