New York Mets at Atlanta Braves MLB Game Picks 8/15/2019
Thursday, August 15, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Marcus Stroman vs. Julio Teheran
Pete Alonso and the New York Mets (61-57, 3rd in NL East) go to SunTrust Park on Thursday where they'll take on the Atlanta Braves (70-50, 1st in NL East).
The Mets have been hot and cold for Las Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 61-57-0 SU. The Braves cover 58.3% of the time, going 70-50-0 straight up.
Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends
The Mets have been a bad Under option for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 59-47-12.
The Mets cover 42.9% of the time away from home, having gone 27-36-0 straight up.
Important Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
Atlanta covers 56.1% of the time at SunTrust Park, going 32-25-0 SU.
The Braves have been a decent Over option for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 61-53-6.
Key New York Mets Injuries
8/8/2019 Brandon Nimmo LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Aug 19
8/5/2019 Robinson Cano 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 29
8/4/2019 Jacob Rhame RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 14
8/2/2019 Jed Lowrie 3B Calf Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/31/2019 Dominic Smith LF Foot Expected to be out until at least Aug 27
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season
Key Atlanta Braves Injuries
8/11/2019 Dansby Swanson SS Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/8/2019 Austin Riley LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
7/27/2019 Nick Markakis RF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
7/23/2019 Darren O'Day RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/12/2019 Grant Dayton RP Toe Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Mets have a 61-57 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Marcus Stroman has a 6-11 record with an earned run average of 3.20 and a WHIP of 1.29 this season. He has 111 strikeouts over his 135 innings pitched and he's given up 134 hits. He's allowed 8.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.52. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.13 and they have given up 388 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .259 against the bullpen and they've struck out 399 hitters and walked 179 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.39. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 1,036 base hits and 518 earned runs. They have allowed 150 home runs this season, ranking them 22nd in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 383 batters and struck out 1,097. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.21.
As a team New York is hitting .253, good for 14th in the league. The Mets hold a .437 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Pete Alonso is hitting .258 with an on-base percentage of .363. He has 109 hits this season in 422 at bats with 85 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .592 and an OPS+ of 150. Amed Rosario is hitting .279 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .317. He has totaled 122 hits and he has driven in 48 men in 438 at bats. His OPS+ is 100 while his slugging percentage is at .438. The Mets have 1,037 hits, including 201 doubles and 176 home runs. New York has walked 374 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,036 times as a unit. They have left 818 men on base and have a team OPS of .762. They score 4.82 runs per contest and have scored a total of 569 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Atlanta has a 70-50 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.35, Julio Teheran has a 7-7 record and a 1.28 WHIP. He has 126 strikeouts over the 137 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 112 hits. He's allowing 7.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.42. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.36 and they have given up 418 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 440 batters and walked 208 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.41. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,066 base knocks and 526 earned runs this season. They have given up 155 home runs this year, which ranks 19th in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 439 hitters and struck out 1,025 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.40 while their FIP as a staff is 4.56.
As a team, they are batting .263, good for 7th in the league. The Braves hold a .460 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.1 hits per contest. Ronald Acuna Jr comes into this matchup batting .298 with an OBP of .378. He has 145 hits this year along with 80 RBI in 487 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .538 with an OPS+ of 131. Freddie Freeman is hitting .309 this season and he has an OBP of .402. He has collected 142 hits in 460 at bats while driving in 95 runs. He has an OPS+ of 144 and a slugging percentage of .567. The Braves as a unit have 1,095 base hits, including 206 doubles and 190 homers. Atlanta has walked 440 times this year and they have struck out on 1,068 occasions. They have had 846 men left on base and have an OPS of .798. They have scored 5.39 runs per game and totaled 647 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Mets/Braves MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Braves
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