New York Mets at Miami Marlins MLB Tips 5/18/2019

Saturday, May 18, 2019

Marlins Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Steven Matz vs. Pablo Lopez

Jeff McNeil and the New York Mets (20-22, 3rd in NL East) are headed to Marlins Park on Saturday where they'll meet the Miami Marlins (10-31, 5th in NL East). The Mets open this game at -155 while the Marlins are coming in at +145. The total is set at 8.

The Mets have been inconsistent for baseball wagerers, having gone 20-22-0 SU. Miami covers 24.4% of the time, going 10-31-0 straight up. The Mets have been inconsistent for Vegas oddsmakers as favorites, going 11-10-0 SU. Miami covers 24.4% of the time as an underdog, having gone 10-31-0 straight up.

Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends

The Mets have been a bad Under bet for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 21-17-4.

The Mets cover 44.0% of the time as the road team, having gone 11-14-0 straight up.

Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Marlins cover 26.1% of the time at Marlins Park, going 6-17-0 SU.

The Marlins have been a terrible Over bet for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 17-23-1.

Key New York Mets Injuries

05/16/19 2B Jeff McNeil Abdominal left last game, is questionable Friday vs Miami Marlins
05/16/19 LF Michael Conforto Concussion is out indefinitely
05/16/19 P Steven Matz Forearm 10-day IL (05/05); expected to start Saturday vs Miami Marlins
05/11/19 P Justin Wilson Elbow 10-day IL (05/11)
05/06/19 P Jason Vargas Hamstring 10-day IL (05/06)
05/05/19 P Luis Avilan Elbow 10-day IL (05/04)
03/25/19 P Drew Smith Elbow 60-day IL (03/25); is out for season
03/25/19 2B Jed Lowrie Knee 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 LF Yoenis Cespedes Heel 60-day IL (03/25)

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

05/12/19 LF Peter O'Brien Ribs 10-day IL (05/11)
05/08/19 P Drew Steckenrider Elbow 60-day IL (05/07)
03/28/19 P Riley Ferrell Biceps 60-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Julian Fernandez Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 20-22 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Steven Matz has a 3-2 record with an earned run average of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.20 this season. He has 32 strikeouts over his 35 innings pitched and he's given up 33 hits. He's allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.11. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.56 and they have given up 139 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .242 against the bullpen and they've struck out 155 hitters and walked 74 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.52. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 364 base hits and 189 earned runs. They have allowed 51 home runs this season, ranking them 23rd in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 149 batters and struck out 397. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.09.

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .248, good for 15th in the league. The Mets hold a .398 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.6 hits per game. Jeff McNeil is hitting .354 with an on-base percentage of .441. He has 52 hits this season in 147 at bats with 14 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .483 and an OPS+ of 160. Pete Alonso is hitting .261 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .345. He has totaled 40 hits and he has driven in 32 men in 153 at bats. His OPS+ is 148 while his slugging percentage is at .562. The Mets have 363 hits, including 69 doubles and 47 home runs. New York has walked 150 times so far this season and they have struck out 410 times as a unit. They have left 313 men on base and have a team OPS of .725. They score 4.6 runs per contest and have scored a total of 193 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 10-31 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.93, Pablo Lopez has a 2-5 record and a 1.29 WHIP. He has 42 strikeouts over the 41 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 42 hits. He's allowing 9.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.82. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.33 and they have given up 128 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .243 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 155 batters and walked 77 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.74. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 344 base knocks and 192 earned runs this season. They have given up 55 home runs this year, which ranks 17th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 164 hitters and struck out 363 batters. They give up a walk 4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.63.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .218, good for 29th in the league. The Marlins hold a .307 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .281, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 7.2 hits per contest. Starlin Castro comes into this matchup batting .226 with an OBP of .275. He has 36 hits this year along with 11 RBI in 159 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .289 with an OPS+ of 60. Brian Anderson is hitting .224 this season and he has an OBP of .308. He has collected 34 hits in 152 at bats while driving in 10 runs. He has an OPS+ of 72 and a slugging percentage of .296. The Marlins as a unit have 296 base hits, including 48 doubles and 24 homers. Miami has walked 105 times this year and they have struck out on 377 occasions. They have had 275 men left on base and have an OPS of .587. They have scored 2.56 runs per game and totaled 105 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Marlins +145

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Josh Schonwald