Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals MLB Game Picks 9/27/2019

Friday, September 27, 2019

Kauffman Stadium

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jose Berrios vs. Eric Skoglund

Kauffman Stadium is the venue where Hunter Dozier and the Kansas City Royals (58-101, 4th in AL Central) will take on the Minnesota Twins (98-60, 1st in AL Central) on Friday. The Royals open this matchup at +178 while the Twins are priced at -190. The O/U opens at 10.

The Twins have been a strong pick for bettors, having gone 98-60-0 SU. Kansas City covers 36.5% of the time, going 58-101-0 straight up.

Valuable Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Twins have been a good Over bet for O/U wagerers, having gone 79-72-7.

Minnesota covers 67.5% of the time as the away team, having gone 52-25-0 straight up.

Important Kansas City Royals Betting Trends

Kansas City covers 37.7% of the time at Kauffman Stadium, going 29-48-0 SU.

The Royals have been a good Over bet for O/U wagerers, having gone 82-71-6.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

9/25/2019 Sam Dyson RP Shoulder Out for the season
9/25/2019 Marwin Gonzalez RF Oblique Probable for Sep 26
9/24/2019 Max Kepler RF Shoulder Probable for Sep 26
9/24/2019 Jake Odorizzi SP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 29
9/22/2019 Ehire Adrianza SS Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/10/2019 Byron Buxton CF Shoulder Out for the season
9/1/2019 Sean Poppen RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Kansas City Royals Injuries

9/26/2019 Bubba Starling CF Side Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/26/2019 Nick Dini C Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/25/2019 Adalberto Mondesi SS Shoulder Out for the season
9/24/2019 Trevor Oaks SP Hip Out for the season
9/23/2019 Cam Gallagher C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/18/2019 Jake Junis SP Rest Out for the season
9/12/2019 Kelvin Gutierrez 3B Toe Out for the season
8/29/2019 Brad Keller SP Rest Out for the season
3/11/2019 Salvador Perez C Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Twins have a 98-60 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jose Berrios has a 13-8 record with an earned run average of 3.70 and a WHIP of 1.22 this season. He has 186 strikeouts over his 194.1 innings pitched and he's given up 188 hits. He's allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.94. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.19 and they have given up 560 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the bullpen and they've struck out 599 hitters and walked 181 batters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.19. The Twins pitchers collectively have given up 1,421 base hits and 666 earned runs. They have allowed 195 home runs this season, ranking them 25th in the league. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 443 batters and struck out 1,423. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.05.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Minnesota is hitting .270, good for 2nd in the league. The Twins hold a .493 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.5 hits per game. Eddie Rosario is hitting .278 with an on-base percentage of .302. He has 154 hits this season in 554 at bats with 108 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .505 and an OPS+ of 108. Jorge Polanco is hitting .297 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .359. He has totaled 186 hits and he has driven in 78 men in 626 at bats. His OPS+ is 122 while his slugging percentage is at .489. The Twins have 1,508 hits, including 311 doubles and 299 home runs. Minnesota has walked 519 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,309 times as a unit. They have left 1,094 men on base and have a team OPS of .832. They score 5.79 runs per contest and have scored a total of 915 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Kansas City has a 58-101 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 7.50, Eric Skoglund has a 0-2 record and a 1.61 WHIP. He has 2 strikeouts over the 18 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 21 hits. He's allowing 10.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.67. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.13 and they have given up 593 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .269 against the Royals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 535 batters and walked 269 opposing hitters. As a team, Kansas City allows 9.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 5.21. The Royals pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,499 base knocks and 810 earned runs this season. They have given up 215 home runs this year, which ranks 17th in Major League Baseball. Kansas City as a staff has walked 579 hitters and struck out 1,213 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.48 while their FIP as a staff is 4.90.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .247, good for 19th in the league. The Royals hold a .400 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Hunter Dozier comes into this matchup batting .281 with an OBP of .350. He has 144 hits this year along with 84 RBI in 513 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .522 with an OPS+ of 126. Whit Merrifield is hitting .299 this season and he has an OBP of .346. He has collected 201 hits in 672 at bats while driving in 74 runs. He has an OPS+ of 110 and a slugging percentage of .458. The Royals as a unit have 1,334 base hits, including 276 doubles and 159 homers. Kansas City has walked 448 times this year and they have struck out on 1,376 occasions. They have had 1,037 men left on base and have an OPS of .709. They have scored 4.28 runs per game and totaled 681 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Twins/Royals MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Royals (+178)

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