New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Expert MLB Picks 7/25/2019
Thursday, July 25, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Masahiro Tanaka vs. Rick Porcello
DJ LeMahieu and the New York Yankees (65-35, 1st in AL East) travel to Fenway Park on Thursday where they'll take on the Boston Red Sox (56-46, 2nd in AL East). The Yankees open this contest at -125 while the Red Sox are coming in at +115. The over/under has been set at 11.
The Yankees have been a great bet for bettors, having gone 65-35-0 SU. The Red Sox cover 54.9% of the time, going 56-46-0 straight up. The Yankees have been terrible for Las Vegas oddsmakers as favorites, going 58-24-0 SU. Boston has gone 7-9-0 straight up as an underdog, so they cover 43.8% of the time.
Valuable New York Yankees Betting Trends
The Yankees have been a bad Under option for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 53-43-4.
The Yankees cover 58.1% of the time away from home, having gone 25-18-0 straight up.
Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
Boston covers 51.1% of the time at Fenway Park, going 24-23-0 SU.
The Red Sox have been a bad Under option for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 59-40-3.
Key New York Yankees Injuries
7/24/2019 Gary Sanchez C Groin Probable for Jul 24
7/23/2019 Brett Gardner CF Knee Probable for Jul 24
7/23/2019 Cameron Maybin RF Calf Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/22/2019 Ben Heller RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/21/2019 Giancarlo Stanton LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
7/20/2019 Greg Bird 1B Foot Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
7/15/2019 Dellin Betances RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Aug 6
7/12/2019 Luis Severino SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Aug 24
6/30/2019 Jacoby Ellsbury CF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
6/30/2019 Troy Tulowitzki SS Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/20/2019 Jordan Montgomery SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
6/16/2019 Jake Barrett RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/3/2019 Jonathan Loaisiga SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
5/21/2019 Miguel Andujar DH Shoulder Out for the season
Key Boston Red Sox Injuries
7/23/2019 Michael Chavis 1B Back Probable for Jul 24
7/20/2019 Steven Wright RP Foot Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/18/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
7/17/2019 Blake Swihart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
6/29/2019 Brian Johnson RP Infection Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
5/28/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Yankees have a 65-35 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Masahiro Tanaka has a 7-5 record with an earned run average of 4.00 and a WHIP of 1.16 this season. He has 98 strikeouts over his 117 innings pitched and he's given up 110 hits. He's allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.38. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.72 and they have given up 350 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the bullpen and they've struck out 442 hitters and walked 154 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.09. The Yankees pitchers collectively have given up 846 base hits and 406 earned runs. They have allowed 151 home runs this season, ranking them 7th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 303 batters and struck out 936. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 4.44.
As a team New York is hitting .268, good for 4th in the league. The Yankees hold a .470 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .344, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.2 hits per game. DJ LeMahieu is hitting .337 with an on-base percentage of .383. He has 128 hits this season in 380 at bats with 70 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .526 and an OPS+ of 139. Gleyber Torres is hitting .295 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .362. He has totaled 101 hits and he has driven in 53 men in 342 at bats. His OPS+ is 130 while his slugging percentage is at .512. The Yankees have 918 hits, including 162 doubles and 170 home runs. New York has walked 374 times so far this season and they have struck out 883 times as a unit. They have left 658 men on base and have a team OPS of .814. They score 5.78 runs per contest and have scored a total of 578 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Boston has a 56-46 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.61, Rick Porcello has a 8-7 record and a 1.46 WHIP. He has 87 strikeouts over the 110.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 130 hits. He's allowing 10.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.72. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.61 and they have given up 368 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .242 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 466 batters and walked 181 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.67. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 898 base knocks and 480 earned runs this season. They have given up 136 home runs this year, which ranks 16th in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 351 hitters and struck out 1,034 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.21.
As a team, they are batting .272, good for 1st in the league. The Red Sox hold a .465 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .346, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.7 hits per contest. J.D. Martinez comes into this matchup batting .292 with an OBP of .364. He has 107 hits this year along with 55 RBI in 367 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .518 with an OPS+ of 126. Rafael Devers is hitting .322 this season and he has an OBP of .375. He has collected 128 hits in 397 at bats while driving in 77 runs. He has an OPS+ of 140 and a slugging percentage of .564. The Red Sox as a unit have 990 base hits, including 211 doubles and 152 homers. Boston has walked 392 times this year and they have struck out on 848 occasions. They have had 752 men left on base and have an OPS of .810. They have scored 5.69 runs per game and totaled 580 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Yankees/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox +115
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