New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Tips 6/26/2019

Wednesday, June 26, 2019

Citizens Bank Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jason Vargas vs. Nick Pivetta

Pete Alonso and the New York Mets (37-42, 4th in NL East) head to Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday where they'll meet the Philadelphia Phillies (40-38, 2nd in NL East). The odds on this game have the Mets priced at +131 and the Phillies are at -141. The total has been set at 11.

The Mets have been inconsistent for wagerers, having gone 37-42-0 SU. The Phillies cover 51.3% of the time, going 40-38-0 straight up. The Phillies have been bad for Las Vegas oddsmakers as favorites, going 32-23-0 SU. New York has gone 15-23-0 straight up as an underdog, so they cover 39.5% of the time.

Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends

The Mets have been a very good Over bet for O/U bettors, having gone 42-29-8.

The Mets cover 37.8% of the time as a visitor, having gone 17-28-0 straight up.

Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

Philadelphia covers 58.5% of the time at Citizens Bank Park, going 24-17-0 SU.

The Phillies have been a decent Under bet for O/U bettors, having gone 36-40-2.

Related: Launch Angle Stat: Advice for MLB Handicapping and Betting

Key New York Mets Injuries

6/24/2019 Noah Syndergaard SP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 30
6/22/2019 Jed Lowrie 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/21/2019 Luis Avilan RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/19/2019 Justin Wilson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/18/2019 Jeurys Familia RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/18/2019 Brandon Nimmo LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

6/24/2019 Tommy Hunter RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 27
6/24/2019 Andrew McCutchen LF Knee Out for the season
6/22/2019 Jerad Eickhoff SP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/22/2019 Pat Neshek RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
6/22/2019 David Robertson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 17
6/18/2019 Adam Haseley CF Groin Expected to be out until at least Jun 27
6/14/2019 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/4/2019 Victor Arano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 37-42 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jason Vargas has a 3-3 record with an earned run average of 3.75 and a WHIP of 1.33 this season. He has 47 strikeouts over his 60 innings pitched and he's given up 54 hits. He's allowed 8.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.49. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.44 and they have given up 267 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .263 against the bullpen and they've struck out 264 hitters and walked 125 batters. As a team, New York allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.75. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 706 base hits and 372 earned runs. They have allowed 104 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 264 batters and struck out 715. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.32.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .254, good for 15th in the league. The Mets hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 13th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Pete Alonso is hitting .280 with an on-base percentage of .373. He has 79 hits this season in 282 at bats with 61 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .642 and an OPS+ of 169. Jeff McNeil is hitting .339 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .403. He has totaled 82 hits and he has driven in 27 men in 242 at bats. His OPS+ is 142 while his slugging percentage is at .488. The Mets have 692 hits, including 136 doubles and 113 home runs. New York has walked 263 times so far this season and they have struck out 711 times as a unit. They have left 545 men on base and have a team OPS of .762. They score 4.78 runs per contest and have scored a total of 378 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 40-38 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.54, Nick Pivetta has a 4-2 record and a 1.45 WHIP. He has 45 strikeouts over the 50.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 58 hits. He's allowing 10.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.51. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.67 and they have given up 276 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .268 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 263 batters and walked 112 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.54. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 710 base knocks and 351 earned runs this season. They have given up 133 home runs this year, which ranks 3rd in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 266 hitters and struck out 656 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.40 while their FIP as a staff is 5.07.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .244, good for 20th in the league. The Phillies hold a .418 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Rhys Hoskins comes into this matchup batting .269 with an OBP of .398. He has 74 hits this year along with 51 RBI in 275 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .527 with an OPS+ of 138. Cesar Hernandez is hitting .280 this season and he has an OBP of .334. He has collected 81 hits in 289 at bats while driving in 34 runs. He has an OPS+ of 97 and a slugging percentage of .433. The Phillies as a unit have 643 base hits, including 150 doubles and 95 homers. Philadelphia has walked 291 times this year and they have struck out on 664 occasions. They have had 540 men left on base and have an OPS of .741. They have scored 4.78 runs per game and totaled 373 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Mets +131

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn