Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals MLB Game Picks 9/28/2019

Saturday, September 28, 2019

Kauffman Stadium

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Martin Perez vs. Glenn Sparkman

Kauffman Stadium is the site where Whit Merrifield and the Kansas City Royals (58-101, 4th in AL Central) will play the Minnesota Twins (99-60, 1st in AL Central) on Saturday. The Twins open this game at -170 while the Royals are priced at +160. The over/under opens at 10.5.

The Twins have been bad for Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 99-60-0 SU. The Royals cover 36.5% of the time, going 58-101-0 straight up.

Valuable Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Twins have been a pretty good Over play for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 80-72-7.

Minnesota covers 68.0% of the time on the road, having gone 53-25-0 straight up.

Important Kansas City Royals Betting Trends

Kansas City covers 37.7% of the time at Kauffman Stadium, going 29-48-0 SU.

The Royals have been a pretty good Over play for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 82-71-6.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

9/26/2019 Max Kepler RF Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 28
9/26/2019 Marwin Gonzalez RF Oblique Probable for Sep 27
9/25/2019 Sam Dyson RP Shoulder Out for the season
9/24/2019 Jake Odorizzi SP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 29
9/22/2019 Ehire Adrianza SS Oblique Probable for Sep 27
9/10/2019 Byron Buxton CF Shoulder Out for the season
9/1/2019 Sean Poppen RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Kansas City Royals Injuries

9/26/2019 Bubba Starling CF Side Probable for Sep 27
9/26/2019 Nick Dini C Shoulder Probable for Sep 27
9/25/2019 Adalberto Mondesi SS Shoulder Out for the season
9/24/2019 Trevor Oaks SP Hip Out for the season
9/23/2019 Cam Gallagher C Oblique Probable for Sep 27
9/18/2019 Jake Junis SP Rest Out for the season
9/12/2019 Kelvin Gutierrez 3B Toe Out for the season
8/29/2019 Brad Keller SP Rest Out for the season
3/11/2019 Salvador Perez C Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Twins have a 99-60 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Martin Perez has a 10-7 record with an earned run average of 5.13 and a WHIP of 1.52 this season. He has 130 strikeouts over his 159.2 innings pitched and he's given up 179 hits. He's allowed 10.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.64. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.18 and they have given up 563 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the bullpen and they've struck out 606 hitters and walked 182 batters. As a team, Minnesota allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.19. The Twins pitchers collectively have given up 1,434 base hits and 670 earned runs. They have allowed 195 home runs this season, ranking them 26th in the league. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 444 batters and struck out 1,434. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.04.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Minnesota is hitting .270, good for 2nd in the league. The Twins hold a .494 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.6 hits per game. Jorge Polanco is hitting .297 with an on-base percentage of .359. He has 186 hits this season in 626 at bats with 78 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .489 and an OPS+ of 122. Eddie Rosario is hitting .278 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .302. He has totaled 154 hits and he has driven in 108 men in 554 at bats. His OPS+ is 108 while his slugging percentage is at .505. The Twins have 1,521 hits, including 311 doubles and 301 home runs. Minnesota has walked 522 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,317 times as a unit. They have left 1,101 men on base and have a team OPS of .832. They score 5.82 runs per contest and have scored a total of 925 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Kansas City has a 58-101 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.11, Glenn Sparkman has a 4-11 record and a 1.52 WHIP. He has 77 strikeouts over the 131 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 159 hits. He's allowing 10.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.08. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.13 and they have given up 593 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .269 against the Royals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 535 batters and walked 269 opposing hitters. As a team, Kansas City allows 9.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 5.21. The Royals pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,499 base knocks and 810 earned runs this season. They have given up 215 home runs this year, which ranks 17th in Major League Baseball. Kansas City as a staff has walked 579 hitters and struck out 1,213 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.48 while their FIP as a staff is 4.90.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .247, good for 19th in the league. The Royals hold a .400 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Whit Merrifield comes into this matchup batting .299 with an OBP of .346. He has 201 hits this year along with 74 RBI in 672 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .458 with an OPS+ of 110. Hunter Dozier is hitting .281 this season and he has an OBP of .350. He has collected 144 hits in 513 at bats while driving in 84 runs. He has an OPS+ of 126 and a slugging percentage of .522. The Royals as a unit have 1,334 base hits, including 276 doubles and 159 homers. Kansas City has walked 448 times this year and they have struck out on 1,376 occasions. They have had 1,037 men left on base and have an OPS of .709. They have scored 4.28 runs per game and totaled 681 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Twins/Royals MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Royals (+160)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn