Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners MLB Picks 5/16/2019

Thursday, May 16, 2019

T-Mobile Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Michael Pineda vs. Erik Swanson

T-Mobile Park is the site where Mitch Haniger and the Seattle Mariners (22-23, 2nd in AL West) will play the Minnesota Twins (26-15, 1st in AL Central) on Thursday. The line on this game has the Twins coming in at -107 and the Mariners are at -103. The O/U has been set at 9.

The Twins have been a good pick for MLB bettors, having gone 21-20-0 against the ML. Seattle is covering 53.3% of the time, going 24-21-0. The Mariners have been an awful bet for baseball bettors as a favorite, going 4-9-0. The Twins are covering 61.1% of the time as the underdog, having gone 11-7-0.

Valuable Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Twins have been a middle of the road Under bet for O/U bettors, having gone 20-20-1.

The Twins are covering 47.4% of the time on the road, having gone 9-10-0.

Important Seattle Mariners Betting Trends

Seattle is covering 50.0% of the time at T-Mobile Park, going 10-10-0.

The Mariners have been a great Over bet for O/U bettors, having gone 30-13-2.

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

05/14/19 DH Nelson Cruz Wrist is questionable Wednesday vs Los Angeles Angels
05/12/19 P Martin Perez Foot left last game, is questionable for next start
05/02/19 P Adalberto Mejia Calf 10-day IL (05/01)
03/28/19 P Addison Reed Thumb 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 3B Miguel Sano Heel 10-day IL (03/25)

Key Seattle Mariners Injuries

05/14/19 2B Dee Gordon Hand is not in the starting lineup Tuesday vs Oakland Athletics
05/12/19 P Felix Hernandez Shoulder 10-day IL (05/12)
05/10/19 3B Dylan Moore Wrist 10-day IL (05/10)
04/15/19 P Wade LeBlanc Oblique 10-day IL (04/14)
04/11/19 3B Kyle Seager Hand 60-day IL (03/17)
04/02/19 P Hunter Strickland Side 60-day IL (04/02)
03/25/19 P Gerson Bautista Pectoral 10-day IL (03/17)
03/25/19 P Sam Tuivailala Achilles 10-day IL (03/17)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Twins have a 26-15 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Michael Pineda has a 2-3 record with an earned run average of 5.85 and a WHIP of 1.45 this season. He has 35 strikeouts over his 40 innings pitched and he's given up 49 hits. He's allowed 11 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.36. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.00 and they have given up 120 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the bullpen and they've struck out 132 hitters and walked 57 batters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.75. The Twins pitchers collectively have given up 331 base hits and 151 earned runs. They have allowed 47 home runs this season, ranking them 24th in the league. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 119 batters and struck out 346. They have walked 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit is 3.98.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Minnesota is hitting .261, good for 3rd in the league. The Twins hold a .492 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Jorge Polanco is hitting .327 with an on-base percentage of .395. He has 50 hits this season in 153 at bats with 19 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .614 and an OPS+ of 166. Jonathan Schoop is hitting .275 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .321. He has totaled 36 hits and he has driven in 18 men in 131 at bats. His OPS+ is 116 while his slugging percentage is at .496. The Twins have 361 hits, including 85 doubles and 74 home runs. Minnesota has walked 129 times so far this season and they have struck out 306 times as a unit. They have left 271 men on base and have a team OPS of .823. They score 5.22 runs per contest and have scored a total of 214 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Seattle has a 22-23 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.35, Erik Swanson has a 1-4 record and a 1.27 WHIP. He has 21 strikeouts over the 28.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 31 hits. He's allowing 9.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.37. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.39 and they have given up 153 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the Mariners bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 173 batters and walked 96 opposing hitters. As a team, Seattle allows 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.75. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 418 base knocks and 212 earned runs this season. They have given up 71 home runs this year, which ranks 2nd in Major League Baseball. Seattle as a staff has walked 150 hitters and struck out 362 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.42 while their FIP as a staff is 4.82.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .242, good for 19th in the league. The Mariners hold a .462 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Mitch Haniger comes into this matchup batting .231 with an OBP of .322. He has 40 hits this year along with 24 RBI in 173 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .503 with an OPS+ of 124. Domingo Santana is hitting .280 this season and he has an OBP of .349. He has collected 49 hits in 175 at bats while driving in 37 runs. He has an OPS+ of 130 and a slugging percentage of .491. The Mariners as a unit have 373 base hits, including 81 doubles and 83 homers. Seattle has walked 173 times this year and they have struck out on 437 occasions. They have had 303 men left on base and have an OPS of .785. They have scored 5.33 runs per game and totaled 240 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Twins/Mariners MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Twins -107

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