New York Mets at Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Tips 8/17/2019
Saturday, August 17, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Jacob deGrom vs. Jakob Junis
Amed Rosario and the New York Mets (61-59, 4th in NL East) travel to Kauffman Stadium on Saturday where they'll take on the Kansas City Royals (43-78, 4th in AL Central).
The Mets have been less than ideal for Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 61-59-0 SU. The Royals cover 35.5% of the time, going 43-78-0 straight up.
Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends
The Mets have been a very good Over choice for over/under bettors, having gone 59-48-13.
The Mets cover 41.5% of the time away from home, having gone 27-38-0 straight up.
Important Kansas City Royals Betting Trends
Kansas City is covering 37.3% of the time at Kauffman Stadium, going 22-37-0 SU.
The Royals have been a pretty good Over choice for over/under bettors, having gone 60-55-6.
Key New York Mets Injuries
8/14/2019 Brandon Nimmo LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/14/2019 Jeff McNeil LF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 24
8/14/2019 Jacob Rhame RP Elbow Out for the season
8/13/2019 Dominic Smith LF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 6
8/5/2019 Robinson Cano 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 29
8/2/2019 Jed Lowrie 3B Calf Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season
Key Kansas City Royals Injuries
8/14/2019 Adalberto Mondesi SS Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/8/2019 Jesse Hahn SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 20
8/8/2019 Cam Gallagher C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 17
8/6/2019 Danny Duffy SP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 20
8/3/2019 Trevor Oaks SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
3/11/2019 Salvador Perez C Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Mets have a 61-59 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jacob deGrom has a 7-7 record with an earned run average of 2.68 and a WHIP of 1.07 this season. He has 189 strikeouts over his 148 innings pitched and he's given up 122 hits. He's allowed 7.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.82. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.18 and they have given up 395 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .260 against the bullpen and they've struck out 403 hitters and walked 182 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.41. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 1,057 base hits and 529 earned runs. They have allowed 151 home runs this season, ranking them 25th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 389 batters and struck out 1,108. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.21.
As a team New York is hitting .254, good for 13th in the league. The Mets hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Amed Rosario is hitting .281 with an on-base percentage of .319. He has 126 hits this season in 448 at bats with 49 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .438 and an OPS+ of 100. Pete Alonso is hitting .256 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .362. He has totaled 110 hits and he has driven in 85 men in 430 at bats. His OPS+ is 147 while his slugging percentage is at .584. The Mets have 1,059 hits, including 204 doubles and 176 home runs. New York has walked 379 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,054 times as a unit. They have left 837 men on base and have a team OPS of .761. They score 4.8 runs per contest and have scored a total of 576 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Kansas City has a 43-78 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.80, Jakob Junis has a 8-10 record and a 1.39 WHIP. He has 136 strikeouts over the 144.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 152 hits. He's allowing 9.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.75. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.68 and they have given up 427 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .264 against the Royals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 389 batters and walked 191 opposing hitters. As a team, Kansas City allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.9 batters per nine innings. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.98. The Royals pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,130 base knocks and 594 earned runs this season. They have given up 161 home runs this year, which ranks 17th in Major League Baseball. Kansas City as a staff has walked 431 hitters and struck out 943 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.45 while their FIP as a staff is 4.79.
As a team, they are batting .245, good for 24th in the league. The Royals hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Whit Merrifield comes into this matchup batting .305 with an OBP of .359. He has 156 hits this year along with 62 RBI in 511 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .487 with an OPS+ of 121. Alex Gordon is hitting .260 this season and he has an OBP of .333. He has collected 113 hits in 435 at bats while driving in 63 runs. He has an OPS+ of 96 and a slugging percentage of .409. The Royals as a unit have 1,016 base hits, including 212 doubles and 125 homers. Kansas City has walked 347 times this year and they have struck out on 1,030 occasions. They have had 787 men left on base and have an OPS of .711. They have scored 4.3 runs per game and totaled 525 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Mets/Royals MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Mets
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Guaranteed Expert MLB Picks