New York Mets at Miami Marlins MLB Tips 5/19/2019

Sunday, May 19, 2019

Marlins Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Noah Syndergaard vs. Sandy Alcantara

Pete Alonso and the New York Mets (20-23, 3rd in NL East) travel to Marlins Park on Sunday where they'll take on the Miami Marlins (11-31, 5th in NL East). The Mets open this game at -225 while the Marlins are coming in at +207. The total has been set at 7.5.

The Mets have been dicey for baseball wagerers, having gone 20-23-0 SU. The Marlins are covering 26.2% of the time, going 11-31-0 straight up. The Mets have been a less than ideal choice for bettors as the favorite, going 11-11-0 SU. Miami has gone 11-31-0 straight up as the underdog, so they are covering 26.2% of the time.

Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends

The Mets have been a rough Under bet for over/under bettors, having gone 22-17-4.

The Mets are covering 42.3% of the time as the road team, having gone 11-15-0 straight up.

Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Marlins are covering 29.2% of the time at Marlins Park, going 7-17-0 SU.

The Marlins have been a strong Under bet for over/under bettors, having gone 18-23-1.

Key New York Mets Injuries

05/17/19 2B Jeff McNeil Abdominal is questionable Saturday vs Miami Marlins
05/17/19 LF Michael Conforto Concussion 7-day IL (05/17)
05/16/19 P Steven Matz Forearm 10-day IL (05/05); expected to start Saturday vs Miami Marlins
05/11/19 P Justin Wilson Elbow 10-day IL (05/11)
05/06/19 P Jason Vargas Hamstring 10-day IL (05/06)
05/05/19 P Luis Avilan Elbow 10-day IL (05/04)
03/25/19 P Drew Smith Elbow 60-day IL (03/25); is out for season
03/25/19 2B Jed Lowrie Knee 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 LF Yoenis Cespedes Heel 60-day IL (03/25)

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

05/12/19 LF Peter O'Brien Ribs 10-day IL (05/11)
05/08/19 P Drew Steckenrider Elbow 60-day IL (05/07)
03/28/19 P Riley Ferrell Biceps 60-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Julian Fernandez Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 20-23 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Noah Syndergaard has a 3-3 record with an earned run average of 4.74 and a WHIP of 1.23 this season. He has 60 strikeouts over his 57 innings pitched and he's given up 57 hits. He's allowed 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.62. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.53 and they have given up 140 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .240 against the bullpen and they've struck out 159 hitters and walked 74 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.59. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 374 base hits and 196 earned runs. They have allowed 52 home runs this season, ranking them 24th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 149 batters and struck out 404. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.08.

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .250, good for 14th in the league. The Mets hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.7 hits per game. Pete Alonso is hitting .266 with an on-base percentage of .346. He has 42 hits this season in 158 at bats with 34 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .595 and an OPS+ of 156. Jeff McNeil is hitting .351 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .439. He has totaled 52 hits and he has driven in 14 men in 148 at bats. His OPS+ is 157 while his slugging percentage is at .480. The Mets have 375 hits, including 71 doubles and 50 home runs. New York has walked 155 times so far this season and they have struck out 416 times as a unit. They have left 322 men on base and have a team OPS of .734. They score 4.63 runs per contest and have scored a total of 199 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 11-31 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.11, Sandy Alcantara has a 1-4 record and a 1.64 WHIP. He has 28 strikeouts over the 44 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 49 hits. He's allowing 10 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.25. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.43 and they have given up 134 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 157 batters and walked 79 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.77. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 356 base knocks and 198 earned runs this season. They have given up 58 home runs this year, which ranks 14th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 169 hitters and struck out 369 batters. They give up a walk 4.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 4.71.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .220, good for 29th in the league. The Marlins hold a .311 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .281, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 7.3 hits per contest. Brian Anderson comes into this matchup batting .231 with an OBP of .313. He has 36 hits this year along with 11 RBI in 156 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .314 with an OPS+ of 77. Starlin Castro is hitting .228 this season and he has an OBP of .274. He has collected 37 hits in 162 at bats while driving in 12 runs. He has an OPS+ of 61 and a slugging percentage of .296. The Marlins as a unit have 306 base hits, including 51 doubles and 25 homers. Miami has walked 105 times this year and they have struck out on 384 occasions. They have had 279 men left on base and have an OPS of .592. They have scored 2.69 runs per game and totaled 113 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Marlins +207

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