New York Mets at Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Tips 6/17/2019

Monday, June 17, 2019

SunTrust Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Zack Wheeler vs. Mike Soroka

Freddie Freeman and the Atlanta Braves (41-30, 1st in NL East) host the New York Mets (34-36, 3rd in NL East) at SunTrust Park on Monday, June 17, 2019. The Mets open this contest at +126 while the Braves are priced at -136. The O/U is set at 9.5.

The Mets have been an inconsistent play for wagerers, having gone 34-36-0 SU. Atlanta covers 57.8% of the time, going 41-30-0 straight up. The Braves have been very good for baseball wagerers as a favorite, going 32-19-0 SU. New York has gone 13-18-0 straight up as an underdog, so they are covering 41.9% of the time.

Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends

The Mets have been a great Over choice for O/U wagerers, having gone 37-26-7.

New York covers 37.8% of the time as the away team, having gone 14-23-0 straight up.

Important Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

Atlanta covers 56.8% of the time at SunTrust Park, going 21-16-0 SU.

The Braves have been a great Over choice for O/U wagerers, having gone 40-28-3.

Related: Launch Angle Stat: Advice for MLB Handicapping and Betting

Key New York Mets Injuries

6/15/2019 Justin Wilson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 16
6/15/2019 Noah Syndergaard SP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 20
6/14/2019 Brandon Nimmo LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/14/2019 Robert Gsellman RP Back Probable for Jun 15
6/9/2019 Robinson Cano 2B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jun 16
6/5/2019 Jed Lowrie 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
5/29/2019 Luis Avilan RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 21
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

6/15/2019 Sean Newcomb RP Head Expected to be out until at least Jun 21
6/14/2019 Darren O'Day RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jun 24
6/11/2019 Kevin Gausman SP Foot Expected to be out until at least Jun 22
6/10/2019 Ender Inciarte CF Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/5/2019 Jacob Lindgren RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 1

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 34-36 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Zack Wheeler has a 5-4 record with an earned run average of 4.87 and a WHIP of 1.29 this season. He has 99 strikeouts over his 88.2 innings pitched and he's given up 88 hits. He's allowed 8.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.76. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.32 and they have given up 238 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .264 against the bullpen and they've struck out 236 hitters and walked 108 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.6. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 623 base hits and 321 earned runs. They have allowed 88 home runs this season, ranking them 21st in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 231 batters and struck out 647. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.17.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .249, good for 17th in the league. The Mets hold a .424 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 14th in MLB with 8.6 hits per game. Amed Rosario is hitting .242 with an on-base percentage of .285. He has 64 hits this season in 264 at bats with 36 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .405 and an OPS+ of 85. Pete Alonso is hitting .263 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .348. He has totaled 66 hits and he has driven in 53 men in 251 at bats. His OPS+ is 153 while his slugging percentage is at .610. The Mets have 603 hits, including 115 doubles and 96 home runs. New York has walked 229 times so far this season and they have struck out 645 times as a unit. They have left 486 men on base and have a team OPS of .747. They score 4.73 runs per contest and have scored a total of 331 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Atlanta has a 41-30 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 1.92, Mike Soroka has a 7-1 record and a 0.97 WHIP. He has 60 strikeouts over the 70.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 50 hits. He's allowing 6.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.9. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.13 and they have given up 250 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .243 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 280 batters and walked 127 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.26. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 606 base knocks and 303 earned runs this season. They have given up 91 home runs this year, which ranks 18th in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 266 hitters and struck out 616 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.51.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .262, good for 5th in the league. The Braves hold a .453 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .337, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 9.1 hits per contest. Freddie Freeman comes into this matchup batting .308 with an OBP of .397. He has 85 hits this year along with 49 RBI in 276 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .591 with an OPS+ of 151. Ozzie Albies is hitting .275 this season and he has an OBP of .341. He has collected 77 hits in 280 at bats while driving in 33 runs. He has an OPS+ of 102 and a slugging percentage of .450. The Braves as a unit have 643 base hits, including 120 doubles and 105 homers. Atlanta has walked 262 times this year and they have struck out on 605 occasions. They have had 510 men left on base and have an OPS of .790. They have scored 5.23 runs per game and totaled 371 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Braves MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Mets +126

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