New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies MLB Game Picks 6/27/2019

Thursday, June 27, 2019

Citizens Bank Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Zack Wheeler vs. Aaron Nola

Citizens Bank Park is the venue where Cesar Hernandez and the Philadelphia Phillies (41-38, 2nd in NL East) will take on the New York Mets (37-43, 4th in NL East) on Thursday. The odds on this contest have the Mets coming in at +144 and the Phillies are at -154. The O/U opens at 9.5.

The Mets have been a less than ideal option for MLB wagerers, having gone 37-43-0 SU. Philadelphia covers 51.9% of the time, going 41-38-0 straight up. The Phillies have been an excellent play for baseball bettors as favorites, going 33-23-0 SU. New York has went 15-24-0 straight up as an underdog, so they are covering 38.5% of the time.

Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends

The Mets have been an awful Under pick for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 43-29-8.

New York covers 37.0% of the time as the road team, having gone 17-29-0 straight up.

Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Phillies are covering 59.5% of the time at Citizens Bank Park, going 25-17-0 SU.

The Phillies have been an inconsistent Over pick for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 37-40-2.

Related: Launch Angle Stat: Advice for MLB Handicapping and Betting

Key New York Mets Injuries

6/24/2019 Noah Syndergaard SP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 30
6/22/2019 Jed Lowrie 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/21/2019 Luis Avilan RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/19/2019 Justin Wilson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/18/2019 Jeurys Familia RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/18/2019 Brandon Nimmo LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

6/24/2019 Andrew McCutchen LF Knee Out for the season
6/24/2019 Tommy Hunter RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 27
6/22/2019 David Robertson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 17
6/22/2019 Pat Neshek RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
6/22/2019 Jerad Eickhoff SP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/18/2019 Adam Haseley CF Groin Expected to be out until at least Jun 27
6/14/2019 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/4/2019 Victor Arano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 37-43 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Zack Wheeler has a 6-5 record with an earned run average of 4.69 and a WHIP of 1.30 this season. He has 108 strikeouts over his 101.2 innings pitched and he's given up 103 hits. He's allowed 9.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.73. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.48 and they have given up 270 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .263 against the bullpen and they've struck out 267 hitters and walked 126 batters. As a team, New York allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.79. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 714 base hits and 379 earned runs. They have allowed 108 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 267 batters and struck out 722. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.38.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .255, good for 13th in the league. The Mets hold a .436 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 13th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Jeff McNeil is hitting .348 with an on-base percentage of .410. He has 86 hits this season in 247 at bats with 28 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .498 and an OPS+ of 147. Pete Alonso is hitting .279 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .370. He has totaled 80 hits and he has driven in 61 men in 287 at bats. His OPS+ is 166 while his slugging percentage is at .634. The Mets have 704 hits, including 138 doubles and 115 home runs. New York has walked 267 times so far this season and they have struck out 717 times as a unit. They have left 556 men on base and have a team OPS of .764. They score 4.79 runs per contest and have scored a total of 383 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 41-38 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.55, Aaron Nola has a 6-2 record and a 1.45 WHIP. He has 100 strikeouts over the 89 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 92 hits. He's allowing 9.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.4. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.61 and they have given up 279 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .268 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 267 batters and walked 114 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.54. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 722 base knocks and 356 earned runs this season. They have given up 135 home runs this year, which ranks 3rd in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 270 hitters and struck out 662 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 5.08.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .244, good for 21st in the league. The Phillies hold a .421 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Cesar Hernandez comes into this matchup batting .283 with an OBP of .336. He has 83 hits this year along with 35 RBI in 293 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .433 with an OPS+ of 99. Rhys Hoskins is hitting .270 this season and he has an OBP of .399. He has collected 75 hits in 278 at bats while driving in 52 runs. He has an OPS+ of 140 and a slugging percentage of .536. The Phillies as a unit have 651 base hits, including 151 doubles and 99 homers. Philadelphia has walked 294 times this year and they have struck out on 671 occasions. They have had 546 men left on base and have an OPS of .744. They have scored 4.81 runs per game and totaled 380 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Phillies -154

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