Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 5/3/2019

Friday, May 3, 2019

Yankee Stadium

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Kyle Gibson vs. James Paxton

The Minnesota Twins visit Yankee Stadium on Friday, May 3, 2019 to play the New York Yankees. The probable starters are Kyle Gibson for the Twins and James Paxton for the Yankees.

The opening line for this matchup has Minnesota at +155 and New York at -165. The Twins have a 15-13-0 over/under record and a 14-14-0 run line mark. The Yankees are 15-15-0 against the run line and have a 16-14-0 over/under record.

Valuable Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 15-13-0 against the over/under

The Minnesota Twins are 14-14-0 against the run line

Important New York Yankees Betting Trends

The New York Yankees are 16-14-0 against the over/under

The New York Yankees are 15-15-0 against the run line

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

04/28/19 C Willians Astudillo Hamstring 10-day IL (04/28)
03/28/19 P Addison Reed Thumb 10-day IL (03/25)
03/28/19 P Gabriel Moya Heel 10-day IL (03/28)
03/25/19 3B Miguel Sano Heel 10-day IL (03/25)

Key New York Yankees Injuries

05/02/19 2B DJ LeMahieu Knee is questionable Friday vs Minnesota Twins
04/24/19 LF Clint Frazier Ankle 10-day IL (04/23)
04/21/19 RF Aaron Judge Side 10-day IL (04/20)
04/17/19 1B Greg Bird Foot 10-day IL (04/14)
04/17/19 CF Jacoby Ellsbury Hip 60-day IL (03/25)
04/03/19 3B Miguel Andujar Shoulder is out indefinitely
04/03/19 SS Troy Tulowitzki Calf 10-day IL (04/03)
04/01/19 DH Giancarlo Stanton Biceps 10-day IL (04/01)
03/30/19 P Ben Heller Elbow 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 CF Aaron Hicks Back 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Dellin Betances Shoulder 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 SS Didi Gregorius Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Jordan Montgomery Elbow 60-day IL (03/23)
03/25/19 P Luis Severino Shoulder 60-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Twins have a 18-10 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Kyle Gibson has a 2-0 record with an earned run average of 4.88 and a WHIP of 1.23 this season. He has 24 strikeouts over his 27.2 innings pitched and he's given up 26 hits. He's allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.24. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.78 and they have given up 91 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .255 against the bullpen and they've struck out 98 hitters and walked 50 batters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.28. The Twins pitchers collectively have given up 237 base hits and 118 earned runs. They have allowed 32 home runs this season, ranking them 24th in the league. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 91 batters and struck out 234. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.10.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Minnesota is hitting .256, good for 9th in the league. The Twins hold a .493 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 13th in MLB with 8.6 hits per game. Eddie Rosario is hitting .231 with an on-base percentage of .284. He has 25 hits this season in 108 at bats with 24 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .583 and an OPS+ of 125. Jorge Polanco is hitting .327 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .393. He has totaled 34 hits and he has driven in 11 men in 104 at bats. His OPS+ is 164 while his slugging percentage is at .606. The Twins have 240 hits, including 61 doubles and 51 home runs. Minnesota has walked 82 times so far this season and they have struck out 206 times as a unit. They have left 166 men on base and have a team OPS of .816. They score 5.25 runs per contest and have scored a total of 147 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 17-13 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.38, James Paxton has a 3-2 record and a 1.15 WHIP. He has 51 strikeouts over the 34.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 30 hits. He's allowing 7.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.25. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.33 and they have given up 87 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .221 against the Yankees bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 123 batters and walked 53 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 7.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.87. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 227 base knocks and 115 earned runs this season. They have given up 36 home runs this year, which ranks 19th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 103 hitters and struck out 287 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.23 while their FIP as a staff is 3.92.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .257, good for 8th in the league. The Yankees hold a .445 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .340, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.7 hits per contest. Luke Voit comes into this matchup batting .277 with an OBP of .396. He has 31 hits this year along with 26 RBI in 112 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .545 with an OPS+ of 148. Gleyber Torres is hitting .271 this season and he has an OBP of .302. He has collected 32 hits in 118 at bats while driving in 15 runs. He has an OPS+ of 101 and a slugging percentage of .466. The Yankees as a unit have 261 base hits, including 47 doubles and 47 homers. New York has walked 120 times this year and they have struck out on 262 occasions. They have had 210 men left on base and have an OPS of .785. They have scored 5.27 runs per game and totaled 158 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Twins/Yankees MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Twins +155

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